Prescott vs. good/bad/average defenses

[percyhoward]

NFL rank (DPR) / Prescott's rating (diff)
1 NYG 4th (77.5) / 69.4 (-8.1)
2 Was 14th (89.9) / 103.7 (+13.8)
3 Chi 16th (92.9) / 123.6 (+30.7)
4 SF 21st (94.9) / 114.7 (+19.8)
5 Cin 23rd (96.8) / 117.9 (+21.1)
6 GB 25th (97.4) / 117.4 (+20.0)
7 Phi 5th (79.1) / 79.8 (+0.7)

Prescott vs...
top 10 defenses (2 games)
44 of 84 (52.4%) 514 yd 6.1 ypc 2 td 1 int 74.2

bottom 10 defenses (2 games)
36 of 51 (70.6%) 474 yd 9.3 ypa 4 td 1 int 117.6

all other defenses (3 games)
64 of 86 (74.4%) 785 yd 9.1 ypa 3 td 0 int 113.8

 

[JBS]

Prescott also had a 99 rating in the second half vs Philly

 

[robbieruff]

NFL rank (DPR) / Prescott's rating (diff)
1 NYG 4th (77.5) / 69.4 (-8.1)
2 Was 14th (89.9) / 103.7 (+13.8)
3 Chi 16th (92.9) / 123.6 (+30.7)
4 SF 21st (94.9) / 114.7 (+19.8)
5 Cin 23rd (96.8) / 117.9 (+21.1)
6 GB 25th (97.4) / 117.4 (+20.0)
7 Phi 5th (79.1) / 79.8 (+0.7)

Prescott vs...
top 10 defenses (2 games)
44 of 84 (52.4%) 514 yd 6.1 ypc 2 td 1 int 74.2

bottom 10 defenses (2 games)
36 of 51 (70.6%) 474 yd 9.3 ypa 4 td 1 int 117.6

all other defenses (3 games)
64 of 86 (74.4%) 785 yd 9.1 ypa 3 td 0 int 113.8

Be interesting to see how that compares to the rest of league QBs.

 

[pugilist]

Remaining games and respective DEF rankings (total defense)

CLE 32nd
PITT 27th
BAL 4th
WAS 22nd
MIN 2nd
NYG 17th
TB 26th
DET 23rd
PHI 8th

 

[JBS]

Be interesting to see how that compares to the rest of league QBs.

I think thats what he's showing

 

[TwoDeep3]

Rookie.

 

[Elusive6thRing]

The pattern is forming that it's going to take a good defense to stop Dak, and even then he still can win.

Zeke didn't really turn into Zeke until Game 3, if he ran for anywhere near 100 yards we beat the Giants, and on top of that Beas and Dez dropped TD passes and we lost by 1 point.

 

[robbieruff]

I think thats what he's showing

Oops... Need to stop looking at the posts on my phone so much!!? Thx for the clarification!

 

[percyhoward]

Be interesting to see how that compares to the rest of league QBs.

That is how it compares to the rest of the league, but I'm guessing you mean how does it compare to the other top 10 passers, for example.

Here are the other top 10 passers' (besides Dak) games against top 5 defenses:

135.0 Stafford vs Phi
101.9 Bradford vs NYG
98.4 Ryan vs Den
89.5 Brees vs NYG
72.8 Dalton vs Den
71.6 Bradford vs Phi
62.4 Rthlsbrgr vs Phi

Interestingly, the Giants (4th) and Eagles (5th) have combined to play 7 games against top 10 passers. The three defenses ranked above them (Den, Min, Ari) have combined for 2 such games.

 

[robbieruff]

That is how it compares to the rest of the league, but I'm guessing you mean how does it compare to the other top 10 passers, for example.

Here are the other top 10 passers' (besides Dak) games against top 5 defenses:

135.0 Stafford vs Phi
101.9 Bradford vs NYG
98.4 Ryan vs Den
89.5 Brees vs NYG
72.8 Dalton vs Den
71.6 Bradford vs Phi
62.4 Rthlsbrgr vs Phi

Great stuff...thx for sharing!!!

