wick said:
Jones has played 14 career games. In those games, he has had three monster performances: 150 yards, 4.5 ypc, 2 TD; 198 yards, 6.6 ypc, 3 TD; and 149 yards, 5.9 ypc, 1 TD. In his other 11 games, he's gone for 745 yards, 3.31 ypc, and 4 TD. Julius sure gets a lot of benefit of the doubt for a guy who has three skins on the wall. When it's all said and done, Julius will probably be closer to a Thomas Jones type than a legitimate franchise back. I think too many people are assuming he's going to be an All Pro based on a handful of games last year.
Chad, you do realize that even if you take away those three huge games (which account for 18 percent of his career games and 29 percent of his career rushing attempts) BUT you still include two games when he barely played (today and when he got hurt last year) and another game when he played only a half, he STILL averages 67.7 yards per game and has NEVER been held under 57 yards in a game he's started?
Let's see, 14 career games (more like 12 games of playing time) and 1,242 career rushing yards. The only thing separating him from being well on his way to being a franchise back is the injuries he's suffered.
And for a few comparisons, here are the first 14 career games for other "franchise" backs, compared to Julius' first 14 games --
Julius Jones -- 1,242 yards
LaDainian Tomlinson -- 1,053 yards
Shaun Alexander (I'll even skip his rookie season; this is from his second year, when he finally became a starter) -- 1,132 yards
Tiki Barber (again, skip his first five seasons and go to his breakout sixth season) -- 1,123 yards
Clinton Portis -- 1,228 yards
Curtis Martin -- 1,264 yards
Jamal Lewis -- 1,186 yards
Ricky Williams -- 1,018 yards
Edgerrin James -- 1,396 yards
Willis McGahee -- 947 yards
Corey Dillon -- 942 yards
Fred Taylor -- 1,152 yards
And the BEST 14-game stretch of Thomas Jones' entire career, starting in the middle of his fifth season -- 1,150 yards
Even with the three games Julius has been limited in, his 14-game career is ALREADY better than ANYTHING Thomas Jones has ever done.