Breakdown of Weeden's 108.8 season rating

[percyhoward]

45 of 59 76.3% 551 yd 9.3 ypa 2 td 1 int 108.8

by direction
left :1 of 8 12.5% 67 yd 8.4 ypa 0 td 1 int 22.4
middle: 34 of 36 94.4% 356 yd 9.9 ypa 1 td 0 int 117.1
right: 10 of 14 71.4% 128 yd 9.1 ypa td 0 int 123.5

by target distance
<10 yards: 37 of 41 90.2% 321 yd 7.8 ypa 0 td 0 int 99.3
10-19 yards: 5 of 10 50.0% 118 yd 11.8 ypa 1 td 1 int 86.7
20+ yards: 3 of 7 42.9% 112 yd 16.0 ypa 1 td 0 int 129.5

by target
Witten 11 of 15 73.3% 129 yd 8.6 ypa 0 td 1 int 71.2
Beasley 12 of 12 100% 126 yd 10.5 ypa 0 td 0 int 110.4
Dunbar 12 of 12 100% 106 yd 8.8 ypa 0 td 0 int 103.5
Williams 4 of 13 30.8% 91 yd 7.0 ypa 2 td 0 int 96.5
Randle 2 of 2 for 18 yd
Escobar 1 of 2 for 3 yd
Butler 1 of 1 for 67 yd
Hanna 1 of 1 for 7 yd
Clutts 1 of 1 for 4 yd

by down (conversion %)
1st: 11 of 18 61.1% 159 yd 8.8 ypa 0 td 1 int 66.7 (38.9%)
2nd: 21 of 25 84% 237 yd 9.5 0 td 0 int 106.2 (46.2%)
3rd: 12 of 14 85.7% 138 yd 9.9 1 td 0 int 131.5 (27.8%)
4th: 1 of 2 50% 17 yd 8.5 ypa 1 td 0 int 118.8 (50%)

by quarter
1st: 10 of 11 90.9% 110 yd 10.0 ypa 0 td 0 int 108.3
2nd: 11 of 15 73.3% 120 yd 8.0 ypa 0 td 1 int 68.8
3rd: 9 of 14 64.3% 138 yd 9.9 ypa 0 td 0 int 96.7
4th: 15 of 19 78.9% 183 yd 9.6 ypa 2 td 0 int 141.9

11.9% of Weeden's attempts have been to targets 20+ yards downfield. That's more than Eli (10.5%), Brees (10.2%), and Rodgers (8.9%).

Only 13.4% of Weeden's attempts have come off of play action. That's less than Ryan (19.7%), Rodgers (18.9%), and Brady (18.7%)

League-wide, 65% of all 3rd-down completions result in a first down. Only 41.7% of Weeden's 3rd-down completions have resulted in a first down.

Over the last two games, Dallas' average gain on a 1st- or 2nd-down run is 5.2 yards, which leads the league. The Cowboys' 14 first downs on 1st- or 2nd-down runs ties for the league lead with the Chiefs. 13 of the 14 first downs have come in the first half of games. In Weeden's two starts, Dallas' average gain on a 1st- or 2nd-down run in the first half of games is 7.2 yards (1st). In the second half of games it's 1.4 yards (32nd).

 

[Idgit]

Any idea what the first half 3rd down completion rate looks like? Are we at or near league average early, and then plummet when the running gets tougher in the 2nd half?

 

[CCBoy]

The Weeden game is strictly down the middle and mainly to the right side line...and that makes defending the run a ton easier as well.

Teams are just starting to wait until the second half and adjust to handling the Dallas weakness and then tiring out the short manned defensive front.

 

[maxdallasfan]

OL don't block, can't run. Can't run, can't pass. Can't pass, can't run. Teams load the box, can't run. When the box is loaded, QB has less time to throw. Can't pass, can't run.

Simple.

 

[percyhoward]

Any idea what the first half 3rd down completion rate looks like? Are we at or near league average early, and then plummet when the running gets tougher in the 2nd half?

In the first half of Weeden's starts, Dallas ranks 4th in 3rd-down conversion percentage (55.6%).

In the second half of those games, we rank 32nd (0 of 9).

 

[CCBoy]

Percy, thanks for the statistical directions you always provide us. There are a wealth of snapshots always open for discussion from them.

 

[DallasInDC]

If you told this board two weeks ago that those would be Weeden's stats after two games, everyone on this board would say we were all but guaranteed being undefeated heading into the Pats game. Weeden did what you would expect from a backup QB. He wasn't as good as the stats would tell you, but he was good enough to win. The rest of the team (OL, WR, Defense) didn't do their job to help out Weeden.

