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Gallup Poll: We are Tied !!

Discussion in 'Political Zone' started by irvin88, Sep 25, 2008.

  1. irvin88

    irvin88 Active Member

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    PRINCETON, NJ -- John McCain has gained ground and is now tied with Barack Obama among registered voters in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update for Sept. 22-24, with each candidate getting 46% support.
  2. Dallas

    Dallas Old bulletproof tiger

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    This election is obviously going to go down to the same states in the 2000 and 2004 elections.


    Going to be a SQUEEKER whomever wins the presidency.
  3. Doomsday101

    Doomsday101 Well-Known Member

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    I agree and this electorial poll from CNN really shows how close this will be

    http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/
  4. MilesAustinforMVP

    MilesAustinforMVP Benched

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    geez that is pretty sorry you are citing one day in a tracking poll. Real clear politics (which averages all the polls) has Obama up by 3. And Obama has been making steady progress in most of the state polls. Don't get your hopes up.
  5. irvin88

    irvin88 Active Member

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    McCain will win all the Bush states plus Pa and Michigan.
  6. Dallas

    Dallas Old bulletproof tiger

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    It sure does get your undies in a pinch though doesn't it? :D You really care about polls that much?

    Most folks on our foum could give a rats patoot about the polls. Why?

    Because they are all so close and most are w/in the margin of error always, for or against.

    To be honest - I wish our users wouldn't even put these polls up. The randomness and areas of the polls being done skew things far to much imho.

    Nobody has a handle on this election. That is plain to see.
  7. MilesAustinforMVP

    MilesAustinforMVP Benched

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    Wow thats quite a statement according to pollster.com if the election was held today Obama would win.
  8. masomenos

    masomenos Less is more

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    Someone was telling me that polls of "registered voters" are less accurate than polls of "likely voters". I think it was Trickblue or BrainPaint.
  9. Dallas

    Dallas Old bulletproof tiger

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    If McCain does take PA and MI and it also appears he is doing real well in NH, he has a great shot of winning it.
  10. MilesAustinforMVP

    MilesAustinforMVP Benched

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    Averaging the polls tend to be quite accurate if you look at the Bush/Kerry race:
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/chart3way.html
  11. irvin88

    irvin88 Active Member

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    3 points aren't enough with the "Bradley effect."

    Factor in an 8 point election day swing, so right now McCain is up by about 5.;)
  12. trickblue

    trickblue Old Testament... Zone Supporter

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    The only poll that really matters comes out the night of November 4th...
  13. Dallas

    Dallas Old bulletproof tiger

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    Smartypants !!! :D
  14. MilesAustinforMVP

    MilesAustinforMVP Benched

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    I never heard that one before...
  15. irvin88

    irvin88 Active Member

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    that it so true, when you will have all the Bradley voters in full swing in the midwest.

    I love those "Bradley" democrats!
  16. Doomsday101

    Doomsday101 Well-Known Member

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    More like the morning of Nov 5th. Unless we have to go through another Florida fiasco then you are looking at Dec into Jan :laugh2:
  17. trickblue

    trickblue Old Testament... Zone Supporter

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    I hadn't either until I posted it a few minutes ago... :laugh2:

    What I hate worse than ANYTHING about elections is exit polling...
  18. MilesAustinforMVP

    MilesAustinforMVP Benched

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    Well the preliminary exit polling means dog **** because they have such a wide margin of error. the final set of exit polling is much more accurate.
  19. trickblue

    trickblue Old Testament... Zone Supporter

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    True... but it influences voters... especially those in the Pacific Time Zone... they see the exit polls and their candidate is behind and they just say "forget it"...
  20. Dallas

    Dallas Old bulletproof tiger

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    That my friend is GINORMOUS. You are so correct. I don't know how many times I talked to friends leaving the office who were not going to vote because the candidate they were going to vote for is trailing so badly.

    I think it is a disservice to our election process.

    It does hurt the process.

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