CFZ Early Over/Under Predictions

[Bobhaze]

We’re still 3 weeks away from training camp, and it’s too early to know much about this team. But when has that ever stopped us from speculation in the dull off-season?

Below is a short list of over/under predictions for 2022- some I got from Vegas- some my own. Just for fun, make your over/under predictions on these topics and why. My predictions will be in parentheses.

1. Cowboys win 10 or more games in 2022- Vegas has us at 10.5. The Cowboys haven’t put back to back double digit wins together since 1995-96. (Under- When it’s been nearly three decades since this has happened, I’ll believe it when it happens)
   
2. Dak throws for 4,000 yards and 34 TDs- when Dak has played a full season in 2019 and 2021, he throws for 4k. With the loss of Cooper and Gallup’s early season absence I think his yards may come down a little this year and I think the running game may be better. But I still say (Over on both)
   
3. Cowboys defense gets 30+ takeaways- last year the Cowboys D had 34 takeaways, the most in the NFL. Although the takeaways were great, it somewhat masked some of their ongoing problems stopping the run. I think the Cowboys D will be better this year, but not as many TOs. That’s very hard to repeat. (Under- too hard to repeat)
   
4. Zeke Elliott rushes for 1,200 yards- last year Zeke barely reached 1,000 yards, although he was hurt for more than half the season. Can he return to anything close to his 2016-2019 seasons. There’s a lot of tread gone on those tires and Tony Pollard should get more carries this year. (Under- don’t think Zeke has it in him anymore)
   
5. Cedee Lamb will have 1,200 yds receiving- With the departure of Amari Cooper and the early season injury recovery of Michael Gallup, Lamb will certainly be the most frequent target. He had 1,102 yards last year- (Over- Lamb will have more targets, receptions and yards, assuming he’s healthy all season)
   
6. Dak will have 60 or more rushing attempts- For his career so far, Dak has rushed for 1,445 yards, avg 4.7 per attempt. Last year he only rushed 48 times, down from the 75 attempts he had in 2018. I think he was still recovering from that gruesome leg injury last yr and will run more in ‘22. (Over- Dak’s running is a weapon defenses stopped worrying about last year. That changes this year)
   
7. Micah Parsons will have 10+ sacks this year- Parsons had 13 sacks last year in his amazing rookie season. With the loss of Randy Gregory, I expect the team will still need a lot of pass rush help from #11. (Over- Parsons will once again be a candidate for Defensive Player of the Year)

What say you on these over/under predictions for 2022?

 

[MountaineerCowboy]

1. Under
2. Under (I don't believe he throws 34 TDs)
3. Under
4. Under
5. Over
6. Over
7. Over

 

[Streifenkarl]

Man number 4 would be awesome. If we can get our running game back, that would probably make the major difference against contenders compared to last year.

Don't care about any of the other points. In the end the post seasons wins are what matters, I wouldn't care if we win all games 10-7 or something.

 

[Coogiguy03]

Superbowl title, UNDER!!

 

[maryquality]

Too early to make ANY predictions, so I'm going to say "Under" on all of it except for #7!! LOL

 

[Hawkeye0202]

Cowboys defense gets 30+ takeaways- last year the Cowboys D had 34 takeaways, the most in the NFL. Although the takeaways were great, it somewhat masked some of their ongoing problems stopping the run. I think the Cowboys D will be better this year, but not as many TOs. That’s very hard to repeat. (Under- too hard to repeat

I don't have the stat and too lazy to look it up but I wonder how many of those 34 takeaways were converted to TDs. I'm guessing a small percentage and that's a real problem. We left way too many points on the field last year. In fact, I would argue it cost us at least 2 additional Ws.

 

[Hawkeye0202]

Micah Parsons will have 10+ sacks this year- Parsons had 13 sacks last year in his amazing rookie season. With the loss of Randy Gregory, I expect the team will still need a lot of pass rush help from #11. (Over- Parsons will once again be a candidate for Defensive Player of the Year)

I think his floor is 15 ......

