Hostile said:
That statement has absolutely no basis in fact. It pre-suposes that no QBs taken in roudn 1 will have what it takes to be great in this league. There is no accompanying evidence. In fact, all evidence to the contrary. A quick look at some of the top QBs in the NFL shows how flawed.
Cowboys, Bledsoe, round 1, #1 overall
Giants, E. Manning, round 1, #1 overall, team in the playoffs in 2005.
Eagles, McNabb, round 1, #2 overall, string of 4 straight NFC Championship games or better broken. No guarantee exists that he can't make it back.
Commanders, Campbell & Ramsey, both drafted in round 1.
Bears, Grossman, round 1, missed part of 2005, still considered the QB in Chi-town, team in playoffs 2005.
Lions, Harrington, round 1, #3 overall. Too soon to call his career over.
Packers, Rodgers, round 1, Heir apparent to legend Brett Favre.
Vikings, Culpepper, round 1, being written off way too soon by some here.
Falcons, Vick, round 1, #1 overall, A threat despite doubts about him.
Panthers, Delhomme, A rare find.
Saints, Soon will add Leinart, Young or Cutler to list of teams banking on 1st round QBs.
Buccaneers, Sims, Too soon to say on his career.
Cardinals, Warner, near the end of the road, talk exists the Cardinals could go QB if Cutler is there.
Rams, Bulger, We're about to find out if Martz made him or he was a find.
49ers, Alex Smith, round 1, #1 overall. Too soon to say on his career.
Seahawks, Hasselbeck, a rare find.
Bills, Losman, round 1. Too soon to call his career over.
Dolphins, Frerotte, rumors of interest in Culpepper or drafting a QB abound.
Patriots, Brady, a rare find.
Jets, Pennington, round 1. Jets looking at QB to replace injured hope.
Ravens, Boller, round 1. Too soon to call his career over.
Bengals, Palmer, round 1, #1 overall. A rising star that derails your theory by himself.
Browns, Frye, too soon to judge his career.
Steelers, Roethlesberger, round 1, Just won a Super Bowl I believe.
Texans, Carr, round 1, #1 overall. Too soon to call his career over.
Colts, P. Manning, round 1, #1 overall. Only the best technical QB in the NFL.
Jagaurs, Leftwich, round 1. Too soon to call his career over.
Titans, McNair, round 1. Probably drafting his replacement in round 1 this year.
Broncos, Plummer, round 1. Had his best year ever in 2005.
Chiefs, Green, a rare find.
Raiders, Collins, round 1. Will Raiders draft Cutler if the Jets don't?
Chargers, Brees. Rivers a round 1 QB waiting to take over or be dealt.
So you see, 32 teams and 22 of them have QBs on their roster right now who were 1st round picks and their hope for the future. 3 more QBs are expected to go in round 1 this year, maybe even top 5 for all 3.
On top of this the teams at the very top minus 1 or 2 are generally led by 1st round QBs. The Super Bowls have been dominated by 1st round QBs.
Nope, that statement not only won't fly, it can't even crawl.
First of all, I didn't say it was a FACT, merely my opinion...and yes I know my opinions don't mean squat here, especially to you. Also this wasn't a discussion to see how many teams had a first rounder as their starting QB or on their roster. The point was to illustrate the success of a 1st rounder compared to others not drafted until later.
So you say 1st round QB's have dominated the superbowl, of course they have in the PAST. But how many first round QB's have won in the big game in recent years(minus Big Ben this year, who didn't win anything, his TEAM did).
2005: Winner, Pit - Big Ben - 1st round(not the reason team won); runner up: Hasslebach - 5th round
2004: Winner, NE - Brady - 6th round;
runner up: McNabb - 1st round
2003: Winner, NE - Brady -6th round; runner up: Delhomme - not drafted
2002: Winner, TB - Johnson - 9th round (fits into the 'not drafted' category based on the 7 round format today); runner up: Gannon - 4th round
2001: Winner, NE - Brady - 6th round; runner up: Warner - not drafted
2000: Winner, Bal - Dilfer - 1st Round(not the reason team won); runner up: Kerry Collins - 1st Round
1999: Winner, STL - Warner - not drafted;
runner up: Steve Mcnair - 1st round
This would entail 'recent years' which was the point of my arguement, so 5 out of 14 starters from the superbowl teams were starters and only 2 of them won...but funny the 2 winners weren't even the reason their teams won now were they?
