Sports Illustrated Prediction: Cowboys vs Vikings

garyv

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Tim Layden> INSIDE THE NFL
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Playoff breakdown: Cowboys-Vikes Story Highlights
You never know what you're going to get with Brett Favre
The pass rush of both teams will be difficult to slow down
Brad Childress and Wade Phillips seeking playoff respect

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Outside linebacker DeMarcus Ware's 11 sacks this season led the Cowboys.
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Breaking down the NFC divisional battle, Cowboys at Vikings, Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Fox

THREE THINGS YOU SHOULD CARE ABOUT
1. Favre's last stand. Yeah, yeah, go ahead and laugh. Sure enough, Brett Favre has made a second career of lampooning his own indecisiveness. Even Wednesday during a press conference at Vikings' headquarters in suburban Minneapolis, when a questioner said that Kurt Warner hadn't nailed down his future plans, Favre said, "So he's waffling?''

Give Favre points for self-awareness. But the fact is, we have reached that point where every game Favre plays could be his last, for reasons other than injury. He and his family went home to Mississippi last week to "recharge the batteries,'' as he put it, but he also said, "I haven't thought about what next year will be like. All I want to do is beat Dallas. I don't want to even think about next year.''

In nine of the Vikings' first 11 games, Favre's passer rating was 95.3 or higher; he had 24 touchdowns and three interceptions. In the next three games, two of which the Vikings lost, Favre's rating was under 80 and he had three touchdowns and four interceptions to encourage buzz about a flameout like last year's with the Jets. But Favre played well in the last two weeks of the season, including a four-touchdown, 316-yard performance against the in-the-tank Giants. That finish, of course, is another reason to care: Because even if this is Favre's last game, you just don't know what you're going to get.

2. Cowboys bringing the heat. The Cowboys have a devastating pass rush, led by outside linebacker DeMarcus Ware (11 sacks), nose tackle Jay Ratliff (seven), outside linebacker Anthony Spencer (six) and inside linebacker Keith Brooking (four). Ware's total, in fact, is his lowest in the past four seasons (20 in 2008, 14 in 2007, 11 ½ in 2006), but the Cowboys' front seven has played more cohesively, especially with 11 sacks in the final three weeks of the regular season and four more on Donovan McNabb in the wild-card round.

This aspect of the game is made all the more intriguing because of the quarterback on the other side of he ball. (Warning: Almost every element of this game comes back around to Favre). It will be fascinating to watch Vikings left tackle Bryant McKinnie, who has struggled at times, dealing with Ware; but only slightly more so than watching 6-foot-8, 343-pound right tackle Phil Loadholt from Oklahoma playing against Spencer. It's good fun to watch Favre play at all times, but even more so to watch him try to play all day under siege. McKinnie and Loadholt are huge; Ware and Spencer are quick.

Bonus Why You Should Care: The Cowboys' pass rush is getting all the pregame buzz, but it was the Vikings who led the NFL in sacks, so there's a no-respect subplot in play, too. And Tony Romo is a great show under the gun, as well.

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3. Can they coach? Prior to last weekend, Vikings coach Brad Childress and Cowboys coach Wade Phillips had combined for zero playoff victories. That's not entirely fair to Childress; he's only in his third year as a head coach and last year's 26-14 home loss to the Eagles in the wild-card round was his first playoff game. Phillips, meanwhile, is hailed in Cowboys' media materials as one of only six NFL coaches to take at least three different teams to playoffs (the others: Bill Parcells, who took four; Chuck Knox, Dan Reeves, Marty Schottenheimer and Dick Vermeil). But Phillips's record was 0-4 before last week's decisive home win over the Eagles.

Yet the point remains: both coaches are still regarded by many critics as over-their-heads coordinators doomed to ultimately fail as head coaches. Phillips has been on Jerry Jones's hot seat since he took over for Parcells in 2007, and while Childress has improved in each of his seasons (6-10 to 8-8 to 10-6 to this year's 12-4 and a divisional title), success is truly measured after Week 17. Childress's season was stained by the ugly Week 15 squabble with Favre (there he is again), which may or may not have been an internal fight for control of the offense. Bottom line is both coaches need to get deeper into the playoffs and neither has shown that he can do it.

