Actual Dallas Cowboys Season Projections From Someone Who Understands Football!

[jazzcat22]

I like that he broke down the games with some look at the other teams strengths/weaknesses and off-season moves.
A little too much reliance on PFF numbers which can be anywhere from enlightening to just plain crazy.

Can't buy anyone sees us as an 11 win team.
Especially not if tallying up off-season losses as a deciding factor.
We lost Ware, Lee, Hatcher i,e, our best 3 defenders.

I'm an optimistic fan, But I agree about the 11 wins.
I can the possiblity of it, but everything must be almost perfect in a sense. But I can see 7-9 just at easy, even if we play much better, still be around 8-8. that is my usual prediction until they prove otherwise.
I will say, because I'm optimistic, I give a better chance we go 9-7 than 7-9. after TC I may or may not change this.

 

[Blackspider214]

Lol @ "From Someone Who Understands Football"

Not even going to benefit that by giving a click. Such a pompous, look at me attitude. No one on here knows how the season will play out. The Cowboys themselves don't.

 

[Doomsday101]

I like that he broke down the games with some look at the other teams strengths/weaknesses and off-season moves.
A little too much reliance on PFF numbers which can be anywhere from enlightening to just plain crazy.

Can't buy anyone sees us as an 11 win team.
Especially not if tallying up off-season losses as a deciding factor.
We lost Ware, Lee, Hatcher i,e, our best 3 defenders.

Lee hurt no doubt, we lost Ware a season and a half ago, he has struggled with the injuries and has not been full strenght for much of that time. Hatcher I wish we could have kept him but last year was his best season prior to that many here wanted him gone called him overrated. A younger player in Melton will have to fill that role. I agree 11 games is a lot to ask given the uncertainties but I do think this team can win this division given how bad we were beat up last season we still managed to go 5-1 in the NFC East.

 

[Manwiththeplan]

I read the previous post about the person who thinks the Cowboys are going to be 3-13, which they had no legitimate statistical value or even a legitimate thought behind the Cowboys winning only 3 games. So this is my breakdown from someone who played football for 17 years and 4 years of college.

First, (I know we are talking about the Cowboys and they like to play down to competition) there are some 95% chances of winning "gimmie games". I say 95% because you can truly never predict how well a team will do based on the prior year, see 2013 Kansas City Chiefs. The following games I consider "gimmie games" for the Cowboys:

link/http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2014...eason-projections-from-someone-who-understand

I don't think we're an 3-13 team, but I'll take that over 8-8.

 

[Section446]

6-10/9-7, somewhere in there.

 

[burmafrd]

It's the NFL. A team can go from 3-13 to 13-3 in 1 year. This year is an important one. All the ground work being put in for the last 3 years should start to pay dividends. I'm expecting a better year than the previous few years and a deep playoff run. There's weaknesses on the team for sure but all teams have weaknesses. Some like to focus on the negative, burmafrd is an example and others like to focus on the positive. I think the latter is the right attitude. Being negative all the time turns you into a negative person.

No I am just more honest about things then you are.

 

[Chocolate Lab]

As if BTB weren't a complete homer joke enough already...

 

[PA Cowboy Fan]

Frankly, I can't see how anyone who has been paying attention for the last two decades can have any other attitude towards this franchise.

I really can't either. Every year it's the same thing. I haven't really been optimistic since 2010 and look how that turned out. Until this team stops making the same mistakes, I can't be optimistic. They have to show it on the football field.

 

[jrumann59]

for me I keep bouncing between 6-10 and 10-6 so I will go with the norm for now, 8-8. The complexion can change a division rival loses a key starter for a while. Outside of NO maybe IND I do not see any glaring teeth kicked in losses on the schedule. IMHO most of the games we probably have 50% shot of winning most games with a deviation of +/- 5%

