The team is not putting much more $ in.
The team is stressing value, but what they mean is profits.
They play fans with the overprice argument because of course millions of dollars is a lot for 99.99% of us.
They say long term, but what they mean is hiding profits long term.
Of course, fans would be angry if they see $100 million of cap unused.
That is how much we would have if we keep spending this way by 2020.
How are they going to hide that from the fans?
It is quite simple - in the name of long term stability.
How are they hiding the profits?
By systematically turning off the restructuring, you can hide about 50 million profits from the fans.
The team has been restructuring about 20-30 million dollars per year, and changing that system can hide lots of $.
With the traditional 20 million of restructuring, here is the cap space:
2017----- 2018----- 2019----- 2020----- 2021
$ 3.20---$ 28.66---$ 67.91--$ 92.72---$ 72.23
To hide the profits from the fans, with 20 million of restructuring turned off, here is the cap space:
2017----- 2018----- 2019----- 2020----- 2021
$ 3.20---$ 8.66-----$ 32.91---$ 47.72--$ 22.23
These calculations have assumed:
1. continue to sign 3 free agents per year - 1 at 2m aav, 1 at 3m aav, 1 at 4m aav
2. resigning own free agents - martin, collins, jones and most of the class of 2016 as good starters or stars, resigning class of 2017 as decent starters (assuming draft results are not as good)
For those who want to question the financial model, I would be happy to email the model to you.
A more detailed report of the model will be posted on BTB.
