I am going to give one more example and if this doesn’t work, then I give up.
have you ever watched people play Texas Hold ‘me on TV?
When the first two cards are dealt to each player, on the screen they show TV watchers each players probability of winning, based on every players card.
The players themselves cannot see those probabilities on the TV screen. So, they will use their mind and experience to try to calculate the probability of winning in their brain. They will ALSO make decisions based off their opponents body language, their opponents tells, the bets their opponent is making, etc.
all the while, the TV viewer can see the probability on TV.
The dealer then deals the first 3 cards that all the players share. Each players probability of winning is then almost instantaneously re-calculated and the new probability of winning is shown on the TV screen to the viewers.
again, the players don’t see this. They can only use their brain to calculate the probability and again go based off bets and opponent body language. Probably also factor in how much money they have left, vs how much money their opponent has left, etc.
the player takes into account many factors when deciding whether to raise or check or fold.
now, imagine how much of an advantage it would be, for one of those players to actually see the win probabilities that are on the TV screen? That have been calculated by a computer.
seeing those probabilities would alter their decision making and give them high quality information, for which to base their next move.
Based off this example. Garret is playing poker at the table. And he is going off body language and opponent tells and how much they’re betting and what they see with their eyes.
meanwhile the other head coach, the other “player” at the poker table is using all the same observations Garret is doing AND that coach is able to see that computer generated win probability. So now, Garret is at a disadvantage. He may still win the hand. Because of course, even without that data he may get lucky, and the cards may just get dealt in his favor.
But if Garret’s opponent playing poker, can see that win probability on that TV screen and base his decisions off that. Wouldn’t it stand to reason, that he would want to see that win probability too? Over the course of many hands of poker dealt throughout the night, wouldn’t that give Garret the best opportunity possible to win as much money as possible?
I mean honestly. This should be easy to understand why the poker player would at least want to see those win probability numbers. Right?
