2007 Statistical Predictions

[percyhoward]

Chisel them in stone.

PASSING
          comp    att   yards   comp%  ypa     td  int   long   rtg
Romo      329    491    4019   67.0%   8.2     28  15    65t   98.3
Johnson    21     37     235   56.7%   6.4     1    1    27    73.6
Crayton     1      2      38   50.0%   19.0    0    0    38t   135.4

Romo's ypa goes down because he'll be throwing more to the backs, but his completion percentage goes up, and so does his rating. His first of many 4,000-yard seasons. Johnson's numbers come in mop up time and one start.

RUSHING
             att  yds  ypa  lng  td
Jones        229  962  4.2  90t  6
Barber       172  774  4.5  27   9
Romo          32  108  3.4  16   1
Thompson      17  90   5.3  35   0 
Anderson       5  12   3.0  6    0
Owens          3  27   9.0  16t  1
Hoyte          3  5    1.7  2    0
Stanback       1  16  16.0  16   0
Glenn          1  9    9.0  9    0
Johnson        1  0    0.0  0    0

JJ and mb3 combine for the same number of carries as in 2006, but with the share tilted a little more toward Barber than it was last year. Barber will get a series for himself in each half. Although the Cowboys will lead the league in time of possession, total rushing attempts stay the same because more of the backs' touches will come on receptions.

RECEIVING
       rec  yds  ypr lng td
Owens   81 1150 14.2 65t 12
Witten  70  826 11.8 39   6
Glenn   45  657 14.6 55t  5
Jones   41  414 10.1 36t  2
Crayton 38  452 11.9 40t  3
Fasano  24  259 10.8 25   0
Barber  23  179  7.8 18   1
Hurd    20  259 13.0 33t  1
Curtis   4   52 13.0 21   0
Hoyte    2   12  6.0  7   0
Thompson 2   19  9.5 14   0
Anderson 1    7  7.0  7   0

Owens makes the Pro Bowl this time, as does Witten again, but this year as a starter. Glenn misses a few games, allowing Hurd the opportunity to contribute on offense.


PUNTING
McBriar 49 punts 50.1 avg 7tb 25in20 78lng

The first punter to average 50 yards a punt since Sammy Baugh.


KICKING
Folk 20 of 28 71%


SACKS
Ware 16
Spencer 9
Hatcher 6
Burnett 4
Canty 4
Ratliff 4
Williams 4
Ayodele 3
Ellis 3
Ferguson 3
Bowen 2
Carpenter 2
Hamlin 1
James 1
Davis 1
Spears 1

Ellis returns around the 3rd or 4th game, but is a step slow. Spencer racks up 7 of his sacks during the last 8 games.


INTERCEPTIONS
Williams 5
Newman 4
Henry 4
Hamlin 3
Ayodele 3
Burnett 3
Reeves 2
James 2
Carpenter 1
Davis 1
Ware 1

More pressure on the QB boosts the team INT total, but the wealth is spread.

 

[LittleBoyBlue]

Folk 20 of 28 FG

People will go nuts on here



I see Barber getting back to double digit TD's

 

[percyhoward]

I see Barber getting back to double digit TD's

Nothing against Barber, but my thinking is, Witten and Julius will steal some of those TD's. Last year was kind of a fluke that Witten only had one. Also I think they'll let Julius stay in a little bit longer in goal-to-go situations, to reward him for doing the work on a drive.

 

[superpunk]

I like it, and if you're anywhere close, that means super bowl.

 

[Big Dakota]

I think your offensive numbers are right on the money. Maybe just 100 yards or so too high for Romo but he can certainly reach 4K I broke his numbers down a while back just because i drafted him in a FL and it came out to around 3900 over 16 games if i remember right.

My only doubts on D are us having more Sacks than SD did last year. Hope so, but i'll take 55 just the same. INTs are awful high as well, but hey, if we can come lose to Thurman's Thieves i'll be tickled

Overall, pretty solid predictions.

 

[eduncan22]

This is the good stuff.

 

[big dog cowboy]

64 sacks?

