Cowboys chances at a wild card

[Bob-Lillys-War]

 

[big dog cowboy]

Please edit this thread title.

No

 

[FVSTONE]

LOL!!!!!

 

[JustChip]

3 wins max the rest of the season. 6-10-1 probably puts us in the top 12. Honestly I’d prefer we win 4 or 5 and get a top 8 pick. Hard to screw up a pick that high.

Morris Claiborne says hello.

 

[plymkr]

I think realistically we can win 2 games. Giants and Commanders. And that’s a stretch. We can’t beat the Panthers and Cardinals. Commanders and Giants are not a lock. This looks bad. I’d like to see Milton get some games and start playing the young guys.

 

[Chasing6]

Chances are most likely down to about 6%.

 

[Cowboys5217]

I think we are well on our way to 3-13-1. 10 game losing streak.

 

[triplets_93]

Playoffs? yer talkin playoffs?!?!?

I know... I thought to myself about the OP, when I read the thread title...
"Why are doing this to yourself???"

As of Monday, November 3, 2025, the Dallas Cowboys' odds of winning the Super Bowl LX (2026) are generally around
+12500 to +20000 depending on the sportsbook.

These odds place them near the middle of the pack in the NFL and indicate a low implied probability of winning (between 0.5% and 0.8%), according to oddsmakers

 

[Kingofholland]

This game just about closed the door on that possibility. Never a fan of tanking, but today was a reminder why it's a better strategy right now. They should trade away anyone they think won't be here next year with trade value.

 

[Chasing6]

I think we are well on our way to 3-13-1. 10 game losing streak.

Well keep in mind the Giants and the Commanders are smart enough to try and lose their last 2 games of the season.

 

[Floatyworm]

They have to go 6 and 2 to win 9 games. The just got boat raced by the Cardinals with a back up QB.

I was thinking 10 wins....and that half game gets us over the top. @ this point...It's looking like we gotta do something drastic. I honestly would move on from Eberflus tonight. Your not gonna bring him back next year. So why not roll the dice by shaking it up now? If we lose...we lose. We have already been doing that. This team needs to get on a heater.....and your not gonna do that with what your scheming up now.

 

[Cowboys5217]

Well keep in mind the Giants and the Commanders are smart enough to try and lose their last 2 games of the season.

Maybe, but it sure looks like the wheels have come off the 2025 Cowboys. Team morale has to be in the gutter.

 

[Chasing6]

Maybe, but it sure looks like the wheels have come off the 2025 Cowboys. Team morale has to be in the gutter.

The only thing that has changed is the fact that it can no longer be hidden, disguised or marketed that we still have a chance, when in reality we did basically nothing in FA the last two seasons to improve this team, especially on Defense where it was desperately needed the most.

 

[Kwyn]

10 wins minimum and lots of help. Sorry boys, it’s over.


Athletic’s current playoff chances updated after our loss.

We’re down to a 5% chance at a wild card. Zero chance of a bye.

We had a 12% chance before our loss.

	EAGLES. 6-2	98%	24%
	COWBOYS 3-5-1	5%	<1%
	COMMANDERS 3-6	1%	<1%
	GIANTS 2-7	<1%	<1%

Projected Playoff Spots

Division Winners

12-5

12-5

11-5-1

11-6


Wild card

12-5

10-7

10-7


In the hunt

9-8

8-9

8-9

 

[scottsp]

Double digit wins are required for this exercise. That’s probably two seasons of work for this bunch.

 

[Beast_from_East]

10 wins minimum and lots of help. Sorry boys, it’s over.


Athletic’s current playoff chances updated after our loss.

We’re down to a 5% chance at a wild card. Zero chance of a bye.

We had a 12% chance before our loss.

	EAGLES. 6-2	98%	24%
	COWBOYS 3-5-1	5%	<1%
	COMMANDERS 3-6	1%	<1%
	GIANTS 2-7	<1%	<1%

Projected Playoff Spots

Division Winners

12-5

12-5

11-5-1

11-6


Wild card

12-5

10-7

10-7


In the hunt

9-8

8-9

8-9

Yep, most betting sites have around a 5% implied chance as well.

Losses to the Panthers and Bears really screwed up the math since they now hold tiebreak on us.

We would have to pretty much need 10 wins to get in, so that is 7-1 down the stretch. That is just not going to happen.

 

[Beast_from_East]

Maybe 3 wins........Raiders, Giants, Washington.

Maybe we can steal one between the Chargers and Vikings.

So, I count 4 wins max.............yeah, season is officially over.

 

[StylisticS]

I think my 6 win prediction was giving them too much credit.

lol same and guess what. Next year will be the same

 

[Chasing6]

Yep, most betting sites have around a 5% implied chance as well.

Losses to the Panthers and Bears really screwed up the math since they now hold tiebreak on us.

We would have to pretty much need 10 wins to get in, so that is 7-1 down the stretch. That is just not going to happen.

We have no tie breakers with a tie in our record. If we have the same amount of wins, we win because of the tie.

 

[diamonddelts]