KJJ;3824434 said:
It's pretty silly trying to compare Romo with a QB who's won 10 playoff games including 2 SB's and is about to make his 3rd SB appearance.
The main reason for this disparity has very little to do with the QB's, and very much to do with the teams.
I understand that some turnovers are worse than others, but low passer ratings give you a better idea of any particular passing performance because they show not just the interceptions (negative plays), but also the fact that the QB is not making positive plays. Low completion %, low yardage totals, low TD totals--all lower your odds of winning a game. That's why passer rating usually has as high or higher correlation to winning than turnover ratio.
It's also why Rothlisberger's low completion % against the Jets last week doesn't exactly
make up for his two interceptions. 35.5 is awful. Somebody earlier tried to blame the 35.5 on the weather, but Sanchez had over a 100 rating in the same game. The Steelers just shut down the Jets' running game. If you're talking about QB's--and we are--which QB played well enough (from start to finish) to "lead" his team to the Super Bowl in that game: Roethlisberger or Sanchez?
And it's the third time in his playoff career that his team has WON when he's had that type of game. You'd rather look at turnovers. Pittsburgh lost the turnover battle in all three games as well. Those three games are aberrations, but in the case of the Steeler defense, these aberrations are the norm!
KJJ;3824434 said:
I've already shown how passer ratings can be deceiving by the number of average QB's who have career passer ratings higher than some HOF QB's.
You're not adjusting for era. That's why they're "deceiving."
Ignore this:
Career Passer Rating
Romo 95.5
Roethlisberger 92.5
Staubach 83.4
Focus on this:
Yearly Rank in Passer Rating (Avg)
Staubach 1st, 1st, 13th, 6th, 6th, 2nd, 1st, 1st (4th)
Romo 5th, 5th, 8th, 8th (6th)
Roethlisberger 5th, 3rd, 21st, 2nd, 24th, 5th, 5th (8th)
The problem isn't in the passer rating, it's in the way you were looking at it. Passer rating is one of the best stats out there.
You went on about how Brees won a SB with a 20th ranked defense in 2009. That defense was 3rd in defensive passer rating. You pointed out that Romo should have been able to do more in 2009 with his 2nd ranked defense. That defense was 16th in defensive passer rating.
This year's two Super Bowl teams finished the season ranked 1st and 2nd in defensive passer rating. They got to the Super Bowl by beating the teams that finished 3rd and 6th in defensive passer rating.
KJJ;3824474 said:
Thinking Romo could get it done if he were on another team probably makes some fans feel better about him.
Nobody cares how "thinking about it" makes them feel, but I guarantee you there are many who wonder about whether it's true. And there are ways to figure it out.
Could Romo win with the Steelers?
Let's assume he'd have more bad games (below 85 rating) than he does with Dallas. Let's assume he'd have as many bad games as Roethlisberger does. You see that the Steelers are 24-21 in Ben's bad games. There's no reason to believe that record would be any different in Romo's bad games. And there's no reason to believe that wouldn't include the playoffs.
Because it certainly does for Roethlisberger.