Ranking every NFL playoff teams chances to win Super Bowl

[JD_KaPow]

FO:
Team, making SB/winning SB
NE, 60%/34%
DAL, 50%/26%
ATL, 30%/13%
KC, 24%/12%
PIT, 12%/6%
Everyone else below 8%/3%

538 (Nate Silver):
NE, 55%/35%
KC, 28%/16%
DAL, 35%/14%
ATL, 32%/14%
SEA, 13%/5%
GB, 12%/5%
PIT, 10%/5%
Everyone else below 6%/3%

538 seems to see upsets along the way as more likely.

 

[Ranching]

All I know is that the Commanders and Eagles have zero chance.

 

[Gameover]

plus points just shows a team has been consistent thru the year, never getting beat bad , no let downs.
it is a good sign, but playoffs are a different story.

Or you pounced on scrubs. I believe San Fran was better at this then we were in the 90's, because they ran the score up. Or Colts vs Pats from the 2G

Came across a stat from a metric site that had the Pats at 32 in strength of schedule

Heard an interesting one just a while ago -- don't know if it's true:

No team that has forced less than 25 turnovers in a season has every won a Superbowl.

Cowboys have 20 for the season.

Well this is clearly because we didn't have Romo.

 

[Gameover]

Another reason why the Patriots have such good odds...

Don't count out the Raiders

 

[muck4doo]

Patriots
Falcons
Steelers
Packers
Seahawks
Chiefs
Giants
Cowboys
Lions
Dolphins
Texans
Raiders

 

[Sepia]

Heard an interesting one just a while ago -- don't know if it's true:

No team that has forced less than 25 turnovers in a season has every won a Superbowl.

Cowboys have 20 for the season.

I think it will help our case that our QB had an almost historically low interception rate.

 

[DogFace]

Only 7 drops all season is impressive.