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Yesterday we took a detailed look at the Cowboys' roster with the help of positional rankings by looking at how individual players ranked relative to their NFL peers at the same position. Today we're going to compare the Cowboys and Eagles rosters using the same methodology.
Just as a brief reminder, the positional rankings are derived from the Pro Football Focus rankings and are adjusted so that the best player in the league at his position gets 100 positional value points and the worst at his position gets zero points (for more details, read yesterday's post). Overall, those rankings result in the following five tiers or quintiles:
Positional Ranking Description
100-81
Blue-Chip Players100-81
80-61
NFL starter quality at position60-41
Average to slightly below average player40-21
Underperformer20-0
Red FlagAs you review the figures and charts in the rest of this post, keep in mind that the numbers give a directional indication of how a player performed over the first six games, but shouldn't be seen as a definitive statement of a player's quality. While I'm confident that a player marked in blue had a better start to the season than a player marked in yellow, there is probably less of a difference between players with a value of, say, 75 and 85 than the numbers and the color code would seem to indicate.
Cowboys vs. Eagles
It's always tricky comparing rosters, especially when teams play different systems, like a 3-4 or 4-3. So in trying to make the two teams at least superficially comparable, I've decided to use a 29-man roster for each team.
- 13 players on offense: one player at QB, two players each at TE and HB, five offensive linemen and three wide receivers. The tight ends and wide receivers are ranked by their receiving grade only.
- 13 players on defense: eight combined defensive linemen and linebackers per team, as well as five defensive backs (three corners and two safeties each). In contrast to yesterday's post, cornerbacks today are ranked by their pass defense grade only.
- 3 players on special teams: a kicker, a punter and a returner.
In selecting the players, I chose the players with the most snaps at their position in 2013, but required that those players be likely to play on Sunday. That rules out DeMarco Murray and DeMarcus Ware for the Cowboys as well as Michael Vick for the Eagles. These criteria also mean that I've had to include three Cowboys players who have not played 25% of the team snaps, and therefore technically don't qualify for the positional rankings. For those three, I've used an equivalent ranking, using their current grades to determine how they would rank among their NFL peers who played 25% of their team's snaps.
Here's what the 2013 rosters for the Cowboys and Eagles look like using the positional ranking approach:
Cowboys Eagles
Player POS Snaps Pos. Rank
Player POS Snaps Pos Rank
Doug Free OT 381 100
Evan Mathis OG 437 100
Dwayne Harris KR - - 94
LeSean McCoy RB 330 100
Dez Bryant WR 359 94
DeSean Jackson WR 404 96
Jason Hatcher DT 317 94
Fletcher Cox 34DE 339 88
Dan Bailey K - - 94
Zach Ertz TE 160 86
Brandon Carr CB 415 87
Jason Kelce OC 436 76
Jason Witten TE 381 86
Cedric Thornton 34DE 316 69
Sean Lee ILB 418 86
Brandon Boykin CB 310 69
Brian Waters OG 222 85
Bradley Fletcher CB 368 68
J.J. Wilcox S 292 82
Trent Cole 34OLB 356 67
Tony Romo QB 380 82
Damaris Johnson KR - - 58
Travis Frederick OC 381 79
Nick Foles QB 122 58
Barry Church S 394 73
Brent Celek TE 354 53
Tyron Smith OT 379 70
Jason Peters OT 421 49
George Selvie DE 288 57
Nate Allen S 409 45
Ronald Leary OG 374 55
Isaac Sopoaga DT 168 40
Drake Nevis* DT 73 43
Alex Henery K - - 38
Terrance Williams WR 245 37
Bryce Brown RB 99 31
Orlando Scandrick CB 406 36
Donnie Jones P - - 29
Joseph Randle* RB 24 33
Connor Barwin 34OLB 429 28
Phillip Tanner* RB 12 31
Todd Herremans OG 437 27
Kyle Wilber DE 140 28
Cary Williams CB 444 26
Miles Austin WR 208 27
Jason Avant WR 343 24
James Hanna TE 125 20
Patrick Chung S 236 24
Bruce Carter OLB 344 16
Lane Johnson OT 436 16
Chris Jones P - - 12
Riley Cooper WR 385 8
Ernie Sims OLB 110 10
Bennie Logan 34DE 142 7
Morris Claiborne CB 334 9
DeMeco Ryans ILB 460 2
Nick Hayden DT 326 4
Mychal Kendricks ILB 454 0
As you look at the overall color schemes across the two rosters in the table above, the Cowboys have a distinct advantage in that they have more blue-chip players than the Eagles have, despite both teams sporting identical 3-3 records. At the same time, football games are won as much by teams making great plays as they are lost by teams making costly mistakes, and as you look at the bottom of the table, you'll see that both teams have about an equal amount of players who've delivered sub-par performances over the first six games of the year.
Position Groups
Overall, the Cowboys enjoy a slight advantage over the Eagles, but that doesn't help understand how the quality is distributed across the team. A look at the position groups could change that. The table below shows the average positional rank for the players in six specific units.
Positional Group Cowboys Eagles
Secondary (CB, S) 57 46
Linebackers 37 1
Front 4 / Front 5 45 50
O-line 78 54
Receiving Corps (WR, TE) 53 53
Special Teams (K, P, KR) 59 42
Secondary (CB, S) 57 46
Linebackers 37 1
Front 4 / Front 5 45 50
O-line 78 54
Receiving Corps (WR, TE) 53 53
Special Teams (K, P, KR) 59 42
As is to be expected, almost half of the position groups here are marked in yellow, which means they are about average, with a positional value between 60 and 41 points. The only position group outside of that range is the Cowboys' O-line, which grades as a borderline blue-chip unit, as well as both linebacker units. At linebacker, the Cowboys at least have Sean Lee to balance the performance of Bruce Carter and Ernie Sims, while the Eagles' linebackers DeMeco Ryans and Mychal Kendricks should present highly favorable matchups for the Cowboys slot receivers and tight ends.
The Cowboys have an advantage in the secondary, particularly at safety; they look better on special teams despite a sub-par punter; and even though they'll likely miss DeMarcus Ware, they don't look far behind the Eagles front five on the defensive line. Keep in mind that the table does not contain the ground game, where the Eagles will likely enjoy a significant advantage, and doesn't reflect the strength of the Cowboys' passing game either.
In the end though, whether any of this translates into the game tomorrow is another question entirely.
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