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This week's Power Rankings see the Cowboys rise a few notches, but mostly remain in the bottom third of the rankings.
The Cowboys are still in business in the NFC East, but did yesterday's win just put off the inevitable for a few more weeks? Was that too little, too late?
That depends on what the rest of the NFC East does over the last quarter of the season, which is why today we look at where all four NFC East teams are ranked, and sneak a peek at the Packers too.
This week's power rankings for your delectation.
Opinion-based rankings
Newsday - No. 20 (+6)
Matt Cassel sets up Dan Bailey with the winning 54-yard field goal, and the Cowboys are still in business in the NFC East. Strange but true.
Washington Post - No. 21 (+6)
They at last won a game without Tony Romo at QB and WR Dez Bryant made some contributions in crunch time Monday after being unproductive most the night. But the Cowboys had to overcome their own clock mismanagement to finally prevail on Dan Bailey’s clutch FG.
Shutdown Corner - No. 22 (+4)
Here's why the strategy to not put Tony Romo on injured reserve was smart, and not because that awful win Monday night leaves them one game out in the NFC East. If there's even a 1 percent chance that the Cowboys make the playoffs and Romo is healthy by then, that provides infinitely more value than whoever would get Dallas' 53rd spot on the roster. It's amazing when you see teams screw this up. Having an extra player who will be inactive each week until season's end is not more valuable than the chance of having your starting quarterback return for the playoffs, however small that chance is.
ESPN - No. 23 (+6)
At 4-8, the Cowboys are just a game back of the NFC East lead. However, Dallas has the second-hardest remaining strength of schedule in the NFL.
Foxsports - No. 23 (-2)
Despite losing the turnover battle again in Week 13, the Cowboys (minus-14 this season) forced a Commanders’ mistake when it counted the most.
NFL.com - No. 26 (+-0)
Stop if you've heard this before: The Cowboys only have to ________ to win the NFC East. Unreal that this team, after losing Tony Romo, prematurely firing Brandon Weeden (in the minds of some), tossing Matt Cassel into the fire, getting Romo back for seven quarters, then turning back to Cassel, still has a chance to take the division. Dallas, at 4-8, has as much business being in a division race as Ryan Mallet does keynoting a team leadership conference.
Bleacher Report - No. 26 (+2)
But despite all that awfulness from two teams riding sewage-level quarterbacks, there's now an all-too real chance one of them will be hosting a playoff game. At 4-8 the Cowboys are just one game back of the NFC East division lead. Truly haunting stuff.
MLive.com - No. 27 (+3).
Lose the turnover battle, score just one touchdown in four trips to the red zone and still win on the road. Somehow, the Cowboys are one game out of first in the NFC East.
USA Today - No. 28 (+2)
Just when you thought they'd flatlined, a heartbeat. But tough tests loom next two weeks at Green Bay and home vs. Jets.
Stat-based rankings
FiveThirtyEight - No. 17 (+1). Elo ratings are a simple system that estimates each team’s skill level using only the final scores and locations of each game.
Sagarin Ratings: No. 20 (+4). These are rankings based on W/L record, points differential and schedule strength.
Teamrankings.com - No. 21 (+9). This site measures the relative strength of all teams using team performance, home/away status, margin of victory and other factors.
Aikman Efficiency Ratings - No. 22 (+2) This metric combines seven stats into one number: yards per rush, yards per pass play, turnovers per game, first downs per game, third-down percentage, points per game (unit on field) and points per red zone possession.
Coldhardfootballfacts - No. 24 (+3). This indicator ranks teams based on their average ranking across a range of CHFF's Quality Stats.
BeatGraphs.com: No. 25 (+-0). BeatGraphs provide rankings that cannot be defeated by a chain of A beat B beat C scenarios. In the end, when all ambiguity is removed, if A has beaten B, A will be ranked above B.
Numberfire - No. 25 (+1) These rankings are based on expected point differential against a league average team. If the team's rating is 10, they would be expected to win by 10 points against a league-average opponent.
Oddsshark: No. 26 (-2). Oddsshark use a multitude of stats to establish an offensive and defensive power ranking, which they then adjust for the strength of schedule.
The table below summarizes the power rankings for the four NFC East teams as well as the Week 14 opponent, the Packers.
Newsday
20 26 16 22 19 16 18 15 8
Washington Post
21 27 17 26 19 18 18 15 9
Shutdown Corner
22 26 19 24 18 17 17 16 9
Foxsports
23 21 17 30 18 16 15 14 9
ESPN
23 29 19 24 20 18 18 13 7
NFL.com
26 26 22 24 17 16 19 19 8
Bleacher Report
26 28 17 23 15 14 18 13 8
M-live
27 30 23 25 17 18 19 17 9
USA Today
28 30 21 27 15 13 14 12 8
Avg.Opinion-based
24.0 27.0 19.0 25.0 17.5 16.2 17.3 14.8 8.3
FiveThirtyEight
17 18 13 21 18 15 25 22 8
Sagarin
20 24 15 22 16 16 24 23 8
Team Rankings
21 30 20 29 25 23 22 18 8
Aikman Ratings
22 24 27 28 21 20 17 17 10
Cold Hard Football Facts
24 27 19 23 18 18 16 18 11
Beatgraphs
25 25 23 24 14 9 28 29 3
Numberfire
25 26 18 21 16 17 13 16 11
Oddsshark
26 24 19 23 16 14 22 20 9
Avg. Stat-based
22.5 24.7 19.2 23.8 18.0 16.5 20.8 20.3 8.5
Total
23.2 25.9 19.1 24.4 17.7 16.3 19 17.4 8.4
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