BIGDen;5025395 said:
That is frequently true, but quite a few times in recent years some huge bounces/breaks have helped these good (but definitely not great) teams along the way. If Crayton doesn't implode in '07, the Giants are done. If Kyle Williams doesn't implode in 2011, the Giants go home. A Denver safety made a huge boneheaded play against Baltimore last year or Balt was done. The Giants fumble 3x in the SB in 2011 and lost possession ZERO times - how often does that happen? If Favre didn't throw that moronic pass across his body against the Saints in '09, the Saints were likely done. Those teams that won those SBs obviously did some good things along the way, but most of them required some very good fortune or they would've been sitting at home with no hardware to show for their efforts.
The Broncos wouldn't have been in that game without two giant special teams scores. How often does that happen? PR and KR for a TD in a single game by the same team?
I don't know how often stuff like that happens but then again I don't keep track of these sorts of things. It's football, if these sorts of things didn't happen the game wouldn't be nearly as interesting as it is. Furthermore, if they didn't happen then there'd be less hope for teams across the league.
These things do happen. If a blown whistle doesn't stop a play against the Bucs, you can add 7 points to their score against Dallas in a game that ended 16-10. If AJ Green doesn't drop an inordinate amount of passes, Dallas likely doesn't win that game. If Dez gets his hand inbounds, Dallas wins against the Giants.
These things happen every week across the league. You could probably "if" your way into any outcome of any game.
All I'm saying is that we no longer see the Cowboys of the 90s or Steelers of the 70s type teams. Those teams were great during the season and showed it in the postseason. Nowadays, the key is to get in and upsets happen frequently. The top seeded team is knocked off by a decent team quite often. The reason is that even the best teams these day are not that great and have holes. Parity gives 8 to 10 win teams plenty of hope.
Sure, parity might give hope but that's nothing without improved play over the stretch. If you have hope and continue on your .500 ways, you probably won't get the job done.
If you're 8-8 going into the playoffs and you don't step your game up, you're probably gonna get a swift exit. The Ravens this year and the Giants from last year both stepped their games up.
That's the point I was trying to make. Parity might give teams a better shot but they still have to go out there and get the job done and odds are a team that was 8-8 isn't as likely to do it when compared to 12 win, or even 10 win teams.