Draftsim 2007, A 1 round mock.

[dwmyers]

Woody's Girl published a set of needs lists that Scouts, Inc has put on the web, and..

My program, the Open Source Draft Simulator, (http://draft-simul.sourceforge.net) basically needs a set of needs lists to function, and a list of top players. So I used Scouts Inc for the needs list, with some slight changes in the Dallas needs (removed QB, else we draft Kolb in the first round). I used the top 99 list on the War Room as valuation material. This is the result I get (1 round, I don't have round 2 and 3 draft orders plugged in yet):

Round 1.

1. Oakland Raiders select JaMarcus Russell, QB.
2. Detroit Lions select Joe Thomas, OT.
3. Cleveland Browns select Amobi Okoye, DT.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Gaines Adams, DE.
5. Arizona Cardinals select Zach Miller, TE.
6. Washington Commanders select Calvin Johnson, WR.
7. Minnesota Vikings select Jamaal Anderson, DE.
8. Houston Texans select Adrian Peterson, RB.
9. Miami Dolphins select Leon Hall, CB.
10. Atlanta Falcons select LaRon Landry, S.
11. San Francisco 49ers select Paul Posluszny, OLB.
12. Buffalo Bills select Alan Branch, DT.
13. St Louis Rams select Lawrence Timmons, OLB.
14. Carolina Panthers select Reggie Nelson, S.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers select Aaron Ross, CB.
16. Green Bay Packers select Ted Ginn Jr., WR.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars select Charles Johnson, DE.
18. Cinncinnati Bengals select Greg Olsen, TE.
19. Tennessee Titans select DeMarcus Tyler, DT.
20. New York Giants select Daymeion Hughes, CB.
21. Denver Broncos select Brandon Meriweather, S.
22. Dallas Cowboys select Jarvis Moss, DE.
23. Kansas City Chiefs select Kevin Kolb, QB.
24. New England Patriots select Aaron Rouse, S.
25. New York Jets select Patrick Willis, ILB.
26. Philadelphia Eagles select Rufus Alexander, OLB.
27. New Orleans Saints select Tanard Jackson, CB.
28. New England Patriots select Jon Beason, OLB.
29. Baltimore Ravens select Antonio Pittman, RB.
30. San Diego Chargers select Dwayne Bowe, WR.
31. Chicago Bears select Tony Ugoh, OT.
32. Indianapolis Colts select Sidney Rice, WR.

Onviously, different needs lists and different top 100 lists will generate different results.

David.

 

[jay cee]

I don't follow college football nearly as close as other posters, so it looks plausible to me. Except I did not see Brady Quinn. I don't think he falls out of the top 10.

 

[dwmyers]

War Room has Quinn rated as a second rounder, 49th on their top 99 list. Don't blame me for that. There were a couple bugs in my data (Gs were not being drafted last time), and I've extended the draft range to 3 rounds now. The drafting rules for Dallas are:

#
# Cowboys needs
#
rule need
needlist S CB DE OT OG
max DE 1
max CB 1
exception 1.0

This is a 3 round computer generated mock:


Round 1.

1. Oakland Raiders select JaMarcus Russell, QB.
2. Detroit Lions select Joe Thomas, OT.
3. Cleveland Browns select Amobi Okoye, DT.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Gaines Adams, DE.
5. Arizona Cardinals select Zach Miller, TE.
6. Washington Commanders select Calvin Johnson, WR.
7. Minnesota Vikings select Jamaal Anderson, DE.
8. Houston Texans select Adrian Peterson, RB.
9. Miami Dolphins select Leon Hall, CB.
10. Atlanta Falcons select LaRon Landry, S.
11. San Francisco 49ers select Paul Posluszny, OLB.
12. Buffalo Bills select Alan Branch, DT.
13. St Louis Rams select Justin Blalock, OG.
14. Carolina Panthers select Reggie Nelson, S.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers select Aaron Ross, CB.
16. Green Bay Packers select Ted Ginn Jr., WR.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars select Charles Johnson, DE.
18. Cinncinnati Bengals select Greg Olsen, TE.
19. Tennessee Titans select Lawrence Timmons, OLB.
20. New York Giants select Daymeion Hughes, CB.
21. Denver Broncos select Brandon Meriweather, S.
22. Dallas Cowboys select Aaron Rouse, S.
23. Kansas City Chiefs select Kevin Kolb, QB.
24. New England Patriots select Patrick Willis, ILB.
25. New York Jets select DeMarcus Tyler, DT.
26. Philadelphia Eagles select Rufus Alexander, OLB.
27. New Orleans Saints select Jarvis Moss, DE.
28. New England Patriots select Jon Beason, OLB.
29. Baltimore Ravens select Tanard Jackson, CB.
30. San Diego Chargers select Ben Grubbs, OG.
31. Chicago Bears select Tony Ugoh, OT.
32. Indianapolis Colts select Dwayne Bowe, WR.

