Vegas Baby

erod

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Says more about how people bet than what the odds really are.
 

ConceptCoop

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But they're higher this year than last year. Which you blamed on their previous record. Which contradicts your previous post. Because they're also higher than they were two seasons ago. You've argued simultaneously that their odds are only due to fans and are due to their previous record. But the teams recent history shows that to be inaccurate.


Vegas is acknowledging that Dallas has a pattern. They keep their core. Have an offense that protects their defense. Fills spots with young guys and retreads. And drafts well. Their core is talented enough to keep them competitive.

My other point is maybe people who's job is to be right might have a better track record than the nancies here who also have a pattern. Acting like free agency determines Super Bowls. Watching Dallas prove their doom and gloom to be displaced. And repeating the process each March.

I don't think you understand how Vegas works. The only thing Vegas is "acknowledging" is where they need to set the line to make money. The odds are inflated by the Cowboys fanbase. If the fanbase is more excited or confident this year than the year before--that does nothing to discredit my statement.

Again, it's not Vegas' job to be right. It's Vegas' job to set the line where they can make money. The bettors drive that; not vegas.
 

ActualCowboysFan

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You don't understand Vegas, Trixie.
I mean it's almost like I didn't acknowledge your point in the OP. But I did. Then you posted
what the odds really are.
Which is complete nonsense. Must suck to have all your hopes and dreams leaving you soon. Your stream of consciousness will be sorely missed. I just hope for your sake that the Texans board doesn't have a word limit.
 

ConceptCoop

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I mean it's almost like I didn't acknowledge your point in the OP. But I did. Then you posted

Which is complete nonsense. Must suck to have all your hopes and dreams leaving you soon. Your stream of consciousness will be sorely missed. I just hope for your sake that the Texans board doesn't have a word limit.

You're a Nancy of a troll.
 

erod

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I mean it's almost like I didn't acknowledge your point in the OP. But I did. Then you posted

Which is complete nonsense. Must suck to have all your hopes and dreams leaving you soon. Your stream of consciousness will be sorely missed. I just hope for your sake that the Texans board doesn't have a word limit.

I'm looking for some cohesive thought and reasoned diatribe. I really am, I promise. Damned if I can find it.

You have a good day now. Ya'hear?
 

ConceptCoop

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So let's see. You spent most of your time here telling us that Zeke would bust. That seems dumb. You posted it over and over. That makes you...

You're lying, for one. And secondly, how sad is it that you were so threatened by my pointing out your misunderstanding that you searched my post history to find something to use as revenge? Pretty sad.
 

ActualCowboysFan

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You're lying, for one. And secondly, how sad is it that you were so threatened by my pointing out your misunderstanding that you searched my post history to find something to use as revenge? Pretty sad.
No I'm not for two.
Some people actually remember the stupid people they run into.
And again if I didn't understand it I wouldn't have mentioned it in the OP.
Where I refuted it by pointing out that both 2014 and 2015 contradict the notion that the odds are determined only by fan numbers.
And you might actually be intelligent enough to recognize that, I mean it ain't difficult, but you're pretty much only here to *****. Because that's who you are.
 

robjay04

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if tom brady stays healthy its pretty much a lock who wins this years superbowl

Raiders were a better team IMO before Carr's injury. They are also much younger and have players just hitting their peaks.

Texans or Broncos are instant contenders if they acquire a certain quarterback that plays up to expectations and stays healthy.

New England is surely the favorite but they had some good luck last season when their main competition lost their starting QB and essentially their starting ol heading into the playoffs.
 

ConceptCoop

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No I'm not for two.
Some people actually remember the stupid people they run into.
And again if I didn't understand it I wouldn't have mentioned it in the OP.
Where I refuted it by pointing out that both 2014 and 2015 contradict the notion that the odds are determined only by fan numbers.
And you might actually be intelligent enough to recognize that, I mean it ain't difficult, but you're pretty much only here to *****. Because that's who you are.

I don't have a unique AV, so you remembered my screen name? I'm flattered. And you remembered my saying that Zeke would bust "over and over"? Welp, good thing this site saves every post. You should be able to find it. And considering I did it over and over, it shoudln't take you long. Good luck.

And I don't feel like arguing through logical fallacies used to defend a misunderstanding of how betting odds work.
 

ConceptCoop

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Raiders were a better team IMO before Carr's injury. They are also much younger and have players just hitting their peaks.

Texans or Broncos are instant contenders if they acquire a certain quarterback that plays up to expectations and stays healthy.

New England is surely the favorite but they had some good luck last season when their main competition lost their starting QB and essentially their starting ol heading into the playoffs.

Not only that, but ATL had them on the ropes. Play that game 10 times and I think ATL wins more than they lose.

I think it's fair to call them the favorites, but even money is an awful bet.
 

ActualCowboysFan

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I don't have a unique AV, so you remembered my screen name? I'm flattered. And you remembered my saying that Zeke would bust "over and over"? Welp, good thing this site saves every post. You should be able to find it. And considering I did it over and over, it shoudln't take you long. Good luck.

And I don't feel like arguing through logical fallacies used to defend a misunderstanding of how betting odds work.
I pretty much remember everything. Again, I understand that fan numbers are a factor. Previous examples are not a logical fallacy. They're actual evidence.

This is a data point.
On one side you have people invested in outcomes.
On the other side you have a group of people who complain about the same things each offseason.

Imma go with Vegas
 
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