Reference: Cap Calculations

xwalker

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This post is a reference for details of Cap Calculations that I've discussed in another post.



Calculations to simplify the review of new contracts for Cowboys players.
  • I've already added Dak and Cooper into the calculations.
  • It's your choice on new contacts for:
    • Zeke
    • Byron Jones
    • Keep/Cut Tyrone Crawford
    • Any other 2020 Cowboys Free Agent
    • Free Agents from other teams.
You have 80M to pay 12 players in the top 20 starting in 2020.
  • The 80M is based on contract averages.
  • The 8 shown below and players 21 to 53 take up the remaining cap space.
  • The calculations to derive the 80M number are shown in the 2nd half of this post.
Starting in 2020, add 12 players (Zeke at 15.5M would be at #4)
1 Dak Prescott
2 Demarcus Lawrence
3 Amari Cooper
4 Zack Martin
5 Tyron Smith
6 Travis Frederick
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19 Leighton Vander Esch
20 L.P. Ladouceur


Options (choose from this list or free agents from other teams):
- Don't include future draft picks on rookie contracts.
  • Tyrone Crawford: The cost is 8M to keep him in 2020.
  • Zeke: 15M average if re-signed.
Free Agents - Medium Probability to Re-Sign
  • Byron Jones
  • Maliek Collins
  • Anthony Brown
Free Agents Low Probability to Re-Sign
  • Robert Quinn
  • La'el Collins
  • Randall Cobb
  • Jason Witten
  • Sean Lee
  • Joe Thomas
Remaining Free Agents
  • Christian Covington
  • Jeff Heath
  • Tavon Austin
  • George Iloka
  • Kerry Hyder
  • Xavier Su'a-Filo
  • Justin March
  • Darian Thompson
  • C.J. Goodwin
  • Kavon Frazier
Calculations:
The NFL salary cap has increased about 8% on average each of the past 5 years.

Using the rate of increase over the past 5 years to project the future 5 years, the 5 year period starting with 2020 would average 232.9M.

Currently the bottom 33 players of 53 account for 16% of the cap.
- It would be difficult to squeeze this group (21-53) to below 16%.

That leaves 84% for the top 20.
Using the 232.9M number, 84% is about 195.6M on average available for the 5 years starting with 2020.

Now the average of the top 4 contracts for 2020:
21M Demarcus Lawrence
14M Zack Martin
12.2M Tyron Smith
9.4M Travis Frederick

Estimates for Dak & Cooper:
34M Dak Prescott
20M Amari Cooper

Now the top 6 contracts equal 110.6M average per year.

That leaves 85M for players 7 to 20 (14 total players).

LVE and LP will be about players 19 & 20.
2.96M Leighton Vander Esch
2.04M (estimate) L.P. Ladouceur

That leaves 80M for players 7 to 18 (12 total).
 

JBond

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This post is a reference for details of Cap Calculations that I've discussed in another post.



Calculations to simplify the review of new contracts for Cowboys players.
  • I've already added Dak and Cooper into the calculations.
  • It's your choice on new contacts for:
    • Zeke
    • Byron Jones
    • Keep/Cut Tyrone Crawford
    • Any other 2020 Cowboys Free Agent
    • Free Agents from other teams.
You have 80M to pay 12 players in the top 20 starting in 2020.
  • The 80M is based on contract averages.
  • The 8 shown below and players 21 to 53 take up the remaining cap space.
  • The calculations to derive the 80M number are shown in the 2nd half of this post.
Starting in 2020, add 12 players (Zeke at 15.5M would be at #4)
1 Dak Prescott
2 Demarcus Lawrence
3 Amari Cooper
4 Zack Martin
5 Tyron Smith
6 Travis Frederick
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19 Leighton Vander Esch
20 L.P. Ladouceur


Options (choose from this list or free agents from other teams):
- Don't include future draft picks on rookie contracts.
  • Tyrone Crawford: The cost is 8M to keep him in 2020.
  • Zeke: 15M average if re-signed.
Free Agents - Medium Probability to Re-Sign
  • Byron Jones
  • Maliek Collins
  • Anthony Brown
Free Agents Low Probability to Re-Sign
  • Robert Quinn
  • La'el Collins
  • Randall Cobb
  • Jason Witten
  • Sean Lee
  • Joe Thomas
Remaining Free Agents
  • Christian Covington
  • Jeff Heath
  • Tavon Austin
  • George Iloka
  • Kerry Hyder
  • Xavier Su'a-Filo
  • Justin March
  • Darian Thompson
  • C.J. Goodwin
  • Kavon Frazier
Calculations:
The NFL salary cap has increased about 8% on average each of the past 5 years.

Using the rate of increase over the past 5 years to project the future 5 years, the 5 year period starting with 2020 would average 232.9M.

Currently the bottom 33 players of 53 account for 16% of the cap.
- It would be difficult to squeeze this group (21-53) to below 16%.

That leaves 84% for the top 20.
Using the 232.9M number, 84% is about 195.6M on average available for the 5 years starting with 2020.

Now the average of the top 4 contracts for 2020:
21M Demarcus Lawrence
14M Zack Martin
12.2M Tyron Smith
9.4M Travis Frederick

Estimates for Dak & Cooper:
34M Dak Prescott
20M Amari Cooper

Now the top 6 contracts equal 110.6M average per year.

That leaves 85M for players 7 to 20 (14 total players).

LVE and LP will be about players 19 & 20.
2.96M Leighton Vander Esch
2.04M (estimate) L.P. Ladouceur

That leaves 80M for players 7 to 18 (12 total).
Lots of work. Not sure about the numbers. Thanks for posting.
 
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