 

[Yakuza Rich]

45 of 59 76.3% 551 yd 9.3 ypa 2 td 1 int 108.8

by direction
left :1 of 8 12.5% 67 yd 8.4 ypa 0 td 1 int 22.4
middle: 34 of 36 94.4% 356 yd 9.9 ypa 1 td 0 int 117.1
right: 10 of 14 71.4% 128 yd 9.1 ypa td 0 int 123.5

by target distance
<10 yards: 37 of 41 90.2% 321 yd 7.8 ypa 0 td 0 int 99.3
10-19 yards: 5 of 10 50.0% 118 yd 11.8 ypa 1 td 1 int 86.7
20+ yards: 3 of 7 42.9% 112 yd 16.0 ypa 1 td 0 int 129.5

by target
Witten 11 of 15 73.3% 129 yd 8.6 ypa 0 td 1 int 71.2
Beasley 12 of 12 100% 126 yd 10.5 ypa 0 td 0 int 110.4
Dunbar 12 of 12 100% 106 yd 8.8 ypa 0 td 0 int 103.5
Williams 4 of 13 30.8% 91 yd 7.0 ypa 2 td 0 int 96.5
Randle 2 of 2 for 18 yd
Escobar 1 of 2 for 3 yd
Butler 1 of 1 for 67 yd
Hanna 1 of 1 for 7 yd
Clutts 1 of 1 for 4 yd

by down (conversion %)
1st: 11 of 18 61.1% 159 yd 8.8 ypa 0 td 1 int 66.7 (38.9%)
2nd: 21 of 25 84% 237 yd 9.5 0 td 0 int 106.2 (46.2%)
3rd: 12 of 14 85.7% 138 yd 9.9 1 td 0 int 131.5 (27.8%)
4th: 1 of 2 50% 17 yd 8.5 ypa 1 td 0 int 118.8 (50%)

by quarter
1st: 10 of 11 90.9% 110 yd 10.0 ypa 0 td 0 int 108.3
2nd: 11 of 15 73.3% 120 yd 8.0 ypa 0 td 1 int 68.8
3rd: 9 of 14 64.3% 138 yd 9.9 ypa 0 td 0 int 96.7
4th: 15 of 19 78.9% 183 yd 9.6 ypa 2 td 0 int 141.9

11.9% of Weeden's attempts have been to targets 20+ yards downfield. That's more than Eli (10.5%), Brees (10.2%), and Rodgers (8.9%).

Only 13.4% of Weeden's attempts have come off of play action. That's less than Ryan (19.7%), Rodgers (18.9%), and Brady (18.7%)

League-wide, 65% of all 3rd-down completions result in a first down. Only 41.7% of Weeden's 3rd-down completions have resulted in a first down.

Over the last two games, Dallas' average gain on a 1st- or 2nd-down run is 5.2 yards, which leads the league. The Cowboys' 14 first downs on 1st- or 2nd-down runs ties for the league lead with the Chiefs. 13 of the 14 first downs have come in the first half of games. In Weeden's two starts, Dallas' average gain on a 1st- or 2nd-down run in the first half of games is 7.2 yards (1st). In the second half of games it's 1.4 yards (32nd).

Yup, he's real horrible. STATS LIE!

...and other nonsense.




YR

 

[Oh_Canada]

You can bet Bellicheat will know this and force Weeds to throw outside the hash.

 

[Idgit]

In the first half of Weeden's starts, Dallas ranks 4th in 3rd-down conversion percentage (55.6%).

In the second half of those games, we rank 32nd (0 of 9).

0-9. Ouch. About what you'd exlect if you'd seen the two games though.

It's so frustrating, because it's fairly unlike this team to get worse as the games wear on.

 

[SHAMSzy]

T Will is the most boom or bust player I can ever remember. He makes me jump out of my chair multiple times every game. Sometimes cheering, sometimes cussing.

 

[percyhoward]

Conversions by pass on 3rd down
2014
48.0% (1st)
avg 7.4 yds to go (8th)

2015 (first two games)
42.9% (10th)
avg. 6.7 yards to go (7th)

last two games
28.6% (24th)
avg. 7.8 yds to go (13th)

 

[jday]

If you told this board two weeks ago that those would be Weeden's stats after two games, everyone on this board would say we were all but guaranteed being undefeated heading into the Pats game. Weeden did what you would expect from a backup QB. He wasn't as good as the stats would tell you, but he was good enough to win. The rest of the team (OL, WR, Defense) didn't do their job to help out Weeden.

Preach.

 

[camelboy]

My problem with the numbers (and I keep hearing these number here and on TV and radio) is that they don't tell the whole story...one has to consider the eye-evaluation .. there were snaps where the whole world was screaming at Weeden to throw it away but his immobility causes a sack .. some other snaps the whole world could see how slow his reads are...then you have the bad throws .. even for a back QB (who is supposed to be the one taking on Wednesday training every week) they shouldn't happen...

I am not trying to keep knocking on the guy ..but my point is enough with these numbers .. they look good..but during the game he (as did other players) was the problem for killing drives ..

