jblaze2004
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Brock Purdy and the 49ers has been further than Dak or any Dallas Cowboys QB has been in decades.
Before this year I would of thought Brock Purdy's next contract would easily top Daks and he would be come the highest paid QB in the NFL.
After this season I am not sure if that statement is true anymore. In his contract year he is having possibily his worst season of his young career.
I wonder where his market is now?
From The San Francisco Standard
https://sfstandard.com/2024/12/18/49ers-brock-purdy-contract-decision/
Here are some ways this contract negotiation could go, starting from the most expensive …
There is zero chance the 49ers let it go into next September with Purdy and probably 0.5% chance that Purdy will demand to reset the market by beating the Prescott average. If Purdy does ask for this kind of money — again, which I very much doubt will happen — the 49ers probably would make a decision in April and possibly see what they could get for Purdy in a trade. I put all of that into the 0.5% territory.
Hurts didn’t go for broke in his negotiation before the 2023 season but got a true and long commitment from the Eagles. Hurts is making $51 million a year, which didn’t set a record, but he also received $179 million in guarantees over a five-year deal.
I’d expect Purdy’s camp to start their negotiations at a value comparable to this one, probably plus 5% or so. He definitely has the bargaining power to ask for this. And I’d expect the 49ers to gulp a little about $180 million or more in guarantees. So I think this is the high side of what to expect for a Purdy deal.
Similarly, Jordan Love got a big number from the Packers before this season — $55 million AAV, $160.3 million guaranteed — but it’s also for four years. He’s already almost a quarter through it.
Basically, when a young QB1 gets a deal shorter than five years, it’s a team being about 75% certain of the QB and creating a tiny bit of flexibility. I think it’s very possible that the 49ers try this — holding the line on Purdy on terms more than on average salary. It wouldn’t be a big giveaway by Purdy, since a couple of good years would put him in position, still in his 20s, to demand and receive a top-3 contract extension at last.
If you made me guess on the Purdy outcome, I’d say a slightly lower AAV than the Love deal, maybe a slightly higher guarantee, and the same term of four years. Then both sides do this again in Spring 2027.
Before this year I would of thought Brock Purdy's next contract would easily top Daks and he would be come the highest paid QB in the NFL.
After this season I am not sure if that statement is true anymore. In his contract year he is having possibily his worst season of his young career.
I wonder where his market is now?
From The San Francisco Standard
https://sfstandard.com/2024/12/18/49ers-brock-purdy-contract-decision/
Here are some ways this contract negotiation could go, starting from the most expensive …
The Dak Prescott model
The Cowboys and Prescott dickered on this for months until Dallas finally signed Prescott to a record-breaking four-year, $60 million-a-year deal last September because it couldn’t afford to let him hit the market this coming off-season.There is zero chance the 49ers let it go into next September with Purdy and probably 0.5% chance that Purdy will demand to reset the market by beating the Prescott average. If Purdy does ask for this kind of money — again, which I very much doubt will happen — the 49ers probably would make a decision in April and possibly see what they could get for Purdy in a trade. I put all of that into the 0.5% territory.
The Jalen Hurts model
It’s never bad to copy what the Eagles do financially. And I’ve pointed out the Hurts/Purdy comps for at least a year now. Neither were top draft picks or are classic pocket passers, and both got their chances early and won a ton of games early. Like Hurts, Purdy has the kind of character that the coaching staff is happy to bet on, though it’s possible that management isn’t sure whether to make that an all-in wager.Hurts didn’t go for broke in his negotiation before the 2023 season but got a true and long commitment from the Eagles. Hurts is making $51 million a year, which didn’t set a record, but he also received $179 million in guarantees over a five-year deal.
I’d expect Purdy’s camp to start their negotiations at a value comparable to this one, probably plus 5% or so. He definitely has the bargaining power to ask for this. And I’d expect the 49ers to gulp a little about $180 million or more in guarantees. So I think this is the high side of what to expect for a Purdy deal.
The Jared Goff/Jordan Love model
I’m talking about Goff’s first big deal, with the Rams before the 2019 season, after his trip to the Super Bowl, when then-24-year-old Goff got a four-year, $134-million extension. It was big but also short enough to be movable a few years later when the Rams got a chance to swap Goff for Matthew Stafford.Similarly, Jordan Love got a big number from the Packers before this season — $55 million AAV, $160.3 million guaranteed — but it’s also for four years. He’s already almost a quarter through it.
Basically, when a young QB1 gets a deal shorter than five years, it’s a team being about 75% certain of the QB and creating a tiny bit of flexibility. I think it’s very possible that the 49ers try this — holding the line on Purdy on terms more than on average salary. It wouldn’t be a big giveaway by Purdy, since a couple of good years would put him in position, still in his 20s, to demand and receive a top-3 contract extension at last.
If you made me guess on the Purdy outcome, I’d say a slightly lower AAV than the Love deal, maybe a slightly higher guarantee, and the same term of four years. Then both sides do this again in Spring 2027.
