News: USAToday: Cowboys vs Commanders: Why Dallas as 6.5-pt faves is a good look

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Bettors love the Dallas Cowboys.

When this week’s line against the Washington Commanders was first unveiled it was at 4.5 points, which this very site said was worth taking a look at. Since then, the spread has only gotten wider in favor of the Cowboys, now sitting at 6.5, just one less than they were favored by at home last week.

The questions surrounding Dallas revolve around the aggressive nature they displayed in Week 1 at home. Is it a performance they’re capable of replicating on a consistent basis? Is it a game plan they will choose to employ on the road against an inferior opponent?

Most likely, yes and yes.

Last week probably wasn’t an accident. The offensive performance is something fans the league over may have to get used to seeing from the Cowboys. There were shades of this imagination from Kellen Moore’s offense in training camp.

That the Cowboys came out of the game with the New York Giants healthy, aside from wide receiver Tavon Austin and his concussion, is nearly as important as winning itself.

Washington wasn’t as fortunate, losing running back Derrius Guice and defensive lineman Jonathan Allen to knee injuries. Guice will be replaced by the seemingly ageless back Adrian Peterson, who was a healthy scratch in their season opener, while Allen is irreplaceable along the front. Missing Allen is a significant advantage for Dallas and may allow them to not only control the line of scrimmage but dominate it while attacking an undermanned secondary that suffered several lapses against the Philadelphia Eagles last week.

The Week 1 performance of the Dallas defense left a lot to be desired, though the unit has more talent at every level then they’ve had in years and has a chance to bounce back against a team whose offense disappeared for the second half of their season opener against the Philadelphia Eagles.

One of the best defensive players on the team, defensive end DeMarcus Lawrence, said “Not good enough … We’ve got something to prove,” in reference to giving up over 500 yards to the Giants.

How has Dallas performed against the Commanders recently in terms of the spread?

The last six times the longtime rivals have met in Landover, MD, the insurgent Cowboys have covered the spread in four of the contests. As road favorites against any opponent since quarterback Dak Prescott’s arrival, Dallas is 7-4-1 against the spread.

Between these two teams, the over has hit in six of the last seven match-ups.

Verdict: Dallas Cowboys cover the big spread on the road and the over (46.5) hits.


Prediction record on the year: 1-0 ATS, 0-1 over/under.

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