 

[Bobhaze]

Man number 4 would be awesome. If we can get our running game back, that would probably make the major difference against contenders compared to last year.

Don't care about any of the other points. In the end the post seasons wins are what matters, I wouldn't care if we win all games 10-7 or something.

If the running game is back, the Cowboys could be scary good. Easier said than done. I’m afraid we’re going to get less than 13 games from Tyron Smith again this year. He only played in 11 last year and hasn’t played a full season since 2015.

 

[ESisback]

We’re still 3 weeks away from training camp, and it’s too early to know much about this team. But when has that ever stopped us from speculation in the dull off-season?

Below is a short list of over/under predictions for 2022- some I got from Vegas- some my own. Just for fun, make your over/under predictions on these topics and why. My predictions will be in parentheses.

1. Cowboys win 10 or more games in 2022- Vegas has us at 10.5. The Cowboys haven’t put back to back double digit wins together since 1995-96. (Under- When it’s been nearly three decades since this has happened, I’ll believe it when it happens)
   
2. Dak throws for 4,000 yards and 34 TDs- when Dak has played a full season in 2019 and 2021, he throws for 4k. With the loss of Cooper and Gallup’s early season absence I think his yards may come down a little this year and I think the running game may be better. But I still say (Over on both)
   
3. Cowboys defense gets 30+ takeaways- last year the Cowboys D had 34 takeaways, the most in the NFL. Although the takeaways were great, it somewhat masked some of their ongoing problems stopping the run. I think the Cowboys D will be better this year, but not as many TOs. That’s very hard to repeat. (Under- too hard to repeat)
   
4. Zeke Elliott rushes for 1,200 yards- last year Zeke barely reached 1,000 yards, although he was hurt for more than half the season. Can he return to anything close to his 2016-2019 seasons. There’s a lot of tread gone on those tires and Tony Pollard should get more carries this year. (Under- don’t think Zeke has it in him anymore)
5. Cedee Lamb will have 1,200 yds receiving- With the departure of Amari Cooper and the early season injury recovery of Michael Gallup, Lamb will certainly be the most frequent target. He had 1,102 yards last year- (Over- Lamb will have more targets, receptions and yards, assuming he’s healthy all season)
   
6. Dak will have 60 or more rushing attempts- For his career so far, Dak has rushed for 1,445 yards, avg 4.7 per attempt. Last year he only rushed 48 times, down from the 75 attempts he had in 2018. I think he was still recovering from that gruesome leg injury last yr and will run more in ‘22. (Over- Dak’s running is a weapon defenses stopped worrying about last year. That changes this year)
   
7. Micah Parsons will have 10+ sacks this year- Parsons had 13 sacks last year in his amazing rookie season. With the loss of Randy Gregory, I expect the team will still need a lot of pass rush help from #11. (Over- Parsons will once again be a candidate for Defensive Player of the Year)

What say you on these over/under predictions for 2022?

1)Over. Most saying under also say we have the easiest schedule.

2)Under. Dak will run a few times more in each game, and the RBs should get more yards. Maybe fewer yards passing, but more TDs. More balance.

3)under. Fewer takeaways, better run defense.

4)Over. A healthy Zeke averages 20 more yards per game.

5)Over, but barely. Lamb should get more catches, but I’m betting they spread it around more, also.

6)Over. Dak will average 3-5 more rushes per game. McCarthy alluded to more planned runs already.

7)Over. 2nd year under Quinn. More talent around him. I’m probably the most positive about this one!

 

[ESisback]

I don't have the stat and too lazy to look it up but I wonder how many of those 34 takeaways were converted to TDs. I'm guessing a small percentage and that's a real problem. We left way too many points on the field last year. In fact, I would argue it cost us at least 2 additional Ws.

I’d wager we have more takeaways negated by flags than any team.

 

[john van brocklin]

We’re still 3 weeks away from training camp, and it’s too early to know much about this team. But when has that ever stopped us from speculation in the dull off-season?

