Over/Under: Elliott vs. McFadden

[CalPolyTechnique]

In 2015, DMac without the benefit of having competent QB play had five (5) 100+ yard games in 11 starts.

Here's the question:

You're in Vegas w/$1,000 burning a hole in your pocket. Do you take the OVER or UNDER that Zeke Elliott runs for six (6) or more games of 100+ yards in his first 11 starts?

 

[RS12]

Easy money on the over. Guys gonna be a huge part of the offense as someone for Dak to lean on, as he should be. I think he is durable too.

 

[LandryFan]

In 2015, DMac without the benefit of having competent QB play had five (5) 100+ yard games in 11 starts.

Here's the question:

You're in Vegas w/$1,000 burning a hole in your pocket. Do you take the OVER or Under that Zeke Elliott runs for six (6) or more games of 100+ yards in his first 11 starts?

I take the over for two primary reasons:
1. He's good
2. He'll be given a lot of opportunities to pick up a lot of yards...especially in the Dak games..

 

[viman96]

Over all day. Barring injury, Zeke will have 8+ 100yd games.

 

[Zimmy Lives]

Over, please!

 

[ConceptCoop]

In 2015, DMac without the benefit of having competent QB play had five (5) 100+ yard games in 11 starts.

Here's the question:

You're in Vegas w/$1,000 burning a hole in your pocket. Do you take the OVER or UNDER that Zeke Elliott runs for six (6) or more games of 100+ yards in his first 11 starts?

In the first 11 games? Under, easily. RBs get hurt often and we don't know how much volume Elliott will see yet. And Adrian Peterson had 7 all of last year and started all 16 games.

I wouldn't be surprised by more than 6, but If I'm putting money on it, I say under.

 

[JDSmith]

I'd take the over all day.

 

[Runwildboys]

In the first 11 games? Under, easily. RBs get hurt often and we don't know how much volume Elliott will see yet. And Adrian Peterson had 7 all of last year and started all 16 games.

I wouldn't be surprised by more than 6, but If I'm putting money on it, I say under.

AD didn't have the best rushing O-line in the league, so that's an advantage for Zeke. More than 6 is a tall order though, considering teams probably aren't going to fear our passing game, no matter how good Dak's been in preseason.

 

[ConceptCoop]

AD didn't have the best rushing O-line in the league, so that's an advantage for Zeke. More than 6 is a tall order though, considering teams probably aren't going to fear our passing game, no matter how good Dak's been in preseason.

AD doesn't have Zeke's line, but Zeke isn't AD either. And the Vikes aren't shy about his touches. We still don't know how heavily they Boys will lean on Zeke. I do agree that it's tough, but he has a shot.

 

[WillieBeamen]

In the first 11 games? Under, easily. RBs get hurt often and we don't know how much volume Elliott will see yet. And Adrian Peterson had 7 all of last year and started all 16 games.

I wouldn't be surprised by more than 6, but If I'm putting money on it, I say under.

Zeke had 49 yards in 1 quarter vs the best rushing defense in the league, without Romo. I think its fair to say, he easily gets over 6 100 yd rushing games.

 

[ConceptCoop]

Zeke had 49 yards in 1 quarter vs the best rushing defense in the league, without Romo. I think its fair to say, he easily gets over 6 100 yd rushing games.

We're talking about the first 11 weeks, not the entire season. I think he's a good bet for 6+ over the season, but not the first 11 weeks. Just my opinion. But again, RBs get hurt too often and we don't know what his workload would be. I'd have no issue with the Cowboys giving Elliot 15 carries a game most weeks, with Morris getting the rest. If that were to happen, even assuming he stays healthy, he's not likey to get hit the mark.

 

[viman96]

Did they ask Peterson to carry the team games 1-8? Zeke will get the rock a lot and would not be surprised if he leads the league in rushing through the 8 games.

 

[Runwildboys]

AD doesn't have Zeke's line, but Zeke isn't AD either. And the Vikes aren't shy about his touches. We still don't know how heavily they Boys will lean on Zeke. I do agree that it's tough, but he has a shot.

I agree, he has a shot. From what little I've seen of him, I'd go with about 37.778%.... roughly.

 

[DFWJC]

Over all day. Barring injury, Zeke will have 8+ 100yd games.

In his 1st 11 games?

Not so sure about that

I have a feeling that Morris will get plenty of reps the first few games

 

[ConceptCoop]

Did they ask Peterson to carry the team games 1-8? Zeke will get the rock a lot and would not be surprised if he leads the league in rushing through the 8 games.

Oh man, I hope not. I say keep him fresh if we can. Let Morris do some of the dirty work. He's always been a beast in zone blocking schemes.

Peterson got just over 20 carries a game.

 

[Cowboy4ever]

Under. Morris will get at least half the snaps for several games.

 

[Craig]

I think he'll take a few games to get going but who knows. Im guessing he takes a few games to get into rhythm then runs out of gas at the end. Ill guess that if healthy his best 11 game stretch is games 4-14.

 

[Star Guard_31]

I'm taking the under. I do think he's more talented than McFadden, but he has far more talented backfield mates to split carries with.

By the time McFadden became our workhorse, Joe Randle was making recurring appearances on the show Cops and the IR fairy had paid Dunbar a visit.

Alfred Morris is going to get his touches, as is whomever survives the cut between McFadden/Dunbar.

 

[Risen Star]

This is more a question of whether our coaches use Morris enough to prevent it from happening. Zeke Elliott would hang a hundred on most everyone with 20 plus carries a game.

This fan base is weird. I don't think they grasp how special Elliott's talent is yet these same people lose their minds on marginal players like Lance Dunbar.

If I had to bet I would bet under. Slightly. I think they'll play the inferior player too often to reach that number in 11 games.

As an aside, Elliott could display the early signs of dementia and go on to have a better career than Darren McFadden.

 

[CalPolyTechnique]

This is more a question of whether our coaches use Morris enough to prevent it from happening. Zeke Elliott would hang a hundred on most everyone with 20 plus carries a game.

This fan base is weird. I don't think they grasp how special Elliott's talent is yet these same people lose their minds on marginal players like Lance Dunbar.

If I had to bet I would bet under. Slightly. I think they'll play the inferior player too often to reach that number in 11 games.

As an aside, Elliott could display the early signs of dementia and go on to have a better career than Darren McFadden.

Your comments raise a question then. If the coaches split carries with Morris somewhere near a 50/50 clip, then it begs the question if spending the #4 overall pick on a glorified part-time RB was the most prudent move?