INSIDE THE SCOUTING REPORT
A look at the Cowboys' defense by a scout from a team that played America's Team late in the regular season:

"Obviously the big thing is all that speed off the edge with Ware and Spencer. Usually when you've got one good edge rusher -- a [Dwight] Freeney, a [Elvis] Dumervil -- you slide your protection to that guy. You put a back on that side to chip. But with the Cowboys, the problem is they have two edge rushers. If you slide away from Spencer, Ware is one-on-one. If you slide away from Ware, Spencer is one-on-one. So maybe you keep another guy in protection, like [tight end Visanthe] Shiancoe. But he's a big part of the passing game. It's really a tough spot for the Vikings. Whatever they do, Brett's got to get the ball out quickly or he's on his back.

THE PICK
The Cowboys are the trendy pick to rise from wild-card to Super Bowl champion. There's that pass rush, there's Tony Romo looking like he's matured into a first-rate NFL quarterback not just before Thanksgiving, but afterward as well. Miles Austin and Felix Jones are game-breakers. But there's something about Favre and the Vikings and playing at home in the very noisy Metrodome. You can make the argument that the bye week often hurts teams by letting them get rusty; I think it will work the other way for the Vikings. Watch Favre work the short passing game and give the ball to Adrian Peterson on a lot of first downs to slow the pass rush. And watch Jared Allen get to Romo. Vikings 31, Cowboys 29



Read More: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/20...1/14/vikings.cowboys/index.html#ixzz0ccOLC02Y
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Hypnotoad

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All the praise we are getting and the media bandwagon jumping, the analysts are picking us less this week than last week.
 

SC Cowboyfan

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"The Cowboys are the trendy pick to rise from wild-card to Super Bowl champion."

I coulda swore we beat Philly and won the division and were the third seed....
:D
 

slotshot

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This is a very uninformed article...and the Cowboys are the NFCE champions, not a wild-card.
 

JD_KaPow

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Hypnotoad;3227792 said:
All the praise we are getting and the media bandwagon jumping, the analysts are picking us less this week than last week.

The Vikings are a better team than the Eagles, and they're playing at home in a place with one of the biggest home-field advantages. It's not hypocritical to both like us more than you did last week and still pick us to lose against Minny.
 

adbutcher

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slotshot;3227802 said:
This is a very uninformed article...and the Cowboys are the NFCE champions, not a wild-card.

Amazing that it has the stamp of approval of SI. :( SI use to be so great.
 

johnnyd

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the guy's from ny and is a giants fan. he used to write for the ny newsday so of course he is anti cowboy. this article isn't laced with anti cowboy sentiment but you can just tell he doesnt like us or wasnt going to pick us but who cares? im pretty sure he's not playing sunday just another opinion and a pretty weak one at that after reading his closing argument that went from flat out wrong (NFCE champ vs. the wildcard) . To confident in that the viks will be able to control the short passing game and roll up the 1st downs as well as harass romo all day. If so brash and sure then why not have some balllz and pick a score like 27-13 or 24-10 not some half-a toss up guess like that? anyone who predicts the score to be something like 31-29 or within a field goal is really saying i don't know who is going to win but here's my pick ... *** clown
 

Vtwin

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johnnyd;3227851 said:
the guy's from ny and is a giants fan. he used to write for the ny newsday so of course he is anti cowboy. this article isn't laced with anti cowboy sentiment but you can just tell he doesnt like us or wasnt going to pick us but who cares? im pretty sure he's not playing sunday just another opinion and a pretty weak one at that after reading his closing argument that went from flat out wrong (NFCE champ vs. the wildcard) . To confident in that the viks will be able to control the short passing game and roll up the 1st downs as well as harass romo all day. If so brash and sure then why not have some balllz and pick a score like 27-13 or 24-10 not some half-a toss up guess like that? anyone who predicts the score to be something like 31-29 or within a field goal is really saying i don't know who is going to win but here's my pick ... *** clown

That's exactly what I thought. He essentially called it a draw giving the home team the customary three points.

