2016 NFL strength of schedule

Super_Kazuya

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This list won't matter much by the time the season starts... but our schedule was always going to be a heck of a lot easier by removing the two conference champions and the 15-1 team from it. Not liking Green Bay's schedule. I'm sure all their "hard" games are at home, to boot...
 

CCBoy

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This schedule is what will make Dallas a tough team to beat, just with the healthy return of both Tony Romo and Dez Bryant.

The 2014 season saw Dallas with a 8-0 record away...

Home: Commanders, Giants, Eagles, Bears, Lions, Buccaneers, Ravens, Bengals
Away: Commanders, Giants, Eagles, Packers, Vikings, 49ers, Browns, Steelers

Heck, this could well be at least another 12 win season...
 
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percyhoward

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It's meaningless, because Dallas won't actually be playing the 2015 versions of those teams in 2016. At this time last year, it looked like we were going to have one of the league's easier schedules. Then the season happened.

2015 projected strength of schedule (difficulty rank)
.467 (24th)

2015 actual strength of schedule
.531 (4th)
 

birdwells1

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It's meaningless, because Dallas won't actually be playing the 2015 versions of those teams in 2016. At this time last year, it looked like we were going to have one of the league's easier schedules. Then the season happened.

2015 projected strength of schedule (difficulty rank)
.467 (24th)

2015 actual strength of schedule
.531 (4th)

Does winning against the 2015 Cowboys count on the actual strenght of schedule?
 

alicetooljam

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It's meaningless, because Dallas won't actually be playing the 2015 versions of those teams in 2016. At this time last year, it looked like we were going to have one of the league's easier schedules. Then the season happened.

2015 projected strength of schedule (difficulty rank)
.467 (24th)

2015 actual strength of schedule
.531 (4th)

I agree its meaningless, but I never thought this year's schedule looked easy as soon as it was announced last year...

Note to self: I really need to change my sig pic. :/
 

DogFace

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To the Zone's biggest crybaby: talk about how the SOS and the close losses without our two best players doesn't mean it's probable or even very likely we'll have a good season if they stay healthy because we are not very good and have vast holes in our team that can't really be fixed. Unless maybe we hire you to run the team. :p
 

birdwells1

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Yes, and likewise our 6-2 record in 2014 against opponents we faced both seasons counts in the 2015 projection.
So, our 6-2 record in 2014 against opponents we faced both seasons affected the projected strength by 4 wins but our actual record affected the actual strength of schedule by 8 losses. I guess what I'm asking is that if you take the Cowboys w/l record out what would it look like.
 

birdwells1

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I agree its meaningless, but I never thought this year's schedule looked easy as soon as it was announced last year...

Note to self: I really need to change my sig pic. :/

I don't think that it's meaningless, if I look at the Panthers 2015 schedule before the season I only see 4 games that they most likely won't win. The Packers, Colts, @ Seattle, and @ the Cowboys, they had the NFC South (6 wins predicted but actually 5), the NFC East (3 wins predicted but actually 4), and the AFC South (predicted 3 but actually 4).

Let's take the Cowboys team of 2014 and add some high draft picks with some free agents that can upgradet and look at the 2016 schedule. When I look at the schedule I look at 2 things, how many great to elite passing teams we play against and how many bad weather games we may get. We have the potential to have some bad weather games but the Vikings will be in their dome next year so I hope we play them late and one of the others early. I don't care what the weather is when we play the Browns we should beat them, I hope we play the division teams on the road first and at home later but at the Steelers and the Packers is going to be tough. With that being said I can see the season playing out this way.


Home
W
Chicago Bears
W Detroit Lions
W Baltimore Ravens
W Cincinnati Bengals
W Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W Washington Commanders (Div.)
W New York Giants (Div.)
W Philadelphia Eagles (Div.)

Away
L Green Bay Packers
W Minnesota Vikings
W Cleveland Browns
L Pittsburgh Steelers
W San Francisco 49ers
L Washington Commanders (Div.)
W New York Giants (Div.)
L Philadelphia Eagles (Div.)
 

percyhoward

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I guess what I'm asking is that if you take the Cowboys w/l record out what would it look like.
Each one of our games affects 1/16 of our opponents' schedule. If you take out the Cowboys' games, our opponents' actual winning percentage goes down a bit from .531 to .517, (as opposed to the .467 which was projected.)

The basic flaw is that everything is based on every team having exactly the same record two years in a row.
 

StarBoyz83

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I don't think that it's meaningless, if I look at the Panthers 2015 schedule before the season I only see 4 games that they most likely won't win. The Packers, Colts, @ Seattle, and @ the Cowboys, they had the NFC South (6 wins predicted but actually 5), the NFC East (3 wins predicted but actually 4), and the AFC South (predicted 3 but actually 4).

Let's take the Cowboys team of 2014 and add some high draft picks with some free agents that can upgradet and look at the 2016 schedule. When I look at the schedule I look at 2 things, how many great to elite passing teams we play against and how many bad weather games we may get. We have the potential to have some bad weather games but the Vikings will be in their dome next year so I hope we play them late and one of the others early. I don't care what the weather is when we play the Browns we should beat them, I hope we play the division teams on the road first and at home later but at the Steelers and the Packers is going to be tough. With that being said I can see the season playing out this way.


Home
W
Chicago Bears
W Detroit Lions
W Baltimore Ravens
W Cincinnati Bengals
W Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W Washington Commanders (Div.)
W New York Giants (Div.)
W Philadelphia Eagles (Div.)

Away
L
Green Bay Packers
W Minnesota Vikings
W Cleveland Browns
L Pittsburgh Steelers
W San Francisco 49ers
L Washington Commanders (Div.)
W New York Giants (Div.)
L Philadelphia Eagles (Div.)

Looks about right to me. I think we'll drop one to the giants and not sure we can beat the bengals.
 
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