Handicapping the Super Bowl

The line hasn’t wavered this week opening as Chiefs -1 1/2 and pending where you look has stayed at about -1. Meaning the early money went more on 49ers but evenly played throughout.

I’ll be cheering for the Chiefs as being a Cowboy fan can’t root for SF. But I’m picking the 49ers. Because of their #1 defense which usually out trumps the great offenses and Elite QB’s.

I love Mahomes. He’s elevated himself arguably as the best QB in the league. And with such a tight line I won’t be shocked if KC pulls it out. But with only a 1 point line we really only need to pick the winner. Unless you get the 1 1/2 spread you can’t pick the winner and not cover the spread.

The over/ under is a little trickier. 54 1/2 is a high line for NFL. I totally missed it last year taking the over. Fortunately I had more riding on the Patriots.

I see why the line is so high with these high scoring offenses . But since my feeling is 49ers will win with defense I have to go with the under. If you think Chiefs will win then the over is a more likely result.

Here’s some top handicappers from sporting news.

5 of 7 are picking 49ers. Consensus is they should be the fav.

https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl...s-line-49ers-chiefs/ysytvogqxj5q14863900wxqg3

The Chefs are going to cook up something great that will beat the Commie Niners.

Should be an interesting SB, looking forward to it. Of course pulling for KC to win.

Diehardblues said:

The over/ under is a little trickier. 54 1/2 is a high line for NFL. I totally missed it last year taking the over. Fortunately I had more riding on the Patriots.

I see why the line is so high with these high scoring offenses . But since my feeling is 49ers will win with defense I have to go with the under. If you think Chiefs will win then the over is a more likely result.

Click to expand...

I am wondering if this will go the way of the Denver/Carolina Super Bowl from 2015. Denver had the great defense and many thought the high flying Carolina offense was going to keep doing their thing. Denver shut them down to nothing and dominated. Not on the scoreboard but on the field. Although I think Mahomes is a better QB than Cam was that season. And the Niners offense is better than Denver's was.

KC's defense is pretty soft and SF's physical line and run game can set the tone. KC's offense has started slow in each playoff game and they have gotten behind double digits both times. If they do that against SF, I think it will be much tougher to come back against SF. They are much better than Tenn and Houston.

This will easily be the best team each team will face these playoffs. Both teams had pretty weak roads to get here. Both playing 2 teams from the same division and 2 teams well below each team's talent level.

Gamblers always love offense. So the line is no surprise to me. The 2002 Raiders, 2013 Broncos, the list goes on. Hell, in 1987 the Broncos were favored by 3 over Washington. As much as I hated the Commanders, that's one bet I couldn't pass up in my gambling days. It still remains the most money I have ever won. Getting 3 points and the game is over at halftime.

I don't gamble anymore but I don't expect this game to be close. Something like 38-13 49ers.

my gut says take SF, my mind says KC....I am still undecided