Maybe I'm crazy but I don't see them hanging 31 on this defense.
 

cajuncocoa

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garyv;3227788 said:
Vikings 31, Cowboys 29
Wow, I'm shocked.

http://i162.***BLOCKED***/albums/t270/cajuncocoa/SportsIllustrated.jpg :shoot1:
 

Doomsday101

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I don't know if Minn will win or not but I do not see this defense giving up 31 points to the Vikes. Only way that happens is our offense is turning the ball over allot.

Frankly I'm more concerned about how we play than how the vikes play. I think if Dallas continues to play strong on offense and defense as they have been as of late then we will win this game.
 

skinsscalper

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bayougirl1207;3227879 said:
Wow, I'm shocked.

http://i162.***BLOCKED***/albums/t270/cajuncocoa/SportsIllustrated.jpg :shoot1:

Not such a shocking prediction, to be honest.

I'm very confident in our team, and I believe with every fiber of my being that we will win. However, if the game ended up with the final score posted above, I wouldn't be shocked at all.

I think every single matchup in this game favors Dallas. I truly do. I also know that we are a stupid penalty away from giving away anywhere from 3-7 points. That can't happen against the Vikings. If it does, 31-29 Vikings isn't all that unreasonable of a prediction.
 

Future

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slotshot;3227802 said:
This is a very uninformed article...and the Cowboys are the NFCE champions, not a wild-card.
I think it's most likely referring to the fact that we clinched the Wild-Card before the Philly game, and that wasn't a sure win. I think it's worded wrong, but the meaning isn't I don't think.
 

mldardy

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Doomsday101;3227896 said:
I don't know if Minn will win or not but I do not see this defense giving up 31 points to the Vikes. Only way that happens is our offense is turning the ball over allot.

Frankly I'm more concerned about how we play than how the vikes play. I think if Dallas continues to play strong on offense and defense as they have been as of late then we will win this game.
The only way we give up that many points is if it is like that 2nd Giants game where they get a key turnover or a punt, kickoff return or something like that. No team is going to just score at will on this defense without some breaks like the Giants got in that 2nd game.
 

Dhragon

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Future;3227942 said:
I think it's most likely referring to the fact that we clinched the Wild-Card before the Philly game, and that wasn't a sure win. I think it's worded wrong, but the meaning isn't I don't think.

I was thinking he meant going from a wild card game (we played in a wild card game even though we were division champs) all the way to the Superbowl.
 

ElPanadero

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I hope that every talking head bets against the COWBOYS. I liked the whole underdog role against Philly. That turned out pretty good. All this love that is being directed torwards the Boys has me somewhat skittish.
 

Chocolate Lab

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INSIDE THE SCOUTING REPORT
A look at the Cowboys' defense by a scout from a team that played America's Team late in the regular season:

"Obviously the big thing is all that speed off the edge with Ware and Spencer. Usually when you've got one good edge rusher -- a [Dwight] Freeney, a [Elvis] Dumervil -- you slide your protection to that guy. You put a back on that side to chip. But with the Cowboys, the problem is they have two edge rushers. If you slide away from Spencer, Ware is one-on-one. If you slide away from Ware, Spencer is one-on-one. So maybe you keep another guy in protection, like [tight end Visanthe] Shiancoe. But he's a big part of the passing game. It's really a tough spot for the Vikings. Whatever they do, Brett's got to get the ball out quickly or he's on his back.

:bow:

Man is this fun.
 

Doomsday101

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mldardy;3227944 said:
The only way we give up that many points is if it is like that 2nd Giants game where they get a key turnover or a punt, kickoff return or something like that. No team is going to just score at will on this defense without some breaks like the Giants got in that 2nd game.

I agree. I have more concerns over what Dallas does than what the vikes may do. I think if the Cowboys can continue to play with the focus and physical play they have shown they can beat any team out there. What has hurt us more than anything this season has been self inflicted mistakes. Right now I think this team is focused and ready.
 
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