J12B
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I’m beginning to think so.
Lawrence has reportedly made it known that he will not play under the franchise tag in 2019. Given that this is most likely David Irving’s final year, due to off the field issues, concussion concerns, and back to back season beginning 4 game suspensions, who else would opposing offenses fear rushing the quarterback. As of today, no one.
We shouldn’t expect a big year from Charleton after a subpar rookie season as a 1st rounder. Dorance Armstrong is a 4th round rookie and the expectation on him is that he will need two years to develop into a starter DE. Kony Ealey is on a one year deal. Charles Tapper has not been able to stay healthy and Randy Gregory, well we all know what has been his issue.
The outlook on defensive ends is bleak. Lawrence’s agent realizes this and they now have more leverage on next year’s contract. And not having Lawrence back in 2019 would almost certainly mean another 1st round draft pick being utilized towards the most important defensive position.
In order for Lawrence to get the deal he is looking for (Olivier Vernon type of money), he will most likely need between 9 to 11 sacks for the 2018 season. Anything above that kind of production and the asking price will go up, significantly.
Now it’s very possible that Lawrence will have a down year, meaning producing 7 sacks or below, due to either a drop off in performance or injury. In this scenario, Dallas will have more leverage in the deal making. But will he even be worth to sign if this turns out to be the case. If he under performs, for whatever reason, he is gone unless he takes a team friendly deal for one year. This most likely only happens if he played well, but his season is cut short due to injury.
Ideally, the year we want Lawrence to have is: 8 to 10 sacks, strong against the run, and created consistent disruptive pressure against opposing QBs that helped the team win a Superbowl (obviously). This production would justify an extension. If he has a year like this, the front office will have to pay him what he wants, which will be somewhere in the neighborhood of 15 million a year/45 million guaranteed. This will allow us to keep a strong pass rusher for the long term and allow the front office to address other positions early on in the 2019 draft.
Of course more sacks are welcome if that means they were needed to get to a Superbowl and win. But if he has a monster year and walks...well he is not going to be easy to replace at all.
Lawrence has reportedly made it known that he will not play under the franchise tag in 2019. Given that this is most likely David Irving’s final year, due to off the field issues, concussion concerns, and back to back season beginning 4 game suspensions, who else would opposing offenses fear rushing the quarterback. As of today, no one.
We shouldn’t expect a big year from Charleton after a subpar rookie season as a 1st rounder. Dorance Armstrong is a 4th round rookie and the expectation on him is that he will need two years to develop into a starter DE. Kony Ealey is on a one year deal. Charles Tapper has not been able to stay healthy and Randy Gregory, well we all know what has been his issue.
The outlook on defensive ends is bleak. Lawrence’s agent realizes this and they now have more leverage on next year’s contract. And not having Lawrence back in 2019 would almost certainly mean another 1st round draft pick being utilized towards the most important defensive position.
In order for Lawrence to get the deal he is looking for (Olivier Vernon type of money), he will most likely need between 9 to 11 sacks for the 2018 season. Anything above that kind of production and the asking price will go up, significantly.
Now it’s very possible that Lawrence will have a down year, meaning producing 7 sacks or below, due to either a drop off in performance or injury. In this scenario, Dallas will have more leverage in the deal making. But will he even be worth to sign if this turns out to be the case. If he under performs, for whatever reason, he is gone unless he takes a team friendly deal for one year. This most likely only happens if he played well, but his season is cut short due to injury.
Ideally, the year we want Lawrence to have is: 8 to 10 sacks, strong against the run, and created consistent disruptive pressure against opposing QBs that helped the team win a Superbowl (obviously). This production would justify an extension. If he has a year like this, the front office will have to pay him what he wants, which will be somewhere in the neighborhood of 15 million a year/45 million guaranteed. This will allow us to keep a strong pass rusher for the long term and allow the front office to address other positions early on in the 2019 draft.
Of course more sacks are welcome if that means they were needed to get to a Superbowl and win. But if he has a monster year and walks...well he is not going to be easy to replace at all.