 

[jday]

45 of 59 76.3% 551 yd 9.3 ypa 2 td 1 int 108.8

by direction
left :1 of 8 12.5% 67 yd 8.4 ypa 0 td 1 int 22.4
middle: 34 of 36 94.4% 356 yd 9.9 ypa 1 td 0 int 117.1
right: 10 of 14 71.4% 128 yd 9.1 ypa td 0 int 123.5

by target distance
<10 yards: 37 of 41 90.2% 321 yd 7.8 ypa 0 td 0 int 99.3
10-19 yards: 5 of 10 50.0% 118 yd 11.8 ypa 1 td 1 int 86.7
20+ yards: 3 of 7 42.9% 112 yd 16.0 ypa 1 td 0 int 129.5

by target
Witten 11 of 15 73.3% 129 yd 8.6 ypa 0 td 1 int 71.2
Beasley 12 of 12 100% 126 yd 10.5 ypa 0 td 0 int 110.4
Dunbar 12 of 12 100% 106 yd 8.8 ypa 0 td 0 int 103.5
Williams 4 of 13 30.8% 91 yd 7.0 ypa 2 td 0 int 96.5
Randle 2 of 2 for 18 yd
Escobar 1 of 2 for 3 yd
Butler 1 of 1 for 67 yd
Hanna 1 of 1 for 7 yd
Clutts 1 of 1 for 4 yd

by down (conversion %)
1st: 11 of 18 61.1% 159 yd 8.8 ypa 0 td 1 int 66.7 (38.9%)
2nd: 21 of 25 84% 237 yd 9.5 0 td 0 int 106.2 (46.2%)
3rd: 12 of 14 85.7% 138 yd 9.9 1 td 0 int 131.5 (27.8%)
4th: 1 of 2 50% 17 yd 8.5 ypa 1 td 0 int 118.8 (50%)

by quarter
1st: 10 of 11 90.9% 110 yd 10.0 ypa 0 td 0 int 108.3
2nd: 11 of 15 73.3% 120 yd 8.0 ypa 0 td 1 int 68.8
3rd: 9 of 14 64.3% 138 yd 9.9 ypa 0 td 0 int 96.7
4th: 15 of 19 78.9% 183 yd 9.6 ypa 2 td 0 int 141.9

11.9% of Weeden's attempts have been to targets 20+ yards downfield. That's more than Eli (10.5%), Brees (10.2%), and Rodgers (8.9%).

Only 13.4% of Weeden's attempts have come off of play action. That's less than Ryan (19.7%), Rodgers (18.9%), and Brady (18.7%)

League-wide, 65% of all 3rd-down completions result in a first down. Only 41.7% of Weeden's 3rd-down completions have resulted in a first down.

Over the last two games, Dallas' average gain on a 1st- or 2nd-down run is 5.2 yards, which leads the league. The Cowboys' 14 first downs on 1st- or 2nd-down runs ties for the league lead with the Chiefs. 13 of the 14 first downs have come in the first half of games. In Weeden's two starts, Dallas' average gain on a 1st- or 2nd-down run in the first half of games is 7.2 yards (1st). In the second half of games it's 1.4 yards (32nd).

Awesome contribution. Thank you for taking the time to put this together.

Just curious what your take is on why the Cowboys seem to fall apart in the second half of games. In this past game, I felt like the Cowboys were playing to not lose as opposed to trying to win, based on the fact that they didn't quite let Weedon loose, it seemed, until it was too late. Now, truth be told, that also could speak to Weeden's desperation in getting something going to get his first win, and had nothing to do with playcalling. But overall, I was happier with Weeden's performance, than most of the team...especially the defense.

 

[percyhoward]

0-9. Ouch. About what you'd expect if you'd seen the two games though.

It's so frustrating, because it's fairly unlike this team to get worse as the games wear on.

In the last two games, we haven't converted anything with more than 6 yards to go. (0 for 7).

Last year, we ranked 5th in the NFL in conversions on 3rd and >6.

 

[CyberB0b]

It's clear that late in the game, they load up the box and dare Weeden and these WRs to beat them deep. Delvin Breaux shut down Williams for the majority of the game Sunday.

 

[Idgit]

My problem with the numbers (and I keep hearing these number here and on TV and radio) is that they don't tell the whole story...one has to consider the eye-evaluation .. there were snaps where the whole world was screaming at Weeden to throw it away but his immobility causes a sack .. some other snaps the whole world could see how slow his reads are...then you have the bad throws .. even for a back QB (who is supposed to be the one taking on Wednesday training every week) they shouldn't happen...

I am not trying to keep knocking on the guy ..but my point is enough with these numbers .. they look good..but during the game he (as did other players) was the problem for killing drives ..

The problem with your eyeball test method is that it doesn't necessarily match my eyeball test method. That's why attempting to measure what's really going on makes so much sense.

 

[percyhoward]

Just curious what your take is on why the Cowboys seem to fall apart in the second half of games.

Offensively, I think it's mostly defenses figuring out ways to stop our run game on 1st and 2nd, putting us in 3rd and long situations that we can't overcome.

 

[Doomsay]

Conversions by pass on 3rd down
2014
48.0% (1st)
avg 7.4 yds to go (8th)

2015 (first two games)
42.9% (10th)
avg. 6.7 yards to go (7th)

last two games
28.6% (24th)
avg. 7.8 yds to go (13th)

That will help kill our defense - also not audiblizing out of a 9 man front. His long drive on Sunday was pretty good, he just needs to read defenses a little better. LOL at Fredo.