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The Cowboys had high hopes coming into this season, but a healthy quarterback means a lot, and after an overtime loss to Philly last week Dallas is now 0-6 straight up and 1-5 against the spread since losing Tony Romo. The Cowboys hope to get off that schneid and perhaps salvage their season when they visit Tampa Bay Sunday afternoon.
Point spread: The Cowboys opened as one-point favorites; the total was 43.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)
NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 29.9-17.3 Buccaneers
Why the Cowboys can cover the spread
Dallas may have lost six games in a row, but four of those could have gone either way, including last week's 33-27 overtime loss to the Eagles. The Cowboys tied the game at 27 with a late field goal but lost on a 41-yard Sam Bradford-to-Jordan Matthews scoring hookup on the opening possession of overtime.
On the night Dallas got outgained by 48 yards, but basically all of that came on that last play. The Cowboys won time of possession by almost 13 minutes but also gave up a touchdown on a Matt Cassel pick-six.
Two weeks ago Dallas lost to Seattle 13-12; just before that they lost to the Giants 27-20 on a 100-yard kickoff return for a score in the fourth quarter; and before that they lost at New Orleans in overtime 26-20; all without Romo. But believe it or not, at just 2-6 both SU and ATS on the season, the Cowboys aren't dead yet.
Why the Buccaneers can cover the spread
The Bucs have alternated wins and losses over the last several weeks, beating Jacksonville, losing at Washington, then upsetting Atlanta but last week falling at home to the Giants 32-18. So if recent form holds Tampa is primed for a win this week, right?
The Buccaneers trailed New York 17-6 in the second quarter, pulled to within 20-18 with nine minutes to go but missed on a two-point conversion and couldn't quite complete the comeback. They also lateraled into a Giants defensive touchdown in the last seconds, producing a slightly misleading final score. On the day Tampa outgained New York 382-327 and won the ground game 136-114, but three early incursions inside the Giants 10-yard line produced just nine points.
Last week was the first time this year the Bucs lost a game in which Jameis Winston didn't throw an interception; before that Tampa was 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in those games.
Smart pick
This is actually an interesting contest; Dallas is 2-6 but not dead yet, while Tampa is 3-5, 2-2 over its last four games and blew a win against Washington. However, while the Bucs have outgained four of their last five opponents, and outrushed all five of them, the Cowboys have been outgained five of their last six times out. Take Tampa.
Betting trends
The Cowboys are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Buccaneers.
The Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after an ATS loss.
The Cowboys are 11-4 SU and ATS in their last 15 games after consecutive losses.
All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark, all quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app.
Read more Dallas Cowboys news on BleacherReport.com
Continue reading...
Point spread: The Cowboys opened as one-point favorites; the total was 43.5 early in the week, according to sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. (Line updates and matchup report)
NFL pick, via Odds Shark computer: 29.9-17.3 Buccaneers
Why the Cowboys can cover the spread
Dallas may have lost six games in a row, but four of those could have gone either way, including last week's 33-27 overtime loss to the Eagles. The Cowboys tied the game at 27 with a late field goal but lost on a 41-yard Sam Bradford-to-Jordan Matthews scoring hookup on the opening possession of overtime.
On the night Dallas got outgained by 48 yards, but basically all of that came on that last play. The Cowboys won time of possession by almost 13 minutes but also gave up a touchdown on a Matt Cassel pick-six.
Two weeks ago Dallas lost to Seattle 13-12; just before that they lost to the Giants 27-20 on a 100-yard kickoff return for a score in the fourth quarter; and before that they lost at New Orleans in overtime 26-20; all without Romo. But believe it or not, at just 2-6 both SU and ATS on the season, the Cowboys aren't dead yet.
Why the Buccaneers can cover the spread
The Bucs have alternated wins and losses over the last several weeks, beating Jacksonville, losing at Washington, then upsetting Atlanta but last week falling at home to the Giants 32-18. So if recent form holds Tampa is primed for a win this week, right?
The Buccaneers trailed New York 17-6 in the second quarter, pulled to within 20-18 with nine minutes to go but missed on a two-point conversion and couldn't quite complete the comeback. They also lateraled into a Giants defensive touchdown in the last seconds, producing a slightly misleading final score. On the day Tampa outgained New York 382-327 and won the ground game 136-114, but three early incursions inside the Giants 10-yard line produced just nine points.
Last week was the first time this year the Bucs lost a game in which Jameis Winston didn't throw an interception; before that Tampa was 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in those games.
Smart pick
This is actually an interesting contest; Dallas is 2-6 but not dead yet, while Tampa is 3-5, 2-2 over its last four games and blew a win against Washington. However, while the Bucs have outgained four of their last five opponents, and outrushed all five of them, the Cowboys have been outgained five of their last six times out. Take Tampa.
Betting trends
The Cowboys are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games against the Buccaneers.
The Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after an ATS loss.
The Cowboys are 11-4 SU and ATS in their last 15 games after consecutive losses.
All point spread and lines data courtesy of Odds Shark, all quotes gathered firsthand unless otherwise noted. Check out Twitter for injury and line movement updates and get the free odds tracker app.
Read more Dallas Cowboys news on BleacherReport.com
Continue reading...