jday
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Tom Brady started 57 games in which his defense held the opponent to 10 points or less, the highest value among active quarterbacks. Would you be shocked to find out that the Patriots (and Tom Brady) - are 57-0 in those games?
As a quarterback, there clearly is a benefit in playing for a team that can hold the opponent to a low points total. Ben Roethlisberger is 52-1 when the opponent scored 10 points or less, Joe Flacco and Eli Manning are both 35-0, Carson Palmer is 31-0.
The reality is it's hard to lose a game in the NFL when the opponent is held to 10 points or less. Over the last four years, quarterbacks are 243-8 in such games for a staggering 0.968 percentage.
Yet if you were to read some of the headlines floating around after gameday - and if you were to give those headlines any credence - you could easily get the impression that it was the superstar QB all by himself who won those games.
The QB, whether you like it or not, is the only player on a football team who has a W/L record in his personal stats. But that doesn't mean the QB is actually winning games for his team. Teams can win games with a strong defense and a good ground game despite the QB, yet the QB will get the win on his record.
Which is why today I'm taking a closer look the W/L records of NFL QBs to figure out which NFL quarterbacks are winning games for their teams, and which QBs are just along for the ride. To do that, I'll look at 'wins over average' (WOA) to understand which offenses, and by extension their QBs, contributed to wins for their teams.
WOA was developed by Doug Drinen at Pro-football-reference.com (PFR) in a post on adjusting QB records. I've taken his approach and modified it slightly for this post. The underlying assumption for WOA is that it's a lot easier for a QB to win games when the defense holds the opponent to 10 points or less than it would be if the defense gave up 30 or more points.
Read more: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/201...r-teams-and-which-are-just-along-for-the-ride
As a quarterback, there clearly is a benefit in playing for a team that can hold the opponent to a low points total. Ben Roethlisberger is 52-1 when the opponent scored 10 points or less, Joe Flacco and Eli Manning are both 35-0, Carson Palmer is 31-0.
The reality is it's hard to lose a game in the NFL when the opponent is held to 10 points or less. Over the last four years, quarterbacks are 243-8 in such games for a staggering 0.968 percentage.
Yet if you were to read some of the headlines floating around after gameday - and if you were to give those headlines any credence - you could easily get the impression that it was the superstar QB all by himself who won those games.
The QB, whether you like it or not, is the only player on a football team who has a W/L record in his personal stats. But that doesn't mean the QB is actually winning games for his team. Teams can win games with a strong defense and a good ground game despite the QB, yet the QB will get the win on his record.
Which is why today I'm taking a closer look the W/L records of NFL QBs to figure out which NFL quarterbacks are winning games for their teams, and which QBs are just along for the ride. To do that, I'll look at 'wins over average' (WOA) to understand which offenses, and by extension their QBs, contributed to wins for their teams.
WOA was developed by Doug Drinen at Pro-football-reference.com (PFR) in a post on adjusting QB records. I've taken his approach and modified it slightly for this post. The underlying assumption for WOA is that it's a lot easier for a QB to win games when the defense holds the opponent to 10 points or less than it would be if the defense gave up 30 or more points.
Read more: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/201...r-teams-and-which-are-just-along-for-the-ride