Prescott's Pressured Dropbacks, 2016-17

[percyhoward]

Here's every full game of his career so far, with the number representing the percentage of dropbacks on which he was pressured (hurried, hit as thrown, or sacked) in that game. About 33% is normal.

2016
29 NYG
37 at WAS
37 CHI
39 at SF
26 CIN
21 at GB
52 PHI
24 at CLE
35 at PIT
31 BAL
39 WAS
52 at MIN
48 at NYG
29 TB
28 DET
31 GB

2017
23 NYG
40 at DEN
37 at ARI
44 LAR
23 GB
27 at SF
40 at WAS
31 KC
45 at ATL
46 PHI
41 LAC
33 WAS
21 at NYG
42 at OAK
49 SEA

W-L by pressured %
< 40% 17-3 (.850)
≥ 40% 4-7 (.364)

in games when pressured on < 40% of dropbacks
413 of 600 (68.8%) 4932 yd (8.2 ypa) 38 td 3 int 112.7
in games when pressured on ≥ 40% of dropbacks
208 of 352 (59.1%) 2119 yd (6.0 ypa) 9 td 15 int 67.2

You would expect a QB to struggle when pressured, but Prescott also tends to struggle on all attempts in games in which he gets a lot of pressure, even when he's not pressured on that particular play. Especially (but not only) in 2017.

Passing from CLEAN POCKET only
in games when pressured on < 40% of dropbacks
2016 222 of 288 (77.1%) 2636 yd (9.2 ypa) 17 td 1 int 122.6
2017 106 of 152 (69.7%) 1206 yd (7.9 ypa) 13 td 1 int 119.0
career 328 of 440 (74.5%) 3842 yd (8.7 ypa) 30 td 2 int 121.4

in games when pressured on ≥ 40% of dropbacks
2016 29 of 53 (54.7%) 422 yd (8.0 ypa) 4 td 3 int 82.4
2017 116 of 166 (69.9%) 925 yd (5.6 ypa) 4 td 7 int 74.0
career 145 of 219 (66.2%) 1347 yd (6.2 ypa) 8 td 10 int 76.0

Keep in mind that there will be some cause-effect confusion in these samples, because a QB who is struggling from a clean pocket is more likely to be losing the game, and so will find himself in more passing situations which usually translates into more pressures as the game goes on. This effect is somewhat diminished by using percentages instead of the raw number of pressures, but not completely eliminated.

 

[diefree666]

does not matter who you are - Tom Brady or whoever- if there is enough pressure they do not play well.

NOW some QBs like Brady can stand MORE pressure than other QBs and get the job done.

THAT is why pressures are not as easy to figure the impact as sacks. What is pressure to one QB is not to another like Brady

 

[Stash]

Here's every full game of his career so far, with the number representing the percentage of dropbacks on which he was pressured (hurried, hit as thrown, or sacked) in that game. About 33% is normal.

2016
29 NYG
37 at WAS
37 CHI
39 at SF
26 CIN
21 at GB
52 PHI
24 at CLE
35 at PIT
31 BAL
39 WAS
52 at MIN
48 at NYG
29 TB
28 DET
31 GB

2017
23 NYG
40 at DEN
37 at ARI
44 LAR
23 GB
27 at SF
40 at WAS
31 KC
45 at ATL
46 PHI
41 LAC
33 WAS
21 at NYG
42 at OAK
49 SEA

W-L by pressured %
< 40% 17-3 (.850)
≥ 40% 4-7 (.364)

in games when pressured on < 40% of dropbacks
413 of 600 (68.8%) 4932 yd (8.2 ypa) 38 td 3 int 112.7
in games when pressured on ≥ 40% of dropbacks
208 of 352 (59.1%) 2119 yd (6.0 ypa) 9 td 15 int 67.2

You would expect a QB to struggle when pressured, but Prescott also tends to struggle on all attempts in games in which he gets a lot of pressure, even when he's not pressured on that particular play. Especially (but not only) in 2017.

Passing from CLEAN POCKET only
in games when pressured on < 40% of dropbacks
2016 222 of 288 (77.1%) 2636 yd (9.2 ypa) 17 td 1 int 122.6
2017 106 of 152 (69.7%) 1206 yd (7.9 ypa) 13 td 1 int 119.0
career 328 of 440 (74.5%) 3842 yd (8.7 ypa) 30 td 2 int 121.4

in games when pressured on ≥ 40% of dropbacks
2016 29 of 53 (54.7%) 422 yd (8.0 ypa) 4 td 3 int 82.4
2017 116 of 166 (69.9%) 925 yd (5.6 ypa) 4 td 7 int 74.0
career 145 of 219 (66.2%) 1347 yd (6.2 ypa) 8 td 10 int 76.0

Keep in mind that there will be some cause-effect confusion in these samples, because a QB who is struggling from a clean pocket is more likely to be losing the game, and so will find himself in more passing situations which usually translates into more pressures as the game goes on. This effect is somewhat diminished by using percentages instead of the raw number of pressures, but not completely eliminated.

