The first week/$100 million mark is totally expected, by me at least. The MCU title and Captain America sequel/lineage practically guaranteed it.
The real challenge begins after the second week of box office and beyond. My guess is
CA: BNW's first week will fall in the $100 - $125 million range. If it does, it will join the MCU's
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3,
Spider-Man: Homecoming,
Iron Man,
Thor: Ragnarok and
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania in that first release week range. Those films had second week box office drops of:
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 (
-48%)
Spider-Man: Homecoming (
-62%)
Iron Man (
-50%)
Thor: Ragnarok (
-53%)
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania (
-70%)
Still too early to predict the movie's long-term take at the box office. All of the aforementioned movies had ended with worldwide box office above $460 million. Can
CA: BNW do as well or better?