Round 2.

33. Oakland Raiders select Antonio Pittman, RB.
34. Detroit Lions select Marcus McCauley, CB.
35. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Josh Wilson, CB.
36. Cleveland Browns select Marshawn Lynch, RB.
37. New York Jets select Kenny Irons, RB.
38. Arizona Cardinals select Darrelle Revis, CB.
39. Houston Texans select Josh Beekman, C.
40. Miami Dolphins select Ryan Kalil, C.
41. Minnesota Vikings select Sidney Rice, WR.
42. San Francisco 49ers select Justin Durant, ILB.
43. Buffalo Bills select Levi Brown, OT.
44. Atlanta Falcons select Ryan Harris, OT.
45. Carolina Panthers select Victor Abiamiri, DE.
46. Pittsburgh Steelers select Aundrae Allison, WR.
47. Green Bay Packers select Anthony Gonzalez, WR.
48. Jacksonville Jaguars select Dwayne Jarrett, WR.
49. Cinncinnati Bengals select Brady Quinn, QB.
50. Tennessee Titans select Ray McDonald, DT.
51. New York Giants select Michael Bush, RB.
52. St Louis Rams select Marcus Thomas, DT.
53. Dallas Cowboys select Adam Carriker, DE.
54. Kansas City Chiefs select Tony Franklin, CB.
55. Seattle Seahawks select Lyle Sendlein, C.
56. Denver Broncos select Kenneth Darby, RB.
57. Philadelphia Eagles select Ikaika Alama-Francis, DE.
58. New Orleans Saints select Anthony Spencer, DE.
59. New York Jets select Brian Leonard, FB.
60. New England Patriots select Craig Davis, WR.
61. Baltimore Ravens select Eric Wright, CB.
62. San Diego Chargers select Arron Sears, OG.
63. Chicago Bears select Kevin Payne, S.
64. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Baraka Atkins, DE.

Round 3.

65. Oakland Raiders select Jacoby Jones, WR.
66. Detroit Lions select DeAndre Jackson, CB.
67. Cleveland Browns select Michael Coe, CB.
68. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Stewart Bradley, OLB.
69. Arizona Cardinals select Ben Patrick, TE.
70. Denver Broncos select Brandon Jackson, RB.
71. Miami Dolphins select Joe Staley, OT.
72. Minnesota Vikings select Robert Meachem, WR.
73. Houston Texans select Troy Smith, QB.
74. Buffalo Bills select David Clowney, WR.
75. Atlanta Falcons select LaMarr Woodley, DE.
76. San Francisco 49ers select Juwan Simpson, OLB.
77. Pittsburgh Steelers select Jason Hill, WR.
78. Green Bay Packers select Dashon Goldson, S.
79. Jacksonville Jaguars select Jay Moore, DE.
80. Tennessee Titans select Earl Everett, ILB.
81. New York Giants select Jemalle Cornelius, WR.
82. St Louis Rams select David Harris, ILB.
83. Carolina Panthers select John Wendling, S.
84. Kansas City Chiefs select Paul Williams, WR.
85. Seattle Seahawks select Eric Weddle, S.
86. Denver Broncos select Michael Johnson, S.
87. Dallas Cowboys select David Irons, CB.
88. New Orleans Saints select Daniel Bazuin, DE.
89. New York Jets select H.B. Blades, ILB.
90. Philadelphia Eagles select Quentin Moses, DE.
91. New England Patriots select James Jones, WR.
92. Baltimore Ravens select John Talley, CB.
93. San Diego Chargers select Mike Jones, OG.
94. Chicago Bears select Melvin Bullitt, S.
95. Indianapolis Colts select Buster Davis, ILB.

 

[dwmyers]

Anyway, to give you an idea of how different a draft can be with different evaluations and the same needs lists, this is a draft generated using the Great Blue North top 150:


Round 1.

