Twitter: Post Game Tweets 11/24/19

DallasInDC

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4th and 7
Low percentage down and distance.

The 3 means if you get another TD, you have a lead, not a tie.

It's unclear, but if you work out the win percentage, I'd guess it's higher taking the FG.

But for phantom oline calls, we were moving the ball.

Low percentage is driving 92 yards against the #1 defense that you you were unable to score a single TD in the previous 57 minutes. That makes 4-7 seem much more achievable.
 

buybuydandavis

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Low percentage is driving 92 yards against the #1 defense that you you were unable to score a single TD in the previous 57 minutes. That makes 4-7 seem much more achievable.

Put numbers to it. Write out the steps. And then adjust that the 4th and 7 puts us in a tie, and maybe a little more than *half* the win probability of the drive for a 4 point lead.
 

buybuydandavis

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We were facing the No. 1 defense and had not done much against it all day. We were in a position where a touchdown would have tied the game, but a field goal still leaves us in need of a touchdown. If the field goal had put us within a field goal, the decision makes sense. But as is, it left us needing to reach the end zone anyway in order not to lose.

Everybody likes to talk, nobody likes to show their work.

But you're spinning the last point, and it is crucial. Driving for *another* touchdown gives us a four point lead. Getting the 4th and 7 puts us in a tie.
 

buybuydandavis

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The numbers are saying it’s less likely you drive the length of the field again and score a TD. Rather than pick up the 7 yards in one play.

And what do you know. The numbers were right.

One sample from one side of a decision tree doesn't establish what the probabilities on either side of the tree were.
 

buybuydandavis

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They're never prepared. Didn't have the proper cleats last season in the playoff game against the Rams :facepalm:

Great point.

Also recall that Collins broke his foot two or three times from wearing the wrong size shoe.

Someone remind me again how even if Garrett isn't a great game manager, he's a great *team* manager. So much attention to detail. Such great and ever improving process.

I'm having trouble remembering.
 

fivetwos

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It really comes down to understanding the situation and conditions on the field. Garrett doesn’t have a feel for that. And that’s why he can’t win. Because he doesn’t understand the game.
Disagree, and maybe this is semantics, but I think he full well understands the game, just approaches it in a robotic type manner, with no feel for actual situations. That's why this team is so predictable.

The idea of not changing anything per your opponent or scheming against their weakness is deplorable, and a waste of what is a recently assembled roster.
 

baltcowboy

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lol....YA IT'S ON the waterboy, not Garrett. Hahaha.
Garrett needs to go. I rewatched the game. We lost the game because our special teams gave up 10 points. Garrett coached to conservatively. His butt was too tight.
 

baltcowboy

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Except … in the Minnesota game, they were stuffing the run throughout the game. So the probability of you converting with a running play was low.
However, in THIS game we were running the ball effectively.
The difference between opportunistic and stubborn.
Garrett cost us the game no doubt but that play call was solid. That special teams mistake that cost us over 20 yards of field position. Somebody on the coaching staff needs to be fired. The block field goal. A player needs to be cut.
 

tyke1doe

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This is what a great coach looks like and what a great coach does. Adapt your game plan to the conditions and to any new information you receive that you can use and your team can take advantage of.
Remember when the Cowboys played the 49ers in the 1992-93 NFC Championship Game and Jimmy Johnson inspected the muddy field at Candlestick Park and ordered longer spikes for his team? Yeah, it's been a while since we've had a coach with that much foresight. Sigh.
 
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