Now lets look at your other stat pack, I've bolded my added OPINIONS/Comments:
Cowboys, Bledsoe, round 1, #1 overall
Giants, E. Manning, round 1, #1 overall, team in the playoffs in 2005.
Eli Manning is not the reason they made the playoffs, Tiki Barber and the defense are.
Eagles, McNabb, round 1, #2 overall, string of 4 straight NFC Championship games or better broken. No guarantee exists that he can't make it back.
I forget about him in my initial arguement, yes he's had a lot of success. Still a choker though.
Commanders, Campbell & Ramsey, both drafted in round 1.
A 36 year old 5th round pick was thier starter last year.
Bears, Grossman, round 1, missed part of 2005, still considered the QB in Chi-town, team in playoffs 2005.
Grossman didn't get the team to the playoffs, the defense did. Kyle Orton played just as well and was a 4th round pick.
Lions, Harrington, round 1, #3 overall. Too soon to call his career over.
Packers, Rodgers, round 1, Heir apparent to legend Brett Favre.
Vikings, Culpepper, round 1, being written off way too soon by some here.
Falcons, Vick, round 1, #1 overall, A threat despite doubts about him.
Still one of the worst PASSING Qb's though.
Panthers, Delhomme, A rare find.
Saints, Soon will add Leinart, Young or Cutler to list of teams banking on 1st round QBs.
Buccaneers, Sims, Too soon to say on his career.
Cardinals, Warner, near the end of the road, talk exists the Cardinals could go QB if Cutler is there.
Rams, Bulger, We're about to find out if Martz made him or he was a find.
49ers, Alex Smith, round 1, #1 overall. Too soon to say on his career.
Seahawks, Hasselbeck, a rare find.
Bills, Losman, round 1. Too soon to call his career over.
Dolphins, Frerotte, rumors of interest in Culpepper or drafting a QB abound.
Patriots, Brady, a rare find.
Jets, Pennington, round 1. Jets looking at QB to replace injured hope.
Ravens, Boller, round 1. Too soon to call his career over.
Bengals, Palmer, round 1, #1 overall. A rising star that derails your theory by himself.
But did you also notice I mentioned he's coming of a very serious injury?
Browns, Frye, too soon to judge his career.
Steelers, Roethlesberger, round 1, Just won a Super Bowl I believe.
Again, he wasn't the reason they won the game. And most people on this board I'm sure would agree easily.
Texans, Carr, round 1, #1 overall. Too soon to call his career over.
Colts, P. Manning, round 1, #1 overall. Only the best technical QB in the NFL.
The most overrated 'technical QB' in the NFL, zero superbowls, 3-6 playoff record, has had tons of talent, yet people still think he's way better than a guy like Bledsoe.
Jagaurs, Leftwich, round 1. Too soon to call his career over.
Never said Leftwich was a bust, in fact I think he's going to be one of the greats over the next few years starting in 06' when they knock off indy from the afc south.
Titans, McNair, round 1. Probably drafting his replacement in round 1 this year.
Broncos, Plummer, round 1. Had his best year ever in 2005.
one fluke year, he was back to him old self in the playoffs. wouldn't have even beat the pats if not for boneheaded consecutive turnovers at the end of the first half.
Chiefs, Green, a rare find.
Raiders, Collins, round 1. Will Raiders draft Cutler if the Jets don't?
Chargers, Brees. Rivers a round 1 QB waiting to take over or be dealt.
You can try to make me look stupid Hostile, but you know my thoughts and opinions carry some validity. In todays NFL, it's the TEAM that is ultimately responsible for the outcome, not an individual player at the QB position.
And yes this even holds true for Drew Bledsoe and the Cowboys.