Couchscouts offseason notes v1.0

couchscout

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As the offseason as gone on, I've given quite a bit of thought about how I could keep contributing to the board when I no longer have game film to go off of. As most of you know by now, I try to shy away from spouting too many opinions, and prefer to just report what I see on tape. Not really a chance for me to do that in the offseason but I'm gonna try to find ways to contribute anyway. Please note that the vast majority of the following is just one mans opinion, with an attempt to interject some rationality amidst a lot of crazy hyperbole and rhetoric.



The scouting department:

There has been a lot of talk around here about our scouting department, most of it pointing out how inept it has been. I just wanna play a little devils advocate here.

- The Cowboys have the most draft picks that are still in the NFL (not necessarily with the Cowboys, but in the NFL) in the entire league, by a REALLY large margin over the last 7-8 drafts. There is absolutely no question that our scouting department knows how to spot NFL talent, regardless of how you feel about how that talent meshes with our schemes.

- Think about the handful of players we kept hearing repeatedly from all our insiders before last years draft. Aldon Smith, Tyron Smith, Patrick Peterson, and JJ Watt. Knowing what we now know, the scouting department clearly did an incredible job of spotting the elite talent that could be there when we pick. I'm sure we would all be absolutely thrilled with any one of those.

- We've been quite good in the first round since Parcells departed. Spencer, F. Jones, Jenkins, Bryant and T. Smith. Not a single miss among them. The first 4 while not necessarily elite have all been productive players especially for where they were taken, and obviously Smith was a revelation. If you keep getting elite players when you pick in the top half of the first round, and solid ones when you pick in the bottom half, you're gonna have a lot of success.

- Think of how many players we all knew the Cowboys had targeted in the 2nd round on, and had teams take them just ahead of us such as Max Unger and Luis Delmas. Again, it's completely clear that this scouting department knows how to spot talent.

- I guarantee you if you compare our drafts over the last 5 years versus the rest of the league, and do so in an objective manner, the Cowboys will stack up against pretty much everyone. The biggest mistake people make when "grading" or "comparing" drafts is what they compare them against. When you compare drafts, you have to compare them against the rest of the league...not a team or two, the entire league....and certainly not against your unbelievably unrealistic idea of how successful a draft should be.


Jerry Jones the figurehead:

- Many NFL teams are structured in numerous different ways. Teams with all kinds of front office structures have won Super Bowls. For that matter, many many many companies have many many many different power structures and have have achieved many many many different levels of success.

- To say "the GM should spend every bit of his time studying film/building the team" is a complete fallacy. You're simply stating your preference for a front office structure and arbitrarily deciding that is the way it "should" or "has" to be, rather than realizing it's just the way you would prefer it. And saying any other way can't work is beyond absurd.

- I personally do not care if Jerry is a figure head, the sole decision maker or just a robot he made of himself to ensure his perpetual rule over the team. As long as the team continues to draft and acquire talent like they have been recently, I'll be happy.


Doug Free the guard.

- I keep hearing a lot of talk about potentially drafting a tackle and moving Free to guard. And while upgrading at tackle over Free might become a necessity faster than I or any of us would like, Free is not a guard. At guard, his greatest strength (athletic ability/feet) would be hidden, and his biggest weakness (upper body strength/ability to sustain blocks) would be magnified. It's entirely possible he'll hit the weight room extra hard this spring/summer and have a bounce back season, but barring some type of miracle, it won't be at guard.


It's all ______'s fault:

- It drives me absolutely bananas that people always wanna blame one person for the entire teams failure. Whether it be Jerry, Jason, Tony, or Terrence, a lot of people desperately need to scapegoat a lost season by putting the blame on one person. None of those guys are individually responsible for the teams failures this season. It's not just Cowboys fans, football fans, or even sports fans. Try to remember that it's a TEAM game, and that means everyone from Jerry to the lowest scout on the totem pole to the 53rd guy on the roster.


Short shots:

- Don't count out Bill Nagy, he was quite good as a pass protector before his injury. It wouldn't surprise me at all if this team is counting on him to start next season.

- While we're at it, don't count out David Arkin, an offseason in the weight room could be all he needs to be a starter.

