They're bringing in 30 guys. How could that list indicate how willing they are to move down 10+ spots?
Fuller, Lawson, Clark, Treadwell, Dodd, Hargraeves, Lynch - at least a couple of those guys will be there at 15.
For the invited top players, they fell into two main groups - guys who are candidates to be drafted near the top twelve or so picks and guys who might slip through to later 1st/early 2nd.
There's a big gap between the two groups filled with players who didn't visit -- Darron Lee, Eli Apple, Mac Alexander, William Jackson, Reggie Ragland, Emmanuel Ogbah, Leonard Floyd, Jarran Reed, Corey Coleman, Noah Spence, Andrew Billings and some OL prospects. Some were eligible for Dallas Day and didn't even get invited to that.
If there were a few of those guys on the invites, I'd say a drop down to 15 is more plausible. Instead they brought nearly everyone who's likely to go top 12 (except for Jack and Tunsil) and literally nobody from this other tier. And then the next tier was filled with guys with a high potential to slide into the late first or be around at pick 34 - Robinson, Clark, Dodd, Henry, Cook. Non-pass rush DTs drop. Older non-QBs drop.
Dallas would need to have spectacular intel to risk going to 15. The risk would be like having 19 in Black Jack and saying, "hit me." It's
possible you get an ace or a two, but the odds are really bad. It's not like drafting at 18 and seeing a bunch of crazy selections getting made ahead of you. At 4, it's unlikely we'll see anything crazy before we draft that would push down players we've graded highly.