 

[AbeBeta]

NFL rank (DPR) / Prescott's rating (diff)
1 NYG 4th (77.5) / 69.4 (-8.1)
2 Was 14th (89.9) / 103.7 (+13.8)
3 Chi 16th (92.9) / 123.6 (+30.7)
4 SF 21st (94.9) / 114.7 (+19.8)
5 Cin 23rd (96.8) / 117.9 (+21.1)
6 GB 25th (97.4) / 117.4 (+20.0)
7 Phi 5th (79.1) / 79.8 (+0.7)

Prescott vs...
top 10 defenses (2 games)
44 of 84 (52.4%) 514 yd 6.1 ypc 2 td 1 int 74.2

bottom 10 defenses (2 games)
36 of 51 (70.6%) 474 yd 9.3 ypa 4 td 1 int 117.6

all other defenses (3 games)
64 of 86 (74.4%) 785 yd 9.1 ypa 3 td 0 int 113.8

Most QBs show up the same. Otherwise, the D they faced would show better/worse ratings.

It is a dumb stat. His performance goes directly into their rating.

 

[Clove]

6-1

 

[percyhoward]

It is a dumb stat. His performance goes directly into their rating.

His performance reflects approximately either 1/7 or 1/8 of their rating. Remove his games from the defenses' ratings, and the differential grows by about 1/7 or 1/8.

 

[percyhoward]

6-1

Not unexpected when the QB plays better than the rest of the league against 6 of the 7 defenses.

 

[Clove]

Not unexpected when the QB plays better than the rest of the league against 6 of the 7 defenses.

Should have been seven games, but you know it was like his first game ever.

 

[AbeBeta]

His performance reflects approximately either 1/7 or 1/8 of their rating. Remove his games from the defenses' ratings, and the differential grows by about 1/7 or 1/8.

And you've got 12 teams who aren't top or bottom 10. Pretty easy for one game to move you between categories

 

[percyhoward]

It was like his first game ever.

I'd heard that somewhere.

 

[percyhoward]

And you've got 12 teams who aren't top or bottom 10. Pretty easy for one game to move you between categories

True, although what you quoted wasn't a reference to those categories.

 

[Clove]

I'd heard that somewhere.

People never really talked about the guy being a first-time player in the NFL so I thought I'd bring that to the table.

 

[RJ_MacReady]

Air Yards Per Completion (As of Oct 31 2016, minimum 1000 yards passing)

1. Cam Newton - 8.33
2. Tom Brady - 8.28
3. Carson Palmer - 8.06
4. Matt Ryan - 7.82
5. Andrew Dalton - 7.79
6. Tyrod Taylor - 7.73
7. Jameis Winston - 7.69
8. Dak Prescott - 7.63
9. Kirk Cousins - 7.47
10. Andrew Luck - 7.47
11. Trevor Siemian - 7.30
12. Ryan Fitzpatrick - 7.24
13. Philip Rivers - 7.15
14. Derek Carr - 7.08
15. Marcus Mariota - 7.04
16. Russell Wilson - 6.99
17. Roethlisberger - 6.80
18. Drew Brees - 6.55
19. Brock Osweiler - 6.48
20. Case Keenum - 6.37
21. Ryan Tannehill - 6.27
22. Sam Bradford - 5.81
23. Matthew Stafford - 5.75
24. Aaron Rodgers - 5.72
25. Alex Smith - 5.72
26. Blake Bortles - 5.71
27. Joe Flacco - 5.54
28. Brian Hoyer - 5.37
29. Carson Wentz - 5.35
30. Eli Manning - 5.22

Dak is doing just fine for his 7th start in his rookie season. He's definitely been given a lengthy leash to run the offense, unlike other rookies. I'd actually like to see how all of the top QBs have done in the first half of their rookie season (the ones that unfortunately weren't in a position to sit and learn).