Betting Trends

[Joe Realist]

this is from BAN-INCOMING-IN-3-2-1

• The Vegas. Edge: Cowboys.
  
  No surprise that the public is betting the Packers.

• Percentage of money on Green Bay: 66% (3,000 bets)
  
  The Trends. Edge: Packers.

• The underdog is 70-41 ATS in Cowboys games since 2010.

• Aaron Rodgers is 78-48 ATS since 2009 (9-6 ATS as a favorite of 12+).

• Aaron Rodgers is 33-25 ATS on the road as long as he's not favored by 6.5 or more points.

• Aaron Rodgers is 16-12 ATS as an underdog.

• Cowboys are 16-25 ATS as home favorites in Cowboys Stadium (excluding Thanksgiving).

• Opening Line: Cowboys -4.

• Opening Total: 51.5.

Read more at http://BAN-INCOMING-IN-3-2-1/nflpicks2016_19late.php#7AEWvAI63KQ7f581.99

 

[jchap]

Usually smart to go anti public

 

[windjc]

Line already moved to 4.5

Pretty much dispels what OP posted.

 

[Tabascocat]

The smart money goes down Saturday, see which way the line moves then

 

[okstateCowboy]

Historical trends have no impact on what this result will be.

 

[ActualCowboysFan]

Line already moved to 4.5

Pretty much dispels what OP posted.

Shoot that Eagles fan is still waiting for 8-8 with the Eagles beating Dallas in the last game to go to the playoffs.

 

[ActualCowboysFan]

Outside of his Super Bowl run, Aaron Rodgers is 1-4 on the road in the playoffs. That one win? Against the hapless Commanders team from last year that Matt Cassell beat.

 

[JBS]

Line already moved to 4.5

Pretty much dispels what OP posted.

Not exactly...reverse line movement is real

 

[black label]

Not exactly...reverse line movement is real

Yup It happened with packer game, Packers opened at -4 and money was slightly more on the giants and yet the line went to 6

 

[Beast_from_East]

this is from BAN-INCOMING-IN-3-2-1

• The Vegas. Edge: Cowboys.
  
  No surprise that the public is betting the Packers.

• Percentage of money on Green Bay: 66% (3,000 bets)
  
  The Trends. Edge: Packers.
  

• The underdog is 70-41 ATS in Cowboys games since 2010.

• Aaron Rodgers is 78-48 ATS since 2009 (9-6 ATS as a favorite of 12+).

• Aaron Rodgers is 33-25 ATS on the road as long as he's not favored by 6.5 or more points.

• Aaron Rodgers is 16-12 ATS as an underdog.

• Cowboys are 16-25 ATS as home favorites in Cowboys Stadium (excluding Thanksgiving).

• Opening Line: Cowboys -4.

• Opening Total: 51.5.

Read more at http://BAN-INCOMING-IN-3-2-1/nflpicks2016_19late.php#7AEWvAI63KQ7f581.99

For somebody that does not bet on football games, can somebody explain what this actually means?

If Cowboys are 4 point favorites why is everybody betting on Green Bay to win? Isnt the line suppose to represent which team is better, so if the Cowboys are considered better than why is everybody putting money down on Green Bay to win? Shouldn't you bet money on the team that is considered better?

Sorry if these are stupid questions, I have made small bets with friends and coworkers but it is usually the loser has to wear the opposing team's jersey every day for a week or the loser has to buy the winner lunch for a week or something like that. I have never bet actual money on a football game so other than knowing that -4 means Dallas is favored by 4 points, I pretty much have no idea how all the other stuff works.

 

[thunderpimp91]

For somebody that does not bet on football games, can somebody explain what this actually means?

If Cowboys are 4 point favorites why is everybody betting on Green Bay to win? Isnt the line suppose to represent which team is better, so if the Cowboys are considered better than why is everybody putting money down on Green Bay to win? Shouldn't you bet money on the team that is considered better?

Sorry if these are stupid questions, I have made small bets with friends and coworkers but it is usually the loser has to wear the opposing team's jersey every day for a week or the loser has to buy the winner lunch for a week or something like that. I have never bet actual money on a football game so other than knowing that -4 means Dallas is favored by 4 points, I pretty much have no idea how all the other stuff works.

As a 4 point favorite if you bet on Dallas you have to literally subtract that from their final score. In other words before the game even begins in the eyes of Vegas it's Green Bay 0 Dallas -4

 

[SHAMSzy]

-215 dal moneyline means vegas has us winning over 66% of the time

 

[Blackspider214]

Who's made more money over time, the public or Vegas? Tons of the public bets in the moment and attaches themselves to the flavor of the month teams. Vegas does the opposite.

What the public is doing means nothing in my eyes.

 

[greatwallofdallas]

For somebody that does not bet on football games, can somebody explain what this actually means?

If Cowboys are 4 point favorites why is everybody betting on Green Bay to win? Isnt the line suppose to represent which team is better, so if the Cowboys are considered better than why is everybody putting money down on Green Bay to win? Shouldn't you bet money on the team that is considered better?

Sorry if these are stupid questions, I have made small bets with friends and coworkers but it is usually the loser has to wear the opposing team's jersey every day for a week or the loser has to buy the winner lunch for a week or something like that. I have never bet actual money on a football game so other than knowing that -4 means Dallas is favored by 4 points, I pretty much have no idea how all the other stuff works.

Everyone is betting Green Bay because the media is hyping up the RED HOT RODGERS.
And they're throwing in 4 points.

So even if the Cowboys win by a fieldgoal, people who took GB +4 would win the bet.

 

[jazzcat22]

Odds say that if you have a good team, you will win the odds most of the time....I am sure there are stats and odds for that....those stats mean nothing to me...you seen how they threw in the disclaimers as long as it was not over 6.5.
Same for teams not so good, as to not beating the odds, or injured teams.

 

[NumOneQB]

Line already moved to 4.5

Pretty much dispels what OP posted.

Maybe Vegas is expecting an influx of sharp money on the Cowboys later this week, thus moving the line to increase Packer bets......

 

[Sarge]

Line already moved to 4.5

Pretty much dispels what OP posted.

Exactly, makes no sense whatsoever.

 

[Sydla]

Line already moved to 4.5

Pretty much dispels what OP posted.

And the money line has moved in Cowboys favor too opening at -180 and now at -220.

If the majority of money is coming in on the Packers and Vegas is moving the line the other direction, that's an indication Vegas really likes Dallas.

 

[Diehardblues]

Line already moved to 4.5

Pretty much dispels what OP posted.

Yea, opening big money went on Cowboys moving the line to 4 1/2.

Maybe more people are betting on Packers but the bigger money moved the line up indicating it went on the Cowboys

 

[slomoxn]

Who's made more money over time, the public or Vegas? Tons of the public bets in the moment and attaches themselves to the flavor of the month teams. Vegas does the opposite.

What the public is doing means nothing in my eyes.

I live in Vegas, work construction and build casinos. We have a saying that locals use, no not "what happens in Vegas stays in Vegas," (even though it does). It's "casinos aren't built on winners." Remember that when you bet, the sports books have the sharpest gambling minds you can find making those lines and they're good at what they do.