 

[ThreeSportStar80]

Julius Jones should be the work horse back, he presents teams with the most problems because of his cutback and homerun ability.

 

[sonnyboy]

Those numbers translate to a 13-15 win season.

Romo's numbers could put him anywhere from 1-3 in QB scoring for my FFL and make me a contender.

 

[Ashwynn]

Folk should be way better then 71% (thats 3 misses every ten - that wont cut it in Dallas) and Roy wont have 5 INTs. He is trading some INTs for Sacks this year.

 

[percyhoward]

I think your offensive numbers are right on the money. Maybe just 100 yards or so too high for Romo but he can certainly reach 4K I broke his numbers down a while back just because i drafted him in a FL and it came out to around 3900 over 16 games if i remember right.

My only doubts on D are us having more Sacks than SD did last year. Hope so, but i'll take 55 just the same. INTs are awful high as well, but hey, if we can come lose to Thurman's Thieves i'll be tickled

Overall, pretty solid predictions.

The thing about the D is I don't see them spending near as much time on the field this year. More 3-and-outs, but also more big plays made and allowed. As good as the offense was last year, it could have produced even better numbers if the defense had been able to get the opponent off the field.

Last year, Romo's yardage projected over 16 games would have been over 4,200. And that was with an O-line coach calling the plays, not a former QB. I have him reaching 4,000 against Carolina, then sitting out that last game at Washington.

 

[percyhoward]

Folk should be way better then 71% (thats 3 misses every ten - that wont cut it in Dallas) and Roy wont have 5 INTs. He is trading some INTs for Sacks this year.

Fair points. I actually don't see Roy getting any fewer chances at INT's by being closer to the line, though. He'll be more free to make picks like the one against Manning last year.

I hope Folk breaks the kickers' curse in Dallas.

 

[percyhoward]

Julius Jones should be the work horse back, he presents teams with the most problems because of his cutback and homerun ability.

Ideally, yes. But his production drops later in the year when he has that heavy workload early on. His carries then have to be limited to save him for a big game. I'd rather see him used in a more consistent way, because I think he and the team would both benefit.

 

[dooomsday]

Chisel them in stone.

PASSING[/B]
[B]          comp    att   yards   comp%  ypa     td  int   long   rtg[/B]
[B]Romo      329    491    4019   67.0%   8.2     28  15    65t   98.3[/B]
 
Yard will be close.  TDs are too high and the TD/Int. ratio is to great.
 
 
 
[B]RUSHING[/B]
[B]             att  yds  ypa  lng  td[/B]
[B]Jones        229  962  4.2  90t  6[/B]
[B]Barber       172  774  4.5  27   9[/B]
 
Pretty good projection....
 
 
[B]RECEIVING[/B]
[B]       rec  yds  ypr lng td[/B]
[B]Owens   81 1150 14.2 65t 12[/B]
[B]Witten  70  826 11.8 39   6[/B]
[B]Glenn   45  657 14.6 55t  5[/B]
[B]Jones   41  414 10.1 36t  2[/B]
[B]Crayton 38  452 11.9 40t  [/B]
 
Owens too low across the board.  Glenn a bit low unless he's injured and misses time.
 
JuJo with 40 plus receptions?  Don't see it.
 
 
Everything else looks OK.  So you see now catches for either Austin or Stanback?  What the heck do we need them both for?!

 

[Hostile]

64 sacks?

My wife would take out a restraining order.

 

[percyhoward]

Owens too low across the board. Glenn a bit low unless he's injured and misses time.

JuJo with 40 plus receptions? Don't see it.


Everything else looks OK. So you see now catches for either Austin or Stanback? What the heck do we need them both for?!

I'd be shocked if Stanback saw anything resembling a forward pass coming his way this year. Austin is purely a ST player. We'd need a couple of injuries for him to get any catches. Unless Wade is the kind of coach that pulls his starters early in blowouts.

JJ should get 40 receptions, if he stays healthy. And that ties in directly with Owens' numbers, which will dip very slightly because we'll be throwing more to the backs this year. Like I said, I see TG missing some signigicant time.