Below is a short list of over/under predictions for 2022- some I got from Vegas- some my own. Just for fun, make your over/under predictions on these topics and why. My predictions will be in parentheses.

1. Cowboys win 10 or more games in 2022- Vegas has us at 10.5. The Cowboys haven’t put back to back double digit wins together since 1995-96. (Under- When it’s been nearly three decades since this has happened, I’ll believe it when it happens)
   
2. Dak throws for 4,000 yards and 34 TDs- when Dak has played a full season in 2019 and 2021, he throws for 4k. With the loss of Cooper and Gallup’s early season absence I think his yards may come down a little this year and I think the running game may be better. But I still say (Over on both)
   
3. Cowboys defense gets 30+ takeaways- last year the Cowboys D had 34 takeaways, the most in the NFL. Although the takeaways were great, it somewhat masked some of their ongoing problems stopping the run. I think the Cowboys D will be better this year, but not as many TOs. That’s very hard to repeat. (Under- too hard to repeat)
   
4. Zeke Elliott rushes for 1,200 yards- last year Zeke barely reached 1,000 yards, although he was hurt for more than half the season. Can he return to anything close to his 2016-2019 seasons. There’s a lot of tread gone on those tires and Tony Pollard should get more carries this year. (Under- don’t think Zeke has it in him anymore)
5. Cedee Lamb will have 1,200 yds receiving- With the departure of Amari Cooper and the early season injury recovery of Michael Gallup, Lamb will certainly be the most frequent target. He had 1,102 yards last year- (Over- Lamb will have more targets, receptions and yards, assuming he’s healthy all season)
   
6. Dak will have 60 or more rushing attempts- For his career so far, Dak has rushed for 1,445 yards, avg 4.7 per attempt. Last year he only rushed 48 times, down from the 75 attempts he had in 2018. I think he was still recovering from that gruesome leg injury last yr and will run more in ‘22. (Over- Dak’s running is a weapon defenses stopped worrying about last year. That changes this year)
   
7. Micah Parsons will have 10+ sacks this year- Parsons had 13 sacks last year in his amazing rookie season. With the loss of Randy Gregory, I expect the team will still need a lot of pass rush help from #11. (Over- Parsons will once again be a candidate for Defensive Player of the Year)

What say you on these over/under predictions for 2022?

Like to be contrarian, but agree with with it all.

 

[john van brocklin]

Superbowl title, UNDER!!

Unfortunitely you are correct

 

[Bates]

Man number 4 would be awesome. If we can get our running game back, that would probably make the major difference against contenders compared to last year.

Don't care about any of the other points. In the end the post seasons wins are what matters, I wouldn't care if we win all games 10-7 or something.

the problem is the over under mark is 1200 yards. To get over it’s just 11 more yards a game. So he could easily get an additional 11 yards a game and our rushing game isn’t any better than last year.

 

[shabazz]

I don't have the stat and too lazy to look it up but I wonder how many of those 34 takeaways were converted to TDs. I'm guessing a small percentage and that's a real problem. We left way too many points on the field last year. In fact, I would argue it cost us at least 2 additional Ws.

Surprisingly, if my research is correct, our average starting drive position was exactly the same in 2021 as it was in 2020, despite the marked increase in takeaways. The average for both years was our own 28.5 yard line…..I really thought it was going to be a big difference for that stat.

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2021/index.htm
https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2020/index.htm

 

[Streifenkarl]

the problem is the over under mark is 1200 yards. To get over it’s just 11 more yards a game. So he could easily get an additional 11 yards a game and our rushing game isn’t any better than last year.

Well I guess I just took it just as an indicator for a revived rungame, didn't think too much about the numbers.

I mean it's not only the yards, but the game they're achieved in. If Zeke runs 800 yards against division foes, once again a good stat won't mean anything.

Long story short, whatever yards are needed, I want our rungame (and therefore Zeke) back to elite levels.

