I agree to an extent. I just think that when you have seen the player(s) in question on multiple occasions, and when there is access to some decent film, then you're never "wrong" to formulate your own opinion...even if it goes against the grain of popular conceptions.
I think it takes a certain level of arrogance to assume that we know what the real NFL scouts and personell people actually think, and it seems to be a pretty common occurrence here (I'm not suggesting you). It's pretty easy regurgitate what the draft sites spit out, then come on here and call people "idiots" for forming a differing opinion. Yet you know, and I know, that every year there are several surprises in the draft that the draft sites completely miss on.
I'm not saying that I think Rice is going to be drafted in the first round. I'm saying I don't think a team would be "stupid" or "idiotic" for doing so...just because the popular sentiment on the internet says he's second round material.
The way I see it, is that there are usually 5-10 "football players" that get pushed back in the draft because of more "intriguing" players. This year, I see this happening with Rice...where I think he'll be pushed back be the emergence of guys like Chris Johnson and Jamaal Charles...whom have arguable more upside, but less actual proven skill at the position. I don't know, there is some real talent at RB this year, and I'm sure this argument won't be short lived, but I think its' folly to pigeonhole a player like Rice because of the emergence of a few speedsters and the analysis of some draft sites. It should be taken into account, but it shouldn't be considered concrete.
I'm assuming your referring to your pal, Theogt.