1. Oakland Raiders select Calvin Johnson, WR.
2. Detroit Lions select Jamarcus Russell, QB.
3. Cleveland Browns select Joe Thomas, OT.
4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Brady Quinn, QB.
5. Arizona Cardinals select Alan Branch, DT.
6. Washington Commanders select Gaines Adams, DE.
7. Minnesota Vikings select Dwayne Jarrett, WR.
8. Houston Texans select Adrian Peterson, RB.
9. Miami Dolphins select Amobi Okoye, DT.
10. Atlanta Falcons select Jamaal Anderson, DE.
11. San Francisco 49ers select Patrick Willis, LB.
12. Buffalo Bills select Levi Brown, OT.
13. St Louis Rams select Lawrence Timmons, LB.
14. Carolina Panthers select Reggie Nelson, FS.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers select Ted Ginn, WR.
16. Green Bay Packers select LaRon Landry, FS.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars select Jarvis Moss, DE.
18. Cinncinnati Bengals select Adam Carriker, DE.
19. Tennessee Titans select Jon Beason, LB.
20. New York Giants select Marshawn Lynch, RB.
21. Denver Broncos select Dwayne Bowe, WR.
22. Dallas Cowboys select Leon Hall, CB.
23. Kansas City Chiefs select Sidney Rice, WR.
24. New England Patriots select Robert Meacham, WR.
25. New York Jets select Zach Miller, TE.
26. Philadelphia Eagles select Anthony Spencer, DE.
27. New Orleans Saints select Darrelle Revis, CB.
28. New England Patriots select Brandon Meriweather, FS.
29. Baltimore Ravens select Michael Griffin, FS.
30. San Diego Chargers select Quinn Pitcock, DT.
31. Chicago Bears select Paul Posluszny, LB.
32. Indianapolis Colts select Drew Stanton, QB.

Round 2.

33. Oakland Raiders select Michael Bush, RB.
34. Detroit Lions select Chris Houston, CB.
35. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select LaMarr Woodley, DE.
36. Cleveland Browns select Charles Johnson, DE.
37. New York Jets select Justin Harrell, DT.
38. Arizona Cardinals select Daymeion Hughes, CB.
39. Houston Texans select Ryan Kalil, C.
40. Miami Dolphins select Brandon Mebane, DT.
41. Minnesota Vikings select Troy Smith, QB.
42. San Francisco 49ers select Brandon Siler, LB.
43. Buffalo Bills select Greg Olsen, TE.
44. Atlanta Falcons select Eric Weddle, SS.
45. Carolina Panthers select Aaron Rouse, SS.
46. Pittsburgh Steelers select Tony Hunt, RB.
47. Green Bay Packers select Marcus Thomas, DT.
48. Jacksonville Jaguars select Victor Abiamiri, DE.
49. Cinncinnati Bengals select Justin Blalock, OG.
50. Tennessee Titans select H.B. Blades, LB.
51. New York Giants select Aaron Ross, CB.
52. St Louis Rams select Josh Beekman, OG.
53. Dallas Cowboys select Arron Sears, OT.
54. Kansas City Chiefs select David Irons, CB.
55. Seattle Seahawks select Brian Leonard, FB.
56. Denver Broncos select Kenny Irons, RB.
57. Philadelphia Eagles select Aundrae Allison, WR.
58. New Orleans Saints select Joe Staley, OT.
59. New York Jets select Anthony Waters, LB.
60. New England Patriots select Anthony Gonzalez, WR.
61. Baltimore Ravens select Ryan Harris, OT.
62. San Diego Chargers select Johnnie Lee Higgins, WR.
63. Chicago Bears select David Harris, LB.
64. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Tim Crowder, DE.

Round 3.

65. Oakland Raiders select Tony Ugoh, OT.
66. Detroit Lions select Doug Free, OT.
67. Cleveland Browns select Ray McDonald, DE.
68. Tampa Bay Buccaneers select Fred Bennett, CB.
69. Arizona Cardinals select Josh Wilson, CB.
70. Denver Broncos select Quentin Moses, DE.
71. Miami Dolphins select Tanard Jackson, CB.
72. Minnesota Vikings select Eric Wright, CB.
73. Houston Texans select Darius Walker, RB.
74. Buffalo Bills select Marcus McCauley, CB.
75. Atlanta Falcons select Craig Davis, WR.
76. San Francisco 49ers select Buster Davis, LB.
77. Pittsburgh Steelers select Jonathan Wade, CB.
78. Green Bay Packers select Tank Tyler, DT.
79. Jacksonville Jaguars select Dan Bazuin, DE.
80. Tennessee Titans select Prescott Burgess, LB.
81. New York Giants select Joe Newton, TE.
82. St Louis Rams select Rory Johnson, LB.
83. Carolina Panthers select Earl Everett, LB.
84. Kansas City Chiefs select Ryan McBean, DT.
85. Seattle Seahawks select Sabby Piscitelli, SS.
86. Denver Broncos select Michael Johnson, FS.
87. Dallas Cowboys select Jay Moore, DE.
88. New Orleans Saints select Rufus Alexander, LB.
89. New York Jets select Juwan Simpson, LB.
90. Philadelphia Eagles select Mkristo Bruce, DE.
91. New England Patriots select Justin Durant, LB.
92. Baltimore Ravens select Stewart Bradley, LB.
93. San Diego Chargers select Ben Grubbs, OG.
94. Chicago Bears select Louis Leonard, DT.
95. Indianapolis Colts select Manny Ramirez, OG.