- You can probably go ahead and count out Phil Costa, while he was almost dominant as a run blocker, his pass protection was absolutely terrible, and we all know this team is gonna go as far as Romo takes us. We gotta be able to protect him.

- I'm starting to dial in on some Rob Ryan scheme things I missed during the season, including some things that seem to be the foundation of what he does. I'll be elaborating in a later post.

- Give me a JJ Watt type DE, a couple CB's and a young safety with potential out of this draft and I'll be ecstatic.

- Still think this team needs a true slot receiver. I love Austin, Bryant and Robinson, but none of them fit the mold of what is highly successful as a slot receiver in the NFL these days.


Comments and questions welcome. I'll be around the next couple days checking the thread and trying to answer as many questions as possible.
 
he's back!!!!

How do you feel about Jenkins and Scandrick?

And nice read, i agree with the Free part
 
Greatly appreciated CS!

Not just now, but all season long.

Your posts have been a joy to read.

Hopefully you'll share some of your thoughts about players in the upcoming draft and pending free agency period.
 
Your thoughts about the two guards and the center seem to parallel what we're hearing out of the Cowboys, i.e. that they want to upgrade the center slot... And a lot of silence about the guard situation.

Question... Costa at guard? Any possibility there?

Second question... Anthony Spencer. Would you franchise him?
 
Thanks for the insights.

- Give me a JJ Watt type DE, a couple CB's and a young safety with potential out of this draft and I'll be ecstatic.

No O-Line?
 
Most people underestimate the difference between a slot we and the wideouts
A slit we must have superior quickness and great hips to get in and out of cuts quickly

We need a we like this to help Tony when he's getting quick pressure
 
ghettogandhi;4420196 said:
Most people underestimate the difference between a slot we and the wideouts
A slit we must have superior quickness and great hips to get in and out of cuts quickly

We need a we like this to help Tony when he's getting quick pressure

Tony misses Crayton he was a guy who was more quick then fast with solid speed and knew how to work on the middle of the field. We have missed that the last few years
 
Frozen700;4420179 said:
he's back!!!!

How do you feel about Jenkins and Scandrick?

And nice read, i agree with the Free part

Jenkins is fine, a very good CB. Scandrick is already above average, I'm hoping Herderson helps him turn the corner to good or very good.

MichaelWinicki;4420186 said:
Your thoughts about the two guards and the center seem to parallel what we're hearing out of the Cowboys, i.e. that they want to upgrade the center slot... And a lot of silence about the guard situation.

Question... Costa at guard? Any possibility there?

Second question... Anthony Spencer. Would you franchise him?

Absolutely I think Costa has a chance to play guard. That could be entire gameplan for guard this offseason. Have the best 2 out of Nagy, Arkin, Costa and Killa start at guard, and bring in a vet center.

Spencer is the hardest player on this roster to evaluate, and it's not close. I will say this though, if our back 7 could cover for more than 2 seconds, we might be talking about dropping the almost from "Almost Anthony". Not sure I'd want to franchise him...if I did it would be with the understanding that he's playing for a contract, and his spot is open to any OLB on the roster not named Ware who wants to compete for it.


DOUBLE WING;4420187 said:
Thanks for the insights.


No O-Line?

I wouldn't mind drafting some young OL, but I think the best chance for success next season is to bring in a vet or two. If we draft some OL next season, I hope it's not with designs on them starting unless it Decastro.
 
couchscout;4420213 said:
Spencer is the hardest player on this roster to evaluate, and it's not close. I will say this though, if our back 7 could cover for more than 2 seconds, we might be talking about dropping the almost from "Almost Anthony". Not sure I'd want to franchise him...if I did it would be with the understanding that he's playing for a contract, and his spot is open to any OLB on the roster not named Ware who wants to compete for it.


Is there a stat out there, that shows average time a QB took to throw against a certain team? I wonder if the QB's we faced, on average, got rid of the ball quicker against us, as opposed to say, the QB's that faced the Texans.
 
Please post more.

Great job!
 
Great stuff CS!

I have the same frustration with our fans/CZ members and realtivity.

