I've been working on my people skills and trying to be less aggressive towards my fellow man... but what the **** was that?
Evaluating draft prospects on their combine measurables is the worst. I mean... just the worst. If it was as easy as simply testing the athleticism of prospects and drafting the biggest, fastest, quickest prospects, everyone would be able to draft well. But it's not, and even guys working in the NFL make more mistakes than they have hits.
There is so much more than athleticism that makes a great football player and it is crazy difficult to find those players.
Shante Carver - Had a ton of sacks at Arizona State. Ran slow at the combine. Sucked like a Hoover.
Terrell Suggs - Had a ton of sacks at Arizona State. Ran even slower at the combine (couldn't even get below 5.0). Probable Hall of Famer.
Mike Mamula - Blew up the combine with insane speed and athleticism but had little college production. Awful football player.
Zach Thomas - Small, no speed, short arms... Very good player for a long time.
DeMarcus Ware - Great tester at the combine from a small school. Great football player and possible Hall of Famer.
The point is, athletic measurables don't make or break a prospect. A guy with great college production who has a great combine? Sign me up. Everyone would say sign me up. A player who didn't do a lot in college and then bombs at the combine? Well, everyone knows to stay away from those.
Everyone else is what we're talking about here.
If you looked at that list of players I made and dug into their football IQ, general intellect, off field behavior, love of the game and their desire to be great and then watched their college film, I think things would make a lot more sense. Football is more mental than physical in a lot of ways. The successful guys typically have a knack for playing the sport. Just an understanding of the game. The angles to take. A natural feel for leverage and how to get the man across from them at a disadvantage using all of those intangibles.
If you don't have any of that, then IMO, you don't stand much of a chance to be anything more than a journeyman type of player. Maybe a smart coach takes an athletic guy without those intangibles and give him one thing to do that takes thinking out of the equation and he plays well. That happens way, way less than it doesn't though.
Conversely, you can't be completely un-athletic and succeed in the NFL either. You need both but not in equal measures. Natural football players can get by with much less athleticism than those that aren't. Great athletes don't have to have the football acumen that lesser athletes do in order to do well.
Also, keep in mind that speed/explosion doesn't always equal athleticism. Just because someone runs a little faster than another guy doesn't automatically make him more athletic. Terrell Suggs is a great athlete. Some guys who can't jump that high are terrific athletes (Ezekiel Elliott for instance).
All of this brings me to Barnett and Njoku.
Barnett is simply a very good football player. His 4.88 isn't great but he is a really good athlete. However, what makes him so good at football is his understanding of leverage, angles, his anticipation and understanding of what the offense is trying to do. Like I said earlier... putting the man across from him at a disadvantage from play to play. Leverage, angles, anticipation and football acumen all can do that just as easily as a great first step. That 4.88 is a very small part of the package that you'd be getting with him.
Barnett is a terrific football player and I'd be more than shocked if he fell out of the first round.
As for Njoku, if you watch him play, it becomes immediately clear that he is extremely athletic. The way he moves and some of the things he does on the field are more than just athletic. He's oozing with skills.
He didn't run as fast at the combine as people thought but that doesn't mean that he's a lesser athlete than someone who ran a tenth of a second faster than him in yoga pants. He is a mismatch nightmare in the NFL.
Anyway, this post has become way too long already so I'll stop here... but this is a subject that I feel strongly about and could probably ramble on for a good long time.