 

[Bates]

I don't have the stat and too lazy to look it up but I wonder how many of those 34 takeaways were converted to TDs. I'm guessing a small percentage and that's a real problem. We left way too many points on the field last year. In fact, I would argue it cost us at least 2 additional Ws.

we were #1 in defensive tds per game. Tied with a couple other teams. I’m not going to calculate the % of takeaways converted to tds, but this at least indicates we MAY have done ok there. However in game by game situations not converting one into a TD could have cost the game.

 

[charron]

1. Under
2. Under
3. Under
4. Under
5. Under
6. Under
7. Over

 

[Bates]

Well I guess I just took it just as an indicator for a revived rungame, didn't think too much about the numbers.

I mean it's not only the yards, but the game they're achieved in. If Zeke runs 800 yards against division foes, once again a good stat won't mean anything.

Long story short, whatever yards are needed, I want our rungame (and therefore Zeke) back to elite levels.

I agree with your general point of having a much better run game would be great. I was just pointing out you could win that over bet and our run game not me any better than last year.

 

[J12B]

We’re still 3 weeks away from training camp, and it’s too early to know much about this team. But when has that ever stopped us from speculation in the dull off-season?

Below is a short list of over/under predictions for 2022- some I got from Vegas- some my own. Just for fun, make your over/under predictions on these topics and why. My predictions will be in parentheses.

1. Cowboys win 10 or more games in 2022- Vegas has us at 10.5. The Cowboys haven’t put back to back double digit wins together since 1995-96. (Under- When it’s been nearly three decades since this has happened, I’ll believe it when it happens)
   
2. Dak throws for 4,000 yards and 34 TDs- when Dak has played a full season in 2019 and 2021, he throws for 4k. With the loss of Cooper and Gallup’s early season absence I think his yards may come down a little this year and I think the running game may be better. But I still say (Over on both)
   
3. Cowboys defense gets 30+ takeaways- last year the Cowboys D had 34 takeaways, the most in the NFL. Although the takeaways were great, it somewhat masked some of their ongoing problems stopping the run. I think the Cowboys D will be better this year, but not as many TOs. That’s very hard to repeat. (Under- too hard to repeat)
   
4. Zeke Elliott rushes for 1,200 yards- last year Zeke barely reached 1,000 yards, although he was hurt for more than half the season. Can he return to anything close to his 2016-2019 seasons. There’s a lot of tread gone on those tires and Tony Pollard should get more carries this year. (Under- don’t think Zeke has it in him anymore)
5. Cedee Lamb will have 1,200 yds receiving- With the departure of Amari Cooper and the early season injury recovery of Michael Gallup, Lamb will certainly be the most frequent target. He had 1,102 yards last year- (Over- Lamb will have more targets, receptions and yards, assuming he’s healthy all season)
   
6. Dak will have 60 or more rushing attempts- For his career so far, Dak has rushed for 1,445 yards, avg 4.7 per attempt. Last year he only rushed 48 times, down from the 75 attempts he had in 2018. I think he was still recovering from that gruesome leg injury last yr and will run more in ‘22. (Over- Dak’s running is a weapon defenses stopped worrying about last year. That changes this year)
   
7. Micah Parsons will have 10+ sacks this year- Parsons had 13 sacks last year in his amazing rookie season. With the loss of Randy Gregory, I expect the team will still need a lot of pass rush help from #11. (Over- Parsons will once again be a candidate for Defensive Player of the Year)

What say you on these over/under predictions for 2022?

This is way too early for these types of over/understand.

Training camp hasn't even started

 

[Hawkeye0202]

we were #1 in defensive tds per game. Tied with a couple other teams. I’m not going to calculate the % of takeaways converted to tds, but this at least indicates we MAY have done ok there. However in game by game situations not converting one into a TD could have cost the game.

There were 34 takeaways ..........how many total defensive TDs. I'm just curious coz I don't recall many at all. In fact, I'd be surprised if it was more than five.