McKDaddy
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Either that or Fox thinks that they will get a return on their investment and your assumptions are flawed. It's not like they don't have a ton of experience broadcasting NFL games over recent history to draw from. But of course you a random fan would know more than Fox's legion of analysts.
This is an incredibly conservative network who cuts shows at the first sign of danger routinely. They don't throw money away.
Well, yeah, its all just opinions. Even those legion of analysts are ultimately just projecting the future based on the past & what they think they know. Or it could be one guy high enough up the food chain that says we are doing it no matter what the analysts say. Absolutely, they could know something that isn't public knowledge that makes it more reasonable. But its also possible they are making a miscalculation. Big companies aren't immune to mistakes. Guess we will have better info in 6 years.