I think half a dozen teams would pay Dak 35m
1. Broncos
2. Commanders
3. Dolphins
4. Bills
5. Giants
6. Bengals
He’s better than not having a QB and worth 35m for them.
There is NO WAY the Bengals are signing him for 35 million. They may need a QB but they will not spend that amount on a QB, they will go cheap and draft first. Dolphins are tanking this year to secure a top pick to get a QB in the draft, they won't sign him either. Haskins and Jones would have to lose legs for the the Commanders and Giants to give up on them after 1 year. They might draft a QB (like Arizona did, but they won't shell out 35 million). Denver is very much in play, and Elway is dumb/desperate enough to do it, but they are probably going to be pretty bad this year and will have a shot at a QB in the draft, but that is a legitimate landing spot. Buffalo would have to be convinced that Allen is a bust, which is a possibility so they might be an option. Oakland is one you didn't mention and they would probably do it, they can get out from under Carr pretty easily after this year. San Francisco can get out of the Garoppolo contract fairly easily after this year and they could possibly do 35 for Dak, if they deemed the QB as the only problem on their team. Tennessee and Tampa could be possibilities, but Dak doesn't fit anywhere close to what Arians wants it TB, so he would probably have to leave as well as Winston. Detroit could decide it is time to move on from Stafford and make 35 M work. Indianapolis certainly has the cap space for him but would have to decide that Luck is done/not worth the injury concerns. New Orleans could actually make it work as well. If Brees calls it quits (not under contract for next year) they could possibly fit him in, would be tight and would need to make adjustments. However, they have never had Brees make that amount of money, so why would they give it to Dak? So a very long shot that they would do it.
So possibilities:
1. Oakland- Very real chance, I think Gruden and Mayock both liked Dak in the draft (Gruden liked everyone though)
2. Denver- Very real chance
3. Tennessee- Could easily move on from Mariota and Dak fits there system, but would they spend 35M?
4. San Francisco- move on from Garoppolo and spend money- doubt it?
5. Detroit- a possibility but not sure they would do the 35M, Stafford is considered a better QB but they don't like his contract as it is now.
6. Buffalo- ready to give up on Allen and spend money- doubt it?
7. Tampa- have to get rid of Winston and Arians, and spend money.
8. Indianapolis- only if Luck is done
9. Miami- tanking for a QB in the draft
10. Cincinnati- won't spend the money
11. New Orleans- very big long shot
I think Oakland and Denver are really the only two teams that would be willing to do 35M+, and mainly because they have two of the worst front offices in the NFL.
I think Tennessee, San Francisco, and Detroit would considered DAK but not at 35K (top 5 money).
I think the money and moving on from what they have takes everyone else out of the mix.