Remaining games: NFC playoff contenders***Official NFC Playoff thread with schedules***

cowboys1981

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Here are the remaining games for all fighting for a playoff spot.

ARI 9-3: KC-@STL-SEA-@SF
SEA 8-4: @PHI-SF-@ARI-STL
SF 7-5: @OAK-@SEA-SD-ARI

GB 9-3: ATL-@BUF-@TB-DET
DET 8-4: TB-MIN-@CHI-@GB

PHI 9-3: SEA-DAL-@WSH-@NY
DAL 8-4: @CHI-@PHI-IND-@WSH

NO 5-7: CAR-@CHI-ATL-@TB
ATL 5-7: @GB-PIT-@NO-CAR

This will be an interesting finish. I can see Arizona losing out, and Seattle winning out to clinch the West.

I wouldn't mind Detroit dropping some, I can see them losing their last two. Divisional games can be tricky.

Have fun with it zoners!!

Staff EDIT: Try and put all NFC playoff threads and posts including Cowboys' ones in this thread
 
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Wayne02

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I could see Arizona losing out and I see SF getting to 9 wins, which means the Cowboys need to get to 10 wins possibly 11 if they want the wildcard because I don't see them winning the division.
 

cowboys1981

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I could see Arizona losing out and I see SF getting to 9 wins, which means the Cowboys need to get to 10 wins possibly 11 if they want the wildcard because I don't see them winning the division.

That can be the case. Arizona has four tough defenses to close out season. I see SF losing to SEA n SD.
 

TwoDeep3

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While this will get a great deal of push back, every game from here out is win or go home. Win out and win the East. Stumble at any point an d that game is the elimination game.
 

vicjagger

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FWIW, after today's games, Dallas dropped from the #5 seed to #7. (per NFL.com)
 

windjc

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11-5 probably gets us in, unless the football gods are very unkind.

However, 10-6, which is normally a shoe-in is statistically very LOW possibility for Dallas.

Let's look at why.

Assuming Dallas is fighting for a wildcard berth, they are doing so against 4 other teams - Arizona, Seattle, San Francisco and Detroit.

For Dallas to get in at 10-6, they have to beat out 2 of these teams. Arizona and SF have the tiebreaker over Dallas and would have to finish 9-7. Arizona would have to lose ALL 4 remaining games to have this happen. SF would have to finish 2-2, which is possible, but not likely, as they have games remaining against Oakland
and at home against the reeling Cardinals. Which means SF would have to lose to Seattle and at home against San Diego. Maybe that happens, but its asking alot.

Unfortunately, the Dallas vs. Detroit tiebreaker is not looking good. If both teams finish 10-6, you got to common opponents. IF Dallas beats Chicago (which they probably need to do finish 10-6) Dallas would be 4-1 against common opponents. Detroit also travels to Chicago in a few weeks. If Detroit loses to Chicago they finish 3-2 against common opponents and Dallas wins the tiebreaker. HOWEVER, if Detroit also beats Chicago, then the tiebreaker goes to Conference record, where it is IMPOSSIBLE for Dallas to have a equal or better record if both teams finish 10-6. Therefore Detroit has the inside track in this head to head tiebreaker.

Seattle still remains Dallas' best chance to make the playoffs at 10-6. If Seattle finishes 10-6 and does NOT win its division (meaning Cardinals need to figure out how to go at least 2-2) then Dallas has the tiebreaker and would have to beat out only 1 of SF or Detroit for the wild card berth. However, due to Arizona injuries, Seattle definitely has the inside track to a division title atm.

Dallas needs 11-5. Sucks, but its da truth ;)
 

perrykemp

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It's VERY likely a 10-6 team won't make it in the NFC and there a possibility a 11-5 team won't make it either.

Tough year in the NFC.
 

Tusan_Homichi

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Yeah. It's either win 3 out of the next 4 or be watching the playoffs yet again. Pretty tough year in the NFC for sure.

I think we can do it, but there are two really tough games in that mix and a couple of bad teams that might give us trouble as well. It's definitely going to be exciting.
 

Idgit

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While this will get a great deal of push back, every game from here out is win or go home. Win out and win the East. Stumble at any point an d that game is the elimination game.

We don't need 12-4.

If one of the wins is PHI, 10-6 might get us in. 11-5 and there are a lot of possibilities, even if it's not a sure thing.

That SEA/PHI game will let us know what our chances are in the NFCE. I don't really see PHI dropping one to NY or WAS for us, even if we manage to beat them in PHI.
 

windjc

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It's VERY likely a 10-6 team won't make it in the NFC and there a possibility a 11-5 team won't make it either.

Tough year in the NFC.

Dallas' best chance to make it at 10-6 is to beat Chicago, have Detroit lose to Chicago. Then, either have the Cardinals finish 2-2, while the Seahawks finish 10-6 or SF finishes 9-7.

There is certainly a possibility these scenarios play out, but I wouldn't give it more than a 20% chance atm.
 

JBS

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11-5 gets us in. Cardina will be lucky to win one more game...

Not sure this team can win 3/4 though
 

wick

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Per playoffstatus.com, Dallas has a 42 percent chance of getting in with a 10-6 record. That jumps to 88 percent if we can win 11. Ten might do it, but the only good chance we have is to get to 11.
 

jobberone

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http://i471.***BLOCKED***/albums/rr75/jobberone/ScreenShot2014-11-30at85306PM_zps1284dc27.png

If you can put thoughts related to the NFC playoffs in this thread and not create a new one and not clutter up the first page with too many.

This is the current playoff status for the NFC. We went up a % point until the Packers win and AZ loss. Now we are back to 50% make or not.
 

Staubacher

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A VERY odd quirk is we can lose to the Bears and actually move up to the 6 seed, but beat the Bears and remain the 7 seed on the outside looking in.

How?

We lose to Bears
Lions win
Seattle loses

Detroit would be the first wild card at 9-4 and we would be tied at 8-5 with Seattle and win the head to head tiebreaker. Even if you put SF in there at 8-5 they would be out by Seattle before the tiebreaker goes to us.

If we beat the Bears and go 9-4, but Seattle and Detroit also win, we still lose out on the wild card due to losing a 3 way tiebreaker just like currently. We also would be tied with Philly for the division but lose the tiebreak there.

So it goes to show just how wacky the current playoff picture is.
 

windjc

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Per playoffstatus.com, Dallas has a 42 percent chance of getting in with a 10-6 record. That jumps to 88 percent if we can win 11. Ten might do it, but the only good chance we have is to get to 11.

I think 42% is VERY generous.
 

windjc

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A VERY odd quirk is we can lose to the Bears and actually move up to the 6 seed, but beat the Bears and remain the 7 seed on the outside looking in.

How?

We lose to Bears
Lions win
Seattle loses

Detroit would be the first wild card at 9-4 and we would be tied at 8-5 with Seattle and win the head to head tiebreaker. Even if you put SF in there at 8-5 they would be out by Seattle before the tiebreaker goes to us.

If we beat the Bears and go 9-4, but Seattle and Detroit also win, we still lose out on the wild card due to losing a 3 way tiebreaker just like currently. We also would be tied with Philly for the division but lose the tiebreak there.

So it goes to show just how wacky the current playoff picture is.

On a week to week basis this makes sense, but in actuality the game against Chicago is MUST for our playoff hopes, because it is our best way to have a chance against Detroit in a tiebreaker.
 

rynochop

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I try not to click on these threads, but i do anyway. These should be banned til theres two games left.heh
 
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