Diehardblues
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Correct !!Interesting you used the word "Odds." Because that is an accurate statement based on the OP. On the other hand, Dak isn't a typical Rookie based on what we've seen thus far, so if anyone could defy those odds, my guess is it would be Dak...especially with the offense he would have around him...
That's a very small list and of course none have ever been the starting QB on a championship team.
Also noteworthy if you noticed these are all in Cap era except Elway and Montana I believe as we never saw Rookie QB's starting before which is more out of necessity.
Edit: Kosar was before Cap era as well . I've never even heard of Brock?