A look at Dak's December career numbers

RonnieT24 said:
22 interceptions means an averaged of 2 a year? Now we know he got injured and missed two Decembers and this 10th one has yet to happen so we'd adjust that to 7 Decembers.. If they averaged 5 December games a year then that's 35 games.. Less than one a game? I did go back and look up the totality of late season splits and included the January games too . I'm not sure why ole boy excluded those.

Taking all post-Thanksgiving games into account the Cowboys record with Dak at the helm is:

23-11. Dak has 62 TD to 24 INTs in December and January.

What jumps out at me is that the .68 winning percentage is slightly higher than Dak's career mark of .62. Half the games (17) with passer rating above 100 looks to be about right on schedule as well. The TD/INT ratio looks about the same too. What that tells me is that Is pretty consistent and if anything plays slightly better after Thanksgiving vs the rest of the year. Which I think is what you want. Looking closer I see why home boy might have excluded January from his analysis. January is statistically Dak's best month by a mile. In 5 games his passer rating is 107.2 with 13 TDs and 2 INTs. This makes me feel really good about January 4th in Jersey if we need that one to get into the playoffs.
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So it also means average of 4 TDs a year. Which is not good no matter how you look at the ratio...

But yeah I do like the winning percentage...
 
CowboysFaninHouston said:
So it also means average of 4 TDs a year. Which is not good no matter how you look at the ratio...

But yeah I do like the winning percentage...
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The ratio is 2.6 to 1. Which approaches all time greatness territory doesn't it? In January it's 6.5 to 1. Can we get January Dak for a full season?
 
Now que all the haters who will say now do January lol they will find a way to move the goalposts to the playoffs.
 
RonnieT24 said:
The ratio is 2.6 to 1. Which approaches all time greatness territory doesn't it? In January it's 6.5 to 1. Can we get January Dak for a full season?
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Ok. So how is my math off.

You said 22 interception is about 2 a year. So 44 TDs is 4 a year...so about 2-1...
 
CowboysFaninHouston said:
Ok. So how is my math off.

You said 22 interception is about 2 a year. So 44 TDs is 4 a year...so about 2-1...
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No Dak has only played in 7 Decembers.. so that's 6.3 a year. But if we apply the same math to the INTS that's 3 a year. So still about 2 to 1. As I said if you include January games the numbers improve significantly.
 
gtb1943 said:
Its hard to find these stats but for example last year Goff was 14-1
Mahomes was 7-0
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Not hard at all. Go to pro-football-reference.com, put in the guy's name then click on splits.

For their careers:

Goff is 73TD to 28 INT in 36 games. 2.6 to ` 1
Mahomes is 57-20 in 32 games. 2.86 to 1
Prescott 49-22 in 29 games. 2.2 to 1
Stafford 80-35 in 56 games. 2.3 to 1
Rodgers 115-29 in 60 games. 3.9 to 1
Brady 155-61 in 90 games 2.5 to 1
P Manning 134-76 in 70 games. 1.8 to 1
Brees 150-60 in 78 games 2.5 to 1

Not sure what to make of it but those are the numbers for December. Some of them are slightly better if you include January and some are slightly worse. Of note Dak's 13-2 ratio in January is the best of this group. The next closest would be Rodgers 21 to 4.
 
Hawkeye0202 said:
This is a good thing..........

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Not gonna lie, during the regular season, Dak does play lights out.
I would love to see him just once tear through the post season, the super bowl and win that super bowl mvp award while holding up the Cowboys 6th Lombardi trophy.
 
RonnieT24 said:
Not hard at all. Go to pro-football-reference.com, put in the guy's name then click on splits.

For their careers:

Goff is 73TD to 28 INT in 36 games. 2.6 to ` 1
Mahomes is 57-20 in 32 games. 2.86 to 1
Prescott 49-22 in 29 games. 2.2 to 1
Stafford 80-35 in 56 games. 2.3 to 1
Rodgers 115-29 in 60 games. 3.9 to 1
Brady 155-61 in 90 games 2.5 to 1
P Manning 134-76 in 70 games. 1.8 to 1
Brees 150-60 in 78 games 2.5 to 1

Not sure what to make of it but those are the numbers for December. Some of them are slightly better if you include January and some are slightly worse. Of note Dak's 13-2 ratio in January is the best of this group. The next closest would be Rodgers 21 to 4.
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Rodgers clearly above everyone else in December which is saying a lot
Really interesting about Peyton Manning.
He was never all that in the playoffs either
 
  • Career Playoff Totals
    • Over 7 postseason games, Prescott has thrown 14 passing touchdowns to 7 interceptions, with a passer rating of ~91.8.
    • He’s averaged roughly 392.4 passing yards per game in those playoff contests — a high output by any QB standard in the postseason.
 
gtb1943 said:
Rodgers clearly above everyone else in December which is saying a lot
Really interesting about Peyton Manning.
He was never all that in the playoffs either
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I think Manning, Stafford and Goff all suffer from being drafted #1 overall and being pressed into playing early on a bad team. I would guess their post Thanksgiving numbers got better and better as their careers wore on. Which makes sense if you think about it. Dak obviously landed on a good team with a great running game so his career arc might be different because my guess is his late season numbers were "better" just in terms of TD to INT ratio early in his career because he played it safer back then than he has since like 2019 when he started to sling it more and take more chances with the ball. Which coincided with Kellen Moore taking over the play calling. I think he is having to re-learn how to take care of the ball like he did when he first broke in. So I expect his ratio to arc up from this point forward.
 
Whirlwin said:
  • Career Playoff Totals
    • Over 7 postseason games, Prescott has thrown 14 passing touchdowns to 7 interceptions, with a passer rating of ~91.8.
    • He’s averaged roughly 392.4 passing yards per game in those playoff contests — a high output by any QB standard in the postseason.
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pro-football-reference has him at 280.2 yards per game in the playoffs. Where did you get your number?
 
RonnieT24 said:
LOL can't trust them dam AI's fa nothin.
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I was talking stereo, asking questions about my streamer. And then Cowboys come up. And I was curious. no I’m curious where they pulled that data from. Google AI is much more efficient.
 
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