Every ***** and every moan.......every jab at the team and of course Jerry is NEVER associated with a fair frame of reference.
 
I was just reading some of your older posts. Nice.

How beneficial would improved safety play be for the secondary, i.e., how responsible do you think the safety play was for the lackluster performance of our secondary?

Do you think Butler is capable of improving enough to fill Spencer's role?
 
BTW How did you grade our front seven overall?

7th in rushing defense and 7th in sacks. I can't find or think of some rationale for how or why those stats are in any way misleading.

Either way, I see our CB, S and interior OL as our priority needs that should supercede any investment of resources toward the front seven.......

Your thoughts?
 
ufcrules1;4420221 said:
Should we franchise Spencer for 8.8 million?

Answered in post above yours

Picksix;4420222 said:
Is there a stat out there, that shows average time a QB took to throw against a certain team? I wonder if the QB's we faced, on average, got rid of the ball quicker against us, as opposed to say, the QB's that faced the Texans.

I'm not aware of anywhere you can find a stat that shows how quickly teams get the ball out against certain other teams. I do know that teams come into their games against the Cowboys with a definitive plan to get the ball out quick. If we had the proper back 7 in place, we could exploit that tactic, but we don't...so we can't.

SDogo;4420226 said:
Please post more.

Great job!


I think we could all say the same thing to you!

gmoney112;4420228 said:
I was just reading some of your older posts. Nice.

How beneficial would improved safety play be for the secondary, i.e., how responsible do you think the safety play was for the lackluster performance of our secondary?

Do you think Butler is capable of improving enough to fill Spencer's role?


Safety play was average, the biggest problem I think being Sensy's weakness as a zone defender. He's near dominant as a man coverage guy (TE's haven't been tearing us up since he got here like they had done for years and years before his arrival), but when he's forced to play zone, he gets picked on. Elam is ok, not a playmaker, but not a liability either. But still, the biggest weaknesses to this pass defense down the stretch were Newman and the ILB's not named Lee.

Butler has work to do as a run defender but I do think he's a better pure pass rusher than Spencer. We'll see what he does this offseason.


sonnyboy;4420232 said:
BTW How did you grade our front seven overall.

7th in rushing defense and 7th in sacks. I can't find or think of some rational for how or why those stats are in any way misleading.

Either way, I see our CB, S and interior OL as our priority needs that should supercede any investment of resources toward the front seven.......

Your thoughts?

The front 7 as a whole gets a B from me. I think Ware brings their grade (and statistical rankings) up all by himself. The DE's don't push the pocket, our SILB's don't get depth in their zone drops and are consistently late to react to backs going on pass routes out of the backfield. While the front 7 isn't exactly a liability, and with a healthy Hatcher and an improved Lissemore they could be dominant, they still need help. I don't think you'll be seeing a new rookie starter on the o-line this season. I think it'll be a vet FA center and a competition between all the other interior linemen for the guard spots. And I CERTAINLY wouldn't pass up a pass rushing 3-4 DE if one falls to us at some point in the draft so that I could take a rookie OL who most likely won't start.

I would put our top needs as CB, CB, CB, ILB, S. With specialist pass rushers always always always a consideration.
 
CS it's funny what you said about the slot receiver spot. I mentioned this as well a couple of days ago in another thread. People think #3 WR and immediately think slot wr. Robinson is a deep threat. Crayton wasn't a very good slot WR IMO either. Slot guys are like you said, quick, not usually fast, and run precise short routes. Crossing routes underneath coverage that we have been sorely lacking all these years.

In the mold of Welker, Amendola, And our own Kmart. I'm hoping that Harris develops to be that next year.

With limited playing time this past season have you seen anything on tape to suggest Harris can give us that true slot WR?
 
Thanks for the response. But you see, one answer simply leads to another question and I'll get this in before this thread becomes a feeding frenzy.....

ILB? What's your take on Carter's prospects to earn that spot?
 
Thanks couchscout. Nice to hear your thoughts on Arkin and Nagy.

Where do you see Kowalski fitting into the mix? Do you see him as a better fit competing for a guard spot, or providing depth at center?
 

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