Cover32: Studying The League's #1 WRs - Part 1

NeonDeion21

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There’s been a lot of debate this year about who the best receiver in football is and who had the best year. And many times, people go right to the end of the year stats to make their cases and arguments. But here’s the problem with that. Not all stats are created equal. Does someone who gets targeted 80 more times and produces the same amount of catches and touchdowns be regarded the same way with fewer targets? I like to use this comparison. If Kobe Bryant scores 30 points in a game, but takes 22 shots to do so, is that more impressive than a player who scores 26 points on 12 shots?

Does efficiency and/or volume matter when it comes to an NFL receiver? How much better is a Julio Jones over a replacement level wide receiver? How often should a player score in the red zone based off targets and expected touchdowns? These are all questions that we are going to look at in the upcoming week.

Before we get started and for the sake of consistency, I compiled all of the stats from Pro Football Reference and I gathered the snap counts of via Pro Football Focus. There are slight changes between a few sites, but I have found that over the years PFR is the most complete and accurate site in terms of targets, red zone targets, etc.

First and foremost, let me set a few things up for you. I gathered data from each team’s number one wide receiver (32 total). In some cases, the decision between which receiver was a team’s number one or two was close, so I decided to take the player who had more snaps/targets or just use common sense. Here is a list of all the NFL’s #1 wide receivers in 2014:




If you are curious to see how the averages change with another receiver or want to see a receiver replaced on the above list, feel free to contact me on Twitter and I can give you an updated chart. Now that we have the list of the 32 receivers we are going to evaluate, I wanted to see what was the average number one receivers’ stats were in 2014. I took all these receivers stats from 2014 and here’s what I came up with:



Read the rest at: http://cover32.com/cowboys/2014/12/...s-the-best-red-zone-wide-receiver-in-the-nfl/
 

perrykemp

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The title of the article referenced is 'Is Dez Bryant of the Dallas Cowboys the best red zone wide receiver in the NFL?'

The answer of that is wholeheartedly yes.
 

DFWJC

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Dez is a monster for sure. He deserves all the credit he's getting.
Absolutely love the guy.

But just a reminder that in 2011, Laurent Robinson, a player that did nothing before he came to Dallas and nothing after he left Dallas, was 3rd in the league among WRs in TDs--with a large number coming in the redzone.
The point is not at all to compare LRob to Dez...not at all.
The point is that Romo helps make this happen too and LRob's one year wonder of production is clear evidence of that.
 
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