Adrian Peterson wants to break Emmitt Smith's rushing record

[zrinkill]

That is a long time to be a slave.

 

[mldardy]

A lot of it has to do with longevity and teams willing to put up with average to below average performance well into a RB's twilight years.

Emmitt is a good example of this -- over his last 5 years (2000 - 2004) in the league he averaged:

878 yards rushing
5.6 TDs
3.8 ypc

Pretty terrible numbers for a half of decade.

Compared to other great running backs at the age Emmitt was at during those years those numbers aren't terrible. Look at Payton, Dorsett, Allen, Dickerson, Tomlinson, etc at the age Emmitt was at and they pale in comparison.

 

[bayeslife]

I'd love for him to beat it because I think he's a really great player and hands down a total beast, but he has to be extremely fortunate as far as injuries and production goes, because he could easily wind down like Tomlinson did. He doesn't have to have huge production every year, but he's gotta last as long as Emmitt did, and that's a very tall order.

 

[mldardy]

If he doesn't get any more major injuries in his career then I'd say he'll end up beating E.Smith's record, though probably around 2018 or 2019. All he has to do is average 1355 yards for the next 7 years and he'll get the record. A.P hasn't shown any signs of slowing down, if anything he's shown signs of improvement over the last year, and that's after a major ACL injury.

This is what he has to do for the next 7 years to get the record -

2013 1700
2014 1500
2015 1450
2016 1450
2017 1350
2018 1250
2019 850

I think those are very reasonable statistics for A.P to achieve, he has a lot better chance to do it then some of you think, though I understand most here don't wont him to get it because after all it's E.Smith's record.
I personally think he has a very good chance barring injuries. The reason why I think he'll get it is because he will have 2-3 more years around 1700 yards, and those alone will average out his bad years late in his career.

Those aren't reasonable stats for AP. He has rushed for over 1400 yards only twice in his career so far and you say he will do it 4 times and to do it twice at and after the age of 30 is a lot to ask for.

 

[Gameover]

He'll be lucky if he makes it to 15,000!

 

[mldardy]

If Emmitt was playing for another team instead of the Cowboys, you all would be saying "It will happen"

No we wouldn't

 

[CowboysLover1234]

No we wouldn't

Prove it

 

[mldardy]

Prove it

If you follow most posts in this thread you would realize that most posters aren't using their Cowboy bias and instead posting facts that running backs tend to break down in their 30s and that it's too far out of AP's reach. None of that has anything to do with Emmitt being a Cowboy.

 

[CowboysLover1234]

If you follow most posts in this thread you would realize that most posters aren't using their Cowboy bias and instead posting facts that running backs tend to break down in their 30s and that it's too far out of AP's reach. None of that has anything to do with Emmitt being a Cowboy.

Yeah right

 

[Doomsday101]

If Emmitt was playing for another team instead of the Cowboys, you all would be saying "It will happen"

Not true. I think one day it will happen. Records fall in football and every other sport. I don't know if it will be Peterson who does it, for now he is the only one who has the best chance. Others were talked about as having chances like Curtis Martin and Tomlinson but they came up short. Currently Peterson is ranked 33rd all time leading rusher but if he can continue putting up big yards and stays healthy he may have a shot.

 

[pgreptom]

A lot of it has to do with longevity and teams willing to put up with average to below average performance well into a RB's twilight years.

Emmitt is a good example of this -- over his last 5 years (2000 - 2004) in the league he averaged:

878 yards rushing
5.6 TDs
3.8 ypc

Pretty terrible numbers for a half of decade.

Peterson will have to find a team that is willing to accept (like the Cardinals did for Emmitt) an aging veteran RB and be in a odd position that they can't field a competent backup.

Don't look at it per season. Try per GS, over the last 4 years. During those last 5 years he missed 18 games - over a season worth of games.

66 games, 1166 carries, 4392 yards, 28 touchdowns.

Per game: 17 carries, 66 yards, 3.88 ypc, 0.42 td per g
Averaged over a full season: 272 atts, 1056 yards, ,3.88ypc, 6.7 tds

His last 4 years were all right around projected 1050 yards or so barring injury/missed games, give a take or few. It's not as much as previous years but he also wasn't getting 350 carries a year, either. Yes, I watched it.. I know he wasn't the same Emmitt, but he was still effective when in the game. I don't think average to below average described his performance at all.

 

[BAZ]

His steady diet of PED's should make him good for at least 14,000.

 

[cowboys2233]

His steady diet of PED's should make him good for at least 14,000.

Agreed, I've heard he eats them like Pez candy. A big bowl of PEDs each morning and washes them down with juice, often grape.

 

[Direwolf63]

His steady diet of PED's should make him good for at least 14,000.

That's a pretty strong statement. Do you have any evidence of this?

 

[BAZ]

That's a pretty strong statement. Do you have any evidence of this?

Yes, but I can't talk about it here, in case they are listening. Meet me down the docks tonight and wear a white carnation.

 

[mldardy]

Yeah right

This is called denial.

 

[viman96]

haha no way he makes it by 2017. Zero. 100% not a chance. He would need to average over 1900 yds per season.

120 * 16 = 1920

 

[Hook'em#11]

Not gonna happen.

 

[Clove]

Emmitt never really took blasting hits except for when Roy Williams almost decapitated him. Other than that, he never really took those crushing blows like AP takes. AP had nagging injuries throughout his College career, good luck. All I'm saying, Emmitt took really good care of his body. He was constantly getting professional massages and things to keep his joints and his body from things that prevent you from going forward. He was meticulous about his body and not taking crushing blows. The way you pile up those yards, is longevity with production. We shall see.

 

[dstovall5]

Those aren't reasonable stats for AP. He has rushed for over 1400 yards only twice in his career so far and you say he will do it 4 times and to do it twice at and after the age of 30 is a lot to ask for.

IF he doesn't break the record or get close it's due to his carries then, because if he averages 280-300 carries for the next 7 years he will easily break E.Smith's record barring injury. Since 2009 AP's Y/C has increased every year, and he's yet to show signs of diminishing. He's actually done the exact opposite, he's improved every year even after his ACL. Also the fact that he has only "rushed for over 1400 yards only twice in his career" doesn't matter, because all he needs to average is around 1350 per season.