Playoff Update Dec 1st - Down to 17% after Sunday's Games

VaqueroTD

VaqueroTD

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Not looking good after Sunday's games. Everything we didn't want to happen... happened. However, Friday was terrific with Philadelphia collapsing again. It's a shame they have a bye week at the perfect moment. Now is the time they need to regroup. San Fran also has a bye week coming up to rest.

Playoff odds have shrunk from 19% to 17%. San Francisco is now the leader of the pack.

Our Division win probability has gone up from 5% to 10% though after the weekend games. So some of you who have been making threads saying it must go through a Philly collapse and an NFC East win are getting closer.

Both Wild Card and NFC East Cowboys must win out, and need some teams to lose. Cowboys finish 11-5-1 by winning out so 11 is the magic number. Any team except Green Bay cannot beat us if they too have 11 wins.

WILD CARD (Still claimed by 3 teams)
  • Detroit and Carolina cannot beat us if we win out.
  • LA Rams, Chicago Bears and Seattle Seahawks 9-3
    • 5 games left, 2-3 finish makes them 11-6
  • San Francisco 9-4: 4 games left
    • 500 finish makes them 11-6
  • Green Bay Packers 8-3-1: 5 games left
    • 2-3 finish makes them 10-6-1
  • We need one of those 5 teams to collapse to 11 wins, or 10 wins if it's Green Bay.
NFC EAST (Still claimed by Philly)
  • Philly is 8-4. 5 Games Left. If they finish season at 3-2, They are 11-6, we win the NFC East.
Truly comes down to Strength of Schedule and Personnel which I believe favor us. Our last tough opponents are Detroit and LA Chargers. And we seem to be healthier than other teams, including our own team that didn't have this many starters on defense just a month ago.

nfc_playoffs.jpg
 
Last edited:
The only thing that happened Sunday that hurt our chances slimly was Seattle winning.

did anyone expect Cleveland to beat SF.
Well, even did anyone expect Seattle to lose. Or expect Arizona to beat TB.

Did it really matter the winner between the Rams and Panthers. Yes it would been nice if Panhers and TB lost. However they play other twice yet. One will win the division. We win out, we just need one to have 6 losses. Which Carolina has. And very possible TB gets a 6th.

We beat Detroit. We just need SF too. lose 2 games, or Seattle and GB to lose 3 games.

I do not need no "stinking" playoff generator or analytics. :laugh:
 
jazzcat22 said:
The only thing that happened Sunday that hurt our chances slimly was Seattle winning.

did anyone expect Cleveland to beat SF.
Well, even did anyone expect Seattle to lose. Or expect Arizona to beat TB.

Did it really matter the winner between the Rams and Panthers. Yes it would been nice if Panhers and TB lost. However they play other twice yet. One will win the division. We win out, we just need one to have 6 losses. Which Carolina has. And very possible TB gets a 6th.

We beat Detroit. We just need SF too. lose 2 games, or Seattle and GB to lose 3 games.

I do not need no "stinking" playoff generator or analytics. :laugh:
Click to expand...
You'll take your stinking Playoff generator and enjoy it! :muttley:
 
jazzcat22 said:
The only thing that happened Sunday that hurt our chances slimly was Seattle winning.

did anyone expect Cleveland to beat SF.
Well, even did anyone expect Seattle to lose. Or expect Arizona to beat TB.

Did it really matter the winner between the Rams and Panthers. Yes it would been nice if Panhers and TB lost. However they play other twice yet. One will win the division. We win out, we just need one to have 6 losses. Which Carolina has. And very possible TB gets a 6th.

We beat Detroit. We just need SF too. lose 2 games, or Seattle and GB to lose 3 games.

I do not need no "stinking" playoff generator or analytics. :laugh:
Click to expand...
Too many "ifs" involved. I hate having to rely on other teams to backdoor our way in. If only we could have beat the stinking panthers and cardinals!!
 
maryquality said:
Too many "ifs" involved. I hate having to rely on other teams to backdoor our way in. If only we could have beat the stinking panthers and cardinals!!
Click to expand...
Right, but that is the way it works though. All teams end up relying on outcomes of other games. Been that way forever.

Cowboys just needs to win out, and everything else may very well take care of itself.
Beat Detroit, and see what happens on Sunday. Still may not clear things up much.
Unless Chargers beat Eagles., then the NFCE race gets interesting.
 
jazzcat22 said:
Right, but that is the way it works though. All teams end up relying on outcomes of other games. Been that way forever.

Cowboys just needs to win out, and everything else may very well take care of itself.
Beat Detroit, and see what happens on Sunday. Still may not clear things up much.
Unless Chargers beat Eagles., then the NFCE race gets interesting.
Click to expand...
Who is the Chargers back-up QB if Herbert doesn't play? Could be the difference maker for philly.
 
VaqueroTD said:
Not looking good after Sunday's games. Everything we didn't want to happen... happened. However, Friday was terrific with Philadelphia collapsing again. It's a shame they have a bye week at the perfect moment. Now is the time they need to regroup. San Fran also has a bye week coming up to rest.

Playoff odds have shrunk from 19% to 17%. San Francisco is now the leader of the pack.

Our Division win probability has gone up from 5% to 10% though after the weekend games. So some of you who have been making threads saying it must go through a Philly collapse and an NFC East win are getting closer.

Both Wild Card and NFC East Cowboys must win out, and need some teams to lose. Cowboys finish 11-5-1 by winning out so 11 is the magic number. Any team except Green Bay cannot beat us if they too have 11 wins.

WILD CARD (Still claimed by 3 teams)
  • Detroit and Carolina cannot beat us if we win out.
  • LA Rams, Chicago Bears and Seattle Seahawks 9-3
    • 5 games left, 2-3 finish makes them 11-6
  • San Francisco 9-4: 4 games left
    • 500 finish makes them 11-6
  • Green Bay Packers 8-3-1: 5 games left
    • 2-3 finish makes them 10-6-1
  • We need one of those 5 teams to collapse to 11 wins, or 10 wins if it's Green Bay.
NFC EAST (Still claimed by Philly)
  • Philly is 8-4. 5 Games Left. If they finish season at 3-2, They are 11-6, we win the NFC East.
Truly comes down to Strength of Schedule and Personnel which I believe favor us. Our last tough opponents are Detroit and LA Chargers. And we seem to be healthier than other teams, including our own team that didn't have this many starters on defense just a month ago.

nfc_playoffs.jpg
Click to expand...
I would bet $1k on every 4 subjects up above. ^^^^

If you hit on just 1 of them, you get your $4k back and then much more easily.
 
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