SF-while daunting not scary
Tenn-should win unless locker channels Montana
Rams-I feel our Oline beats their DL
NO-This one could hurt
Hou-I hope our OT eat their wheaties but nothing scares me.
Sea-Yes SB champs but nothing intimidating about them
NYG-A lot of turnover is our DL better than their OL?
Was-Really all depends on RG3
Pho-Palmer is statue back their maybe not Bledsoe-esque but still pretty stationary, their secondary could cause problems for us.
Jax-Nothing to lose but we should win unless our players spend way too much time in the pubs.
NYG-Same as above
Phi-I think Foles will be worse than last year but still better than Vick ever was in Phi.
Chi-With Cutler who knows, WR are scary nothing else
Phi-see above
Ind-Young QB avg run game not overly impressive Defense really more of a middle of the road team overall with very good passing game that is the worry.
Was-same as above

 

[DFWJC]

The writer lost me when he labeled the Rams a "gimmie game".
No disrespect intended, but claiming to have knowledge of any sort and than calling ANY game for Dallas a "gimmie" do not add up....let alone vs SL.

 

[noshame]

The writer lost me when he labeled the Rams a "gimmie game".
No disrespect intended, but claiming to have knowledge of any sort and than calling ANY game for Dallas a "gimmie" do not add up....let alone vs SL.

Yep, If he knows this team at all he knows the big games we show up for, the week after, not so much. A normal start would be a big win at SF and a close loss at Tenn.
If we're going to make the play-offs we have to be consistent.

 

[bb721]

[quote="waving monkey, post: 5595936, member: 27836" So this is my breakdown from someone who played football for 17 years and 4 years of college.[/quote]

No offense intended, but I don't think the fact that you played the game has any relevance to your ability to successfully predict the outcome of Cowboys games. If that were the case all of the odds makers in Las Vegas would be ex players.

 

[Zimmy Lives]

Someone said it already a few months back but it bears repeating: Any success this season falls on the shoulders of Marinelli and his no-name defense.

 

[jazzcat22]

Someone said it already a few months back but it bears repeating: Any success this season falls on the shoulders of Marinelli and his no-name defense.

Marinelli's Marauders....they will 'steal' [take aways and turnovers] the games away form the opposition.....just a thought...LOL

 

[Zimmy Lives]

Marinelli's Marauders....they will 'steal' [take aways and turnovers] the games away form the opposition.....just a thought...LOL

Actually, this is what I am hoping but it is a tall order given all the unknown talent. If they stay healthy on defense I think they can make some noise!

 

[jazzcat22]

Actually, this is what I am hoping but it is a tall order given all the unknown talent. If they stay healthy on defense I think they can make some noise!

Yes, agree. They started out that way last year, IIRC they were getting turnovers, picks, sacks at first, then the injuries started hitting.

 

[L-O-Jete]

I love how he gives value to his opinion "because he played" for 17 years, but all his arguments are based off of PFF stats...

~Flush~

 

[big dog cowboy]

Maybe we just shouldn't overpay for over the hill players all the time

All the time? Really? How many times did we do that this year? Last year? NONE.

 

[BourbonBalz]

I'm beginning to feel more positive about the upcoming season. The offense should be fantastic, and I think the defense will be better than last year (which admittedly shouldn't take much of an improvement). I could definitely see 10-6 if the team can stay away from the injury bug. Personally, I think we should go 4-0 against the AFC. Indy is good, but they're not the Seahawks, and we get them at home. We also get Houston at home, a bad Tennessee team, and a bad (but improving) Jacksonville team at a neutral site. There's not a game here we can't win (actually we should win all four).

We should go 3-3 against the NFC East, and maybe (doubtful) we sweep one of the three. That means we need three more wins with home games against San Fran, New Orleans, and Arizona, and road games with Seattle, Chicago, and St. Louis. This is the tough portion of the schedule, but we could go .500 here with a bit of luck. No way we win in Seattle, probably not in Chicago, but St. Louis is very possible (though I expect them to be pretty good). Arizona, San Fran, and New Orleans will all be tough home games, but we need to find a way to take two of them. That will be tough. I think the key will be the first week against San Fran. They're very good but I think we can out score them. They're not an extremely explosive offensive team. I think that first week will set the tone and go a long way to determining our season. I know saying the first game is a key to the season will make some laugh, but I believe it's extremely important.

 

[BourbonBalz]

Having said everything in my previous post, I could also see us go 5-11 if things go bad and the injury bug hits again.