Ultron’s 4 round mock draft 3.0

Discussion in 'Draft Zone' started by ultron, Mar 24, 2020.

  1. ultron

    ultron Well-Known Member

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    I’m assuming Crawford takes a 50% pay cut and we save 4.5m, and Randy Gregory gets reinstated (even though I don’t see Goodell making it an easy process for him). Ultimately I see those two splitting time at RDE and hopefully this Dontari Poe deal gets done. That leaves us with needs at CB, S, Slot WR, C, TE for the sake of argument. So here’s what I’d like to see:

    Round 1:
    Xavier McKinney (S-Alabama)


    Coverage Spacing - He doesn't have elite single high FS range to roam the back end but his football intelligence is top shelf and allows him to shade and attack — he'll often crash the party at the catch point and disrupt targets. Playing him in deep half or as a rat in intermediates will yield plenty of pass disruptions in zone.

    Acceleration - He's got pretty fluid click and close, able to really explode on routes breaking off in front of his face. He's fearless stepping down into the alley too. Shows effective closing burst from the nickel to duck into gaps and attack the QB. Simply doesn't have the long speed to play sideline to sideline in single high.

    Tackling - Plays with an attitude. More consistent here in 2019 and smacked guys in the mouth all season long. He'll attack the football as opportunities arise but his contact balance and confidence to run the feet and deliver jarring hits has produced effective kill shots on bigger ball carriers. Impressive space tackler.

    Zone Coverage Skills - Instinctive. He flows to mirror the eyes of QBs and will excel if he's given free assignments to sucker quarterbacks and bait throws over the middle of the field. He takes good angles and times his arrival and contests at the catch point from overhead leverage with consistency to not draw penalties.

    Ball Skills - His hands are feisty at the catch point and he does a good job of raking at the ball when he's a tick late the throw. Hands are soft on tipped balls and throws he's able to undercut in man coverage. Appreciate his nose for the football in all senses, too — he's ripping out the ball on tackles and at the catch point routinely.

    Competitive Toughness - Not afraid of contact and love his stickiness as he's carrying routes down the field. His persistence extends to catch point reps, as a tackler and when stacking up blockers in the secondary. Has had success roaming as a sub-package LB as well to step into the second level and fill the run.

    Flexibility - Clean mobility throughout his frame. He does well to hinge and open himself into throws and provides good extension skills to combat the ball. His base is dynamic and doesn't show a lot of wasted movement. Reach to spring and explode laterally from flat footed stance is notable as well.

    Feet/COD - Appreciate how well he stays balanced. He's not one to hop out of stance prematurely or provided a swinging gate when he's leveraged over the top of routes in coverage. His movement economy is aided by lower body mobility and protects him from drifting at the top of route breaks or taking sloppy transitions.

    Man Coverage Skills - Lock down? No, not necessarily. But he's a pest from the trail position and tackled assignments against tight ends down the field. He's got good length to press or disrupt inside the contact window as well before flipping his hips with clean transitions to work into the trail position. Match-up weapon in the MOF.

    Versatility - Ask him to do anything. Go ahead. He's a one size fits all defender for some kind of primary role but his football IQ and athletic ability and tackling skills will bring him high reps and snap counts regardless of the sub-package in the NFL. Creative coordinators will get the most out of him by using him with flexibility.

    ---

    Best Trait - Versatility

    Worst Trait - Deep Range

    Best Film - LSU (2019)

    Worst Film - Clemson (2018)

    Red Flags - None

    Player Summary - Xavier McKinney can be a game changing defender for an NFL defense. With plus tackling skills in space, strong football IQ and a knack for hunting the football in all phases, McKinney projects as a difference maker and explosive play creator. McKinney's versatility should keep him on the field at all times and he's shown ability to thrive as a deep third or half safety, in the nickel, blitzing as a pressure player, keying the run and more. Do it all defender and plug/play starter.