Great stuff as usual, thanks!

 

[Prime21]

Dak holds the ball too long.

I dont think our WRs are getting open either. OLine had some bad games. I want to believe Dak is a franchise guy but he hasnt been close since Zeke's suspension. Seattle was an embarrassment.

So much blame to go around on an offense that was supposed to be elite. Frustrating.

 

[ElGatoGrande]

Well, at least we didn't have to hear the media talking heads describing Prescott as "poised" 50 million times like they did last year,,,

 

[ROUSH8692]

Dak holds the ball too long.

I dont think our WRs are getting open either. OLine had some bad games. I want to believe Dak is a franchise guy but he hasnt been close since Zeke's suspension. Seattle was an embarrassment.

So much blame to go around on an offense that was supposed to be elite. Frustrating.

Sure theyre not.......


https://i.*******/jtezdfhkk5601.jpg

 

[fifaguy]

I always wonder about our "great OL" in this regard. Can't put all of this on Tyron's injury....

 

[Reverend Conehead]

I always wonder about our "great OL" in this regard. Can't put all of this on Tyron's injury....

The O line has poor depth. If one of our starters gets hurt, he gets replaced by a turnstile.

 

[jwooten15]

Sure theyre not.......


https://i.*******/jtezdfhkk5601.jpg

Please don't show me that. That's just depressing. Man, so sad.

Almost as bad as the Murray fumble in GB.

That photo is the summary of our entire season -- dump off Dak.

 

[CowboyRoy]

Sure theyre not.......


https://i.*******/jtezdfhkk5601.jpg

No doubt the worst read and pass of his career.

 

[Trouty]

Sure theyre not.......


https://i.*******/jtezdfhkk5601.jpg

This pic was taken after the ball had been passed, causing the LB to break left.

 

[Trouty]

Please don't show me that. That's just depressing. Man, so sad.

Almost as bad as the Murray fumble in GB.

That photo is the summary of our entire season -- dump off Dak.

Again, that photo is bull shyte in attempting to show Dak missing a "wide open" receiver. It's a still taken after Dak made the throw.

The Mike is breaking on the ball to get to the receiver. If Dak throws it in the middle, that LB probably makes a play

 

[jwooten15]

No doubt the worst read and pass of his career.

I think we need to use that term very, very loosely when we talk about Dak. At least right now

 

[jwooten15]

Again, that photo is bull shyte in attempting to show Dak missing a "wide open" receiver. It's a still taken after Dak made the throw.

Yeah, I thought about that also. The DB was making a break on Zeke because he recognized Dak dumping it off to him. So for sure, the photo doesn't give a true assessment of how open Witten really was.

But regardless, Beasley was also very open. The LB was in the picture, but any NFL QB can fit the ball in that window and Bease would pick up 15.

 

[Kevinicus]

Again, that photo is bull shyte in attempting to show Dak missing a "wide open" receiver. It's a still taken after Dak made the throw.

The Mike is breaking on the ball to get to the receiver. If Dak throws it in the middle, that LB probably makes a play

I don't know about Beasely being open due to the LB reacting to the throw, but Witten was definitely wide open and should have at least gotten across mid-field before he was run down. So the image might be deceptive for Bease, but it most certainly was not for Witten (they showed the overhead during the game after this play talking about Witten being open).

 

[CowboyRoy]

I think we need to use that term very, very loosely when we talk about Dak. At least right now

?

 

[CowboyRoy]

Yeah, I thought about that also. The DB was making a break on Zeke because he recognized Dak dumping it off to him. So for sure, the photo doesn't give a true assessment of how open Witten really was.

But regardless, Beasley was also very open. The LB was in the picture, but any NFL QB can fit the ball in that window and Bease would pick up 15.

Beasley running full speed across the middle runs right into the LBer there. The play was to Witten.

 

[jwooten15]

?

I bolded the word "read" from your original post

 

[Trouty]

I don't know about Beasely being open due to the LB reacting to the throw, but Witten was definitely wide open and should have at least gotten across mid-field before he was run down. So the image might be deceptive for Bease, but it most certainly was not for Witten (they showed the overhead during the game after this play talking about Witten being open).

I'm only commenting on the picture. If anything, Beas is the one open, not Witt. Still, the middle of the field is open because of Dak passing to his left to Zeke

 

[aikemirv]

This pic was taken after the ball had been passed, causing the LB to break left.

Sorry, don't buy it. Witten is not waving his arms madly after the ball was thrown. He was wide open! Dak was done. He was toast. He had given up looking downfield. His ints got in his head and he went into a dump down shell. I doubt he ever recovers. Watching that gamemade me remember what it was like to watch the Cowboys before Romo!.

Not fun at all!