But you may be right about Owens. There's something different about him this year, like he's more committed (if that's posible). He could have a career year.

 

[Bizwah]

We've never had a 4000 yard passer. Danny White was the closest with 3800 yards.

I think we'll see 3500 yards 23 TDs and 18 INTs from Romo. He still gambles way too much. He also has a tendency to miss high over the middle.

If JJ stays healthy, I think he's good for another 1000 yards. He'll score around 7 TDs. Barber will rush somewhere in the neighborhood of 650 yards and 10 TDs

I think our big offensive player will be TO. I was dead set against us signing him and I'm not his biggest fan....but he appears to be very focused this year. I think he'll catch around 90 passes for 1300 yards and 15 TDs.

I agree that Glenn will be banged up most of the season. I see him being our third best receiver behind Owens and Witten. Glenn will have around 750 yards receiving.

Witten will have a big year. 70 catches for around 800 yards and 6 TDs. But he'll still miss the Pro Bowl due to Shockey being everyone's glamour boy (even though I think Witten will have superior numbers), and Cooley will be the Commanders only reliable option.

Defensively we'll be hit and miss. I think we finish somewhere in the middle of the pack. I expect us to begin hitting our stride at the end of the year rather than fading.

Ware will have around 13 sacks and continue to make plays all over the field. He'll scoop up fumbles, and collect a couple of INTs. Cowboy fans will still lament that we should've taken Merriman (who will have 18 sacks, but little else).

We'll soon find out that Hatcher is our best pass rushing lineman. He'll record six sacks.....as many as Canty (4) and Spears (2) will record in twice the PT.

Our defense will be vulnerable to the run. We'll struggle to keep teams off the field.

Roy Williams will lead the defense with 7 INTs and two TDs on returns.

 

[percyhoward]

My wife would take out a restraining order.

Get the straitjacket ready. We bust out of the gate with 30 sacks in the first 7 games. Four of our first seven opponents (Miami, Buffalo, St. Louis, and Minny) finished in the bottom 12 in sacks allowed last year.

Then either Ellis returns to form, or Spencer comes into his own (or both) and sacks keep piling up.

 

[Parche]

We've never had a 4000 yard passer. Danny White was the closest with 3800 yards.

I think we'll see 3500 yards 23 TDs and 18 INTs from Romo. He still gambles way too much. He also has a tendency to miss high over the middle.

If JJ stays healthy, I think he's good for another 1000 yards. He'll score around 7 TDs. Barber will rush somewhere in the neighborhood of 650 yards and 10 TDs

I think our big offensive player will be TO. I was dead set against us signing him and I'm not his biggest fan....but he appears to be very focused this year. I think he'll catch around 90 passes for 1300 yards and 15 TDs.

I agree that Glenn will be banged up most of the season. I see him being our third best receiver behind Owens and Witten. Glenn will have around 750 yards receiving.

Witten will have a big year. 70 catches for around 800 yards and 6 TDs. But he'll still miss the Pro Bowl due to Shockey being everyone's glamour boy (even though I think Witten will have superior numbers), and Cooley will be the Commanders only reliable option.

Defensively we'll be hit and miss. I think we finish somewhere in the middle of the pack. I expect us to begin hitting our stride at the end of the year rather than fading.

Ware will have around 13 sacks and continue to make plays all over the field. He'll scoop up fumbles, and collect a couple of INTs. Cowboy fans will still lament that we should've taken Merriman (who will have 18 sacks, but little else).

We'll soon find out that Hatcher is our best pass rushing lineman. He'll record six sacks.....as many as Canty (4) and Spears (2) will record in twice the PT.

Our defense will be vulnerable to the run. We'll struggle to keep teams off the field.

Roy Williams will lead the defense with 7 INTs and two TDs on returns.

I only find as really hard to be, the 7 INT for Roy W.

 

[Hoov]

Barber takes over starting role from Jones after week 4.

Hoov's beer belly gets bigger by week six.