    Round 2:
    Damon Arnette (CB-Ohio St)

    Man Coverage Skills - He's sticky! Love his hip mobility to keep framed on receivers and continue to press vertically with pace. His comfort and trust in technique to get reattached to receivers in transition is really strong and allowed a lot of strong challenges on targets. He's comfortable playing on the island outside.

    Zone Coverage Skills - Shows diversity on the back end — holds water in the flats effectively but disguises his deep zone reps really well to hide intentions. His break on the ball is suitable and he takes good angles when targeted in space to break on the play and ensure he's getting involved at the catch point.

    Feet/COD - Clean. He's not the most rapid fire corner I've seen but he's controlled smooth and he offers plenty of lateral or transitional quickness near the LOS when walked into face of receivers. Strong click and close ability to drive downhill and disrupt on quick game in front of his face.

    Ball Skills - Really strong work here. His ability to stay attached to receivers with eyes back to the QB had him on the doorstep of a ton more turnover production in 2019. He's violent through the hands of receivers and has enough bounce to elevate above the rim and highpoint the football.

    Flexibility - Won't find very many issues in his ability to redirect, sink his hips or contort his frame at the catch point. Clean body control and shows good bend through his drops in zone and strong lateral hinge in his hips when forced to transition and carry vertically at the LOS.

    Acceleration - He's got plenty of juice and offers spring in short spaces to quickly undercut throws versus sloppy routes or inaccurate throws. He's got good long speed — not necessarily going to win foot races in the open field against 4.3 guys but he's pesky thanks to his feisty hand play and good anticipation.

    Defensive Spacing - Constantly crowding receivers at the catch point, persistent to rip through the hands. That said, he can get a little too ambitious in this area and needs to avoid letting the upfield hand wrap around the torso. Shows desirable range for deep third or flat zone, plus necessary range in man to man.

    Competitive Toughness - Can get caught up when you ask him to sift through traffic and be slow to find daylight and rally to the ball. He's a scrappy dude and his work on the boundary is just fine — but he got lost a few times looking to avoid contact and work into support tackler role. Physical in man to man to squeeze windows.

    Run Support - His click and close ability to drive forward brings opportunities to beat blockers to the spot. He doesn't show elite length and those who get their hands on him can wall him off. There's less success when plays break off inside, you won't consistently see him break into the MOF and get in on a tackle.

    Tackling - Does a nice job in space to make sure he stays over top of receivers when targeted to not concede big YAC opportunities. He's got good feet, needed closing burst and requisite functional strength to wrangle down ball carriers in one on one head up scenarios.

    ---

    Best Trait - Ball Skills

    Worst Trait - Run Support

    Best Film - Michigan State (2019)

    Worst Film - Clemson (2019)

    Red Flags - None

    Player Summary - Damon Arnette Jr. projects as a universal scheme prospect at the NFL level — he possesses great functional strength, quickness, body control and ball skills. Arnette has the technique to play press or off man coverage but the burst and anticipation to play in zone coverage as well. Look for Arnette to find his place in a starting lineup quickly at the NFL level, although he may never be the focal point of an NFL secondary due to lack of elite length to shadow top receivers. A plus starter.

    Round 3:
    Michael Pittman Jr (WR - USC)

    Route Tree - He's not the most diverse as a route runner but he has shown physicality at the top of routes to bump and create separation on hard angles. His vertical stems are pretty crafty and he's found a lot of success downfield. Gets through contact in press, into stems just fine.

    Hands - Strong hands — really like what he brings at the catch point and how comfortable he is to extend his hands away from his body in order to greet the nose of the football. He's got a large catch radius and hand strength to make plays on ball adjustments.

    Contested Catch Ability - High point ability and above the rim ball skills are A+ qualities that he'll bring to the table. If nothing else, his lack of separation skills have produced pretty solid work in traffic to shield the ball and get a hold of the ball and not be uprooted or allow defenders to beat him to the spot.

    RAC Ability - Big, strong and not afraid to drop a shoulder on someone. Like his physical toughness and persistence to extend and stiff arm smaller defenders — he's got some bully to him with the ball in his hands. Zero burst or acceleration skills tempers excitement, however.

