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Philadelphia has dug a big hole

Discussion in 'NFL Zone' started by jobberone, Oct 10, 2011.

  1. jobberone

    jobberone Kane Ala Staff Member

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    Since 1990 less than 4.5% of teams at least three games under .500 after 5 games have made the playoffs. Less than a 1 in 20 chance. I love it.
  2. Hostile

    Hostile The Duke

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    But they signed so many Free Agents while we did nothing. They are the dream team.
  3. jobberone

    jobberone Kane Ala Staff Member

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    Yeah. The curse of the dream. Goes back to Ancient Sumeria.
  4. Dodger

    Dodger Indomitable

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    Yeah happy now! :)
  5. cowboyeric8

    cowboyeric8 Chicks dig crutches

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    What are the stats for a 3-2 team, or a 2-3 team? Taking the Patriots into account either way.
  6. ghst187

    ghst187 Well-Known Member

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    Philthy is us last year, minus a season-ending injury to their starting QB....

    Lose to Wash next week and this season is a bust for them for sure. Pretty funny. I'm sure Philthy is wondering WTH they just gave dogkilla 100 mill. So were the rest of us. ha! Fools!
  7. jobberone

    jobberone Kane Ala Staff Member

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    Right now we have a 36% chance. Can't say until I see all the teams records after next week.
  8. yimyammer

    yimyammer Well-Known Member

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  9. cowboyeric8

    cowboyeric8 Chicks dig crutches

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    Gotcha, thanks.
  10. AdamJT13

    AdamJT13 Salary Cap Analyst

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    This says we have a 58 percent chance of making the playoffs, based on the current NFC standings and each team's remaining schedule --


    We actually have the best chance of any team in the division. The Redskins are at 52 percent, the Giants at 25 percent and the Eagles at 7 percent.

    The Giants might be 3-2 right now, but other than a few games, their schedule looks pretty daunting from here on out, which is why their chances are so low.
  11. UVAwahoos

    UVAwahoos Benched

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  12. CowboyMcCoy

    CowboyMcCoy Business is a Boomin

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    It's that me attitude that gets teams.
  13. RXP

    RXP Well-Known Member

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    The second half of the Giants schedule is brutal. I think they will fall out of contention in December, if not sooner.

    The Eagles will start plaing better, but it may be too late. Three more losses and they are pretty much done. Lets hope 2 of those losses come from the Cowboys. THey also have the Patriots, Jets and Bills coming up as well.

    As for the Redskins, I think they will be in it for awhile yet. Even though they are the least talented team, they make the fewest mistakes in the division. They aren't killing themselves the way the rest of the division is by mind-numbing, game-killing mistakes. If they continue to play smart football, they will have a chance.
  14. jobberone

    jobberone Kane Ala Staff Member

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    This says differently: http://makenflplayoffs.com/ but my gut tells me your site is closer. Don't think we should be over 50% though.

    GOLDENCHILD1688 Well-Known Member

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    Exactly. Philly signing free agents has nothing to do with them losing

    they're not losing because of their acquisitions they're losing because they didn't fill key positions. They had glaring holes at both the linebacker spot and on the offensive line. Some foolishly thought they could easily mask those deficiencies.

    If we didn't shoot ourselves in the foot so often we could've easily ran away with the division down the stretch. The Skins are front runners and playing over their heads right now, giants have a brutal schedule and like philly their struggling
  16. AdamJT13

    AdamJT13 Salary Cap Analyst

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    That site says that its calculations are based on each team having a 50 percent chance to win each game, which means that it doesn't take strength of schedule into account. It's basically a coin flip simulator that calculates standings and tiebreakers.

    Why not? Six NFC teams make the playoffs, and we have the eighth-best record right now. The site to which I linked says we have a 44 percent chance of winning the division, which seems about right. The Giants' remaining schedule is very difficult, and we've already beaten the Redskins head-to-head. Mathematically, it would be difficult to say that either of them has a better chance of winning the division than we do. And outside of the division, the closest team to us in the wild-card race is the Bucs, whose wins have come against teams that are a combined 3-12. So, right now, you'd have to say that we have a pretty good chance (say, about 58 percent) of finishing either first or second in the division and making the playoffs.
  17. cowboyuptx

    cowboyuptx Well-Known Member

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    It was a pretty good bye week, if only the Redskins had also played and lost... As wheels-off as this thing has been, we're still in good shape, could be better, could be worse, but we're still in the thick of it...
  18. JakeCamp12

    JakeCamp12 Well-Known Member

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    I wouldn't count the Eagles out just yet, they have a lot of talent and if not for some very aggressive play by the Bills, they had a chance to win that game yesterday even though they played so bad. Reid is a very good coach and he is also smart enough to dig them out of this hole. His biggest problems are his defense and that he doesn't manage games very well. I wouldn't write them off just yet as with Vick he can get on a hot streak and run off 8 victorys in a row.
  19. CliffnMesquite

    CliffnMesquite Well-Known Member

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  20. ufcrules1

    ufcrules1 Well-Known Member

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    Well.. I hope Philly goes in and beats the Redskins next week. The Redskins fans are getting over confident that they will beat Philly.... but Philly will pretty much be in a must win game. The odds makers have the game as 50/50 but I give the edge to Philly.

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