Stats about the Cowboys wins in division and out of division since 2016 (10 Years).
On average across those 10 years:
We won 70% of our Division games.
We won 50% of our Non-Division games.
About 9 wins a season across that span. Closer to 9.5 but lets keep it at a round 9.
The Cowboys have Feasted in the division since 2016 almost winning 2/3 of their games.
Most of that 20% gap from 50% to 70% has come from feasting on the Giants/Commanders. As we are about 50/50 with the eagles since 2016.
Giants
We know why the Giants have been a poor team during that span. Now they are getting a legit coach that has a proven track record of not having a losing record and playing his division opponents tough. Up and coming good QB, great RB, solid defense, the Giants are going to be an average to good team in the next 2 years. Which is a big improvement. They could be better, but at the minimum I see them going 8-9 or 9-8 next season and trending up.
Commanders
We know why the Commanders have been a poor team during that span, except for 2024, which was DQ and JD's rookie seasons and they went 12-5. JD was out most of this season and DQ has an aging team on both sides of the ball. They will start replacing/replenishing through the draft and JD will be healthy again. DQ's HC stats are about 50/50. Again, lets assume they are back to 9-8 next year but trending up.
Eagles
The Eagle's are not going anywhere. They will get an OC that fits the system they are trying to run up there and will be back again for the next few years at least. Not trending up but not down either.
So if you have made it this far, all of this is to state that it is highly likely we will see that 70% number come back down to a 50% average over the next 2 years and possibly worse. Meaning they will lose 1 more game a season to divisional opponents which will bring their average wins a season to 8 making them an 8-9 team.
We unfortunately didn't take advantage when we had the opportunity and now it is going to be a much more competitive division for the foreseeable future. Even if we are a better team next year, fix the defense and Dak continues to play well, we are going to have a harder time making the playoffs. Get ready for some leaner times.