    Football IQ - Can continue to work on nuance to make life easier for himself as a route runner and further manipulate defender landmarks to help create more separation. He's going to have to become a master route runner to hit his peak and become a starter at the next level.

    Vertical Receiving Skills - Long speed isn't going to scare anybody off but if he can stack defenders in press, look out because he's got a good sense of tracking the ball and has shown capable to get over top of defenders in trail and shield them from working back to the ball.

    Change of Direction Ability - There's not a lot of redeeming qualities in his lateral quickness or start/stop ability. He's pretty clean with his feet but due to stride length and high hips, there's a lot of natural restrictions with his ability to gear down or snap off a route with suddenness.

    Speed - Slow burn receiver who needs a runway to get himself up to a competitive speed. Even with a rolling 10-yards, he's not going to pull away from defenders in the secondary unless he can free arm and stave off contact.

    Competitive Toughness - Has learned to make the most of his physical profile, appreciate his persistence as a route runner through press, his willingness to take hits at the catch point, his effort as a blocker and his aggression with the football in his hands.

    Blocking Ability - Long arms, strong hands and a persistent attitude go a long way. Like his press to get inside leverage before setting up and hitting the clamps on defenders in the secondary, he's a size mismatch for just about all comers who will handle him in coverage.

    ---

    Best Trait - Ball Skills

    Worst Trait - Speed

    Best Film - Utah (2019)

    Worst Film - Notre Dame (2019)

    Red Flags - None

    Summary - Michael Pittman Jr projects to the NFL as a stereotypical 'X' receiver. With his size and ball skills, Pittman can provide an NFL team with a presence as a possession receiver. Separation is never going to be calling card and lack of consistency there may cause him to be more of a rotational receiver. But his high point ability, hands and body control will afford him plenty of opportunities to make plays in the RZ and, in the right system, push for high volume snaps.

    Round 4:
    ALBERT OKWUEGBUNAM (TE-Missouri)

    Route Tree - He's most effective sliding up the seam or leaking out across defensive flow in the middle of the field. His route stems aren't especially dynamic and he's not going to stress off coverage with threat to get vertical. Can improve ability to avoid contact and get free into space.

    Hands - Soft hands and shows very good concentration and ball skills. He's tracked some over his shoulder that would eat a lot of guys up but shows body control at point of reception and and ensure he's safety tucking away the football.

    Versatility - Wouldn't endorse an in-line role for him any time in the near future, won a lot of his reps as a flex target working from the slot or on the perimeter in the red zone. That's where he's best afforded the chance to win and anything else will need to come with much development.

    Contested Catch Ability - Size is one of his best qualities. He'll snatch balls off the top of defenders' fingertips if you ask him to play above the rim and shows good toughness to absorb body shots. Length, reach, soft hands and catch radius combine to mitigate his separation issues.

    RAC Ability - Strength is a plus and he's a tough chore to chop down one on one in the open field. His agility and speed aren't anything of note and he's not going to defeat would be tacklers with finesse. May rumble through some tackles but don't expect a lot of RAC.

    Power at POA - Much more of a receiving target than a blocker. He's come along over the three years he played but still wouldn't classify it as a strength of his game. Legs are stale when he's engaged with defenders and doesn't create a lot of push. Stalemate blocker.

    Competitive Toughness - A lot of his power and strength is robbed by his high frame, he's not easily able to work under the pads of defenders due to to some tightness in the hips and as a result his push and pop is really tempered and ineffective.

    Flexibility - Tight through the core, but surprisingly mobile through the limps and shows a really good level of body control to stay balanced as he's adjusting to the ball as a receiver. Lateral mobility and dynamic base are low end qualities and he's not going to win with spring or agility.

    Balance - When he's playing as a blocker he can be too prone to getting out over the top of his toes and allowing his weight to creep forward. Leverage issues are the main culprit and it is going to be difficult for him to find effective remedies as a blocker.

    Football IQ - Shown some improvement but there's still quite a ways to go before he's ready for the NFL as an every down player. He's got to get more aware of defeating collisions as both a blocker and as a receiver on the route stems to help keep his routes on time with offense.

