1.) There will be a high-profile falling player considered a top ten guy by the common wisdom who will fall to the second half of the first. Good candidates are Cutler, Ngata.If Cutler drops through Baltimore(13) only Minn(17) is a possibility to draft him before 18. If Ngata drops through Balt. TB become interested in a trade up for the Warren Sapp starter kit. 2.) There will be reach players that will be traded for regardless of the "points chart" because they fill a need that must be filled for that team. Example:This year would be if there is a run on backs (if Denver takes a RB at 15)in the teens and Pitt(32) or Indy(30) or Carolina(27) panic for Maroney or Ledale White we could cash in big on a trade down as they might anticipate NE (22) taking a RB to spell an aging Corey Dillon. 3.) Follow the coaching staff orientation. Jax needs a LB and Kamerion Wimbley played under their nose at FSU would former LB Delrio overpay to reach ahead of KC and the Giants for Wimbley at 18?