Doomsday101
Well-Known Member
- Messages
- 107,762
- Reaction score
- 39,034
Murray took the $ because he knew it was his one big contract. I can't really fault him for that.
The RB position is obviously a weak link, albeit unproven. I think the misconception, or just stubbornness, that people are associating with those on the other side of the fence that actually have confidence we can pick up the slack from Murray's departure, is not the fact that these other RB's are expected to actually *be* DeMarco, but that his production is not irreplaceable.
For one, I don't think anyone expects him to replicate last season. If he goes to Philly and rushes for 1800 yards, then I'll be the first to admit we made a huge mistake.
I've actually defended Murray quite a few times on this forum, from some of the same people now that think opposing teams are just going to put 5 games in the box now, who used to call him a bust because he was "injury prone". I liked Murray. Obviously, he's dead to me now, but the facts are what they are, Murray averaged 4.7ypc which wasn't some crazy, unprecedented number.
The only crazy part about Murray's season was the # of carries he got, and maintaining that avg. He had 80 more carries than the #2 in attempts.
I'd bet there aren't many teams in the last 5 years that have given one RB the rock 400 times in a season.
The point is, as much as I liked Murray, he averaged 4.7 yards a clip. We don't *need* a RB to carry the rock 400 times, in fact we're probably an outlier in that regard last season as far as recent history, we just need to replace a 4.7ypc average.
I'm a stats guy, and if this were baseball, a WAR would be appropriate here. Most fans that want to believe the sky is falling are not only living in the past, but fail to recognize the actual important figure in Murray's year, efficiency. He deserves his accolades for last season, absolutely, but a 4.7 ypc isn't some otherworldly number that's going to cement his status in the HoF. It's more impressive to me that he actually stayed relatively healthy during that span.
Given all of that, and the improvement of our offensive line from development, chemistry, and recently added talent, I don't believe a 4.2-4.7 ypc average, even for the RB's we currently have on the roster, is out of the realm of possibility. I would imagine 4.0ypc is the floor, and I'd be completely shocked if it was actually less than that.
I guess that's why i'm just sorta meh about the whole thing.
I agree in that I would not expect Murray to get 1,800 rushing be it here in Dallas or in Philly, hitting that mark does not happen often. Peterson has gone over 1,800 1 time in his career. As for what this current group may avg? I don't know I think as you it will likely be in that 4 yard range. My concerns are and have been situational, as in late game when you have to grind out some 1st downs to seal the deal when everyone knows what you are attempting to do. It is the goal line situation when the line is stacked, it is the picking up of blitzers to me that is where you find out a lot about the RB you have. I'm not as caught up in the flash or the break away runner I like having a guy I can count on in those tough situations.