    ---

    Best Trait - Hands

    Worst Trait - Explosiveness

    Best Film - Memphis (2018)

    Worst Film - Georgia (2018)

    Red Flags - None

    Summary - Albert Okwuegbunam projects as a secondary tight end at the NFL level or as a developmental starter, depending on how much time investment is given to further developing his skills as a blocker. Okwuegbunam is best running the seam or leak routes over the middle, but his lack of dynamic athleticism makes it difficult for him to separate against man coverage unless he illustrates more savvy to bump defenders off his hip. Valuable red zone reps on account of size and hands.


    All credit to thedraftnetwork.com and Crabbs for his analysis.
     
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  2. unionjack8

    unionjack8 Well-Known Member

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    Thanks for this effort.
    Imo its a home run and I'd be ecstatic about those picks. Fills need with value , players in the right range of picks. Nice job.
     
    ultron likes this.
  3. tm1119

    tm1119 Well-Known Member

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    It’s a pretty good mix of players, no giant complaints.
    Although I personally have a hard time calling McKinney a top 20 player in this draft. Any kind of trade down, if possible, would make me feel much better about it.

    Also not sure we can take 0 DL in the 1st 4 rounds. Can’t let stop gap free agents keep us from adding talent there. The cupboards are getting a little bare
     
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  4. RS12

    RS12 Well-Known Member

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    D line has to be addressed sooner. Nothing but stop gaps on the D Line as far as the eye can see.
     
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  5. ultron

    ultron Well-Known Member

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    DLine will be more than fine if what I prefaced this thread with happens. Randy G, Crawford, Poe, DLaw, McCoy, and then the 3+ back ups/rotation guys. That’s a solid DLine!
     
  6. beware_d-ware

    beware_d-ware Well-Known Member

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    This is literally my dream draft. I love love LOVE all the players in the first 3 rounds.
     
  7. Mr_437

    Mr_437 Well-Known Member

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    A+

    The Belldozer signing takes Albert O out of that 4th round spot imo, and a DL pick could fill in. However, Big Mike has a thing for TEs so it could still work.

    McKinney n Arentte are two of my favorite DBs in the class. Just watched Pittman yesterday and could see teaming up with Gallup to do real damage.
     
  8. tm1119

    tm1119 Well-Known Member

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    Mostly stop gaps that won’t be on the team in 2 years. All but DLaw essentially. Gregory can’t be counted on for this year year, let alone the future
     
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  9. ultron

    ultron Well-Known Member

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    If you say so
     
  10. Future

    Future Intramural Legend

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    Pretty poor value, very little upside overall. Solid players I guess, but this would be a very disappointing draft, because none of them have much of a ceiling as game changers.
     
  11. cnuball21

    cnuball21 Well-Known Member

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    Solid! McKinney might be a bit of reach at 17 but I’d the board is wiped out I could get behind this pick. I think he could bring a lot of versatility to the D.

    I like CB in the 2nd, but not a big fan of Arnette.

    Maybe add in a DE project late?
     
  12. tm1119

    tm1119 Well-Known Member

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    Lol I don’t. It’s just common sense and facts.

    Crawford- 30 years old 1 year left on deal
    Poe- 1 year contract
    McCoy- 32 years, 2 year deal but 0 guaranteed for next year
    Woods- Restricted FA next year, backup level player
    Gregory- giant ? And 1 year left on his deal

    Add in Lawrence and that’s the main 6 in our DLine rotation. And you don’t think we need to get better and younger?
     
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  13. TheRomoSexual

    TheRomoSexual Well-Known Member

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    Not the biggest fan of using our first two picks on the defensive backfield.
     
  14. ultron

    ultron Well-Known Member

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    How would you like to see them use those first 2 picks? In my opinion the secondary is our biggest weakness.
     
  15. JBS

    JBS GloryDaysRBack

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    You don't have enough picks to address all the holes this team has..you have 3 premium picks and you have probably half a dozen needs..can't fill 6 holes w 3 picks
     
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