Cowboys playoff chances: Oddsmakers do not seem bothered by team's road woes

[big dog cowboy]

Really good stuff in this article.

The Cowboys have trouble on the road, but oddsmakers believe in their chances nonetheless.

By RJ Ochoa
Dec 28, 2023

The Dallas Cowboys (-6) are struggling to win on the road right now. The Cowboys had two straight opportunities to dispel the notion that they cannot win away from AT&T Stadium and came up short both times. The narrative (however right or wrong it is) was in their control and they did not do anything to change it.

Given the current landscape of the NFC playoff picture where Dallas is the top Wild Card team, the likelihood of them having to play on the road in the postseason is as high as it can possibly be. Even if the Cowboys are able to win the NFC East and secure the #2 seed in the conference, if things went as expected through the first two rounds, the NFC Championship Game would be a road game for America’s Team. Heck, if they were fortunate enough to reach the Super Bowl it would be a game played away from their home building.

The thing about projecting that far forward is that while we all feel as if it is impossible for the team to win away from home, oddsmakers and projections are suggesting it is the more likely thing.

Reach much more: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/202...-nfc-conference-division-wild-card-super-bowl

 

[CCBoy]

Project a day at a time...

 

[Redsfan_83]

If we lose to the Lions at home, the analaytics will be tossed out the window like yesterdays garbage

 

[rambo2]

Really good stuff in this article.

The Cowboys have trouble on the road, but oddsmakers believe in their chances nonetheless.

By RJ Ochoa
Dec 28, 2023

The Dallas Cowboys (-6) are struggling to win on the road right now. The Cowboys had two straight opportunities to dispel the notion that they cannot win away from AT&T Stadium and came up short both times. The narrative (however right or wrong it is) was in their control and they did not do anything to change it.

Given the current landscape of the NFC playoff picture where Dallas is the top Wild Card team, the likelihood of them having to play on the road in the postseason is as high as it can possibly be. Even if the Cowboys are able to win the NFC East and secure the #2 seed in the conference, if things went as expected through the first two rounds, the NFC Championship Game would be a road game for America’s Team. Heck, if they were fortunate enough to reach the Super Bowl it would be a game played away from their home building.

The thing about projecting that far forward is that while we all feel as if it is impossible for the team to win away from home, oddsmakers and projections are suggesting it is the more likely thing.

Reach much more: https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/202...-nfc-conference-division-wild-card-super-bowl

Those percentages aren't correct. The Cowboys have already Clinched at least the 5 spot and are still alive for the 1.

 

[DallasInDC]

If we lose to the Lions at home, the analaytics will be tossed out the window like yesterdays garbage

Just like if any of the 8 teams up there lose... it will completely change the percentage likelihood... not just for the cowboys.

 

[rambo2]

Those percentages aren't correct. The Cowboys have already Clinched at least the 5 spot and are still alive for the 1.

I didn't see the small print. Now I get it.

 

[DallasInDC]

Those percentages aren't correct. The Cowboys have already Clinched at least the 5 spot and are still alive for the 1.

Actually they are correct... Cowboys have a chance ar 1,2, or 5 they have a 99% chance at 2 (18%) and 5 (81%). Their chance at 1 is less than 2% Note, it says they are only showing possibilities no less than 10%.

 

[JustChip]

Those percentages aren't correct. The Cowboys have already Clinched at least the 5 spot and are still alive for the 1.

They’re a little confusing. I assume you expect their % for the 5th seed should be 100%, but look at the % in total. Dallas is given s 19% chance for the 2 seed and 81% for the 5 seed. The remaining 1% is for the 1 seed ( per the note on the graphic, anything less than 10% isn’t shown).

 

[JustChip]

Actually they are correct... Cowboys have a chance ar 1,2, or 5 they have a 99% chance at 2 (18%) and 5 (81%). Their chance at 1 is less than 2% Note, it says they are only showing possibilities no less than 10%.

Correct. Just saw your response right after posting mine.

 

[Jake]

Oddsmakers are in the business of getting people to make bets. They're not a prediction of an outcome, they're just looking for action.

Give the biggest NFL fan base hope and they'll get plenty of action.

 

[MarionBarberThe4th]

I think the team just wears down emotionally and physically and also maybe wearing the wrong cleats

 

[JustChip]

There is something askew about these #s. Detroit cannot be anything less than the 3 seed so their % should total 100, but they only total 100, but they only total 83. That means they should have a 17% chance for the 1 seed, but they’s not shown and the 1 seed total for SF & Philly is 91.

 

[JustChip]

Oddsmakers are in the business of getting people to make bets. They're not a prediction of an outcome, they're just looking for action.

Give the biggest NFL fan base hope and they'll get plenty of action.

I think the title is incorrect. This isn’t from oddsmakers; it’s from ESPN Analytics. Oddsmakers may use it, but it’s not originated by them.

 

[rambo2]

They’re a little confusing. I assume you expect their % for the 5th seed should be 100%, but look at the % in total. Dallas is given s 19% chance for the 2 seed and 81% for the 5 seed. The remaining 1% is for the 1 seed ( per the note on the graphic, anything less than 10% isn’t shown).

Yes, I now see the small print.

 

[Redsfan_83]

Just like if any of the 8 teams up there lose... it will completely change the percentage likelihood... not just for the cowboys.

I was being sarcastic...we lose at home and depth of negativity will be 100x

 

[rambo2]

There is something askew about these #s. Detroit cannot be anything less than the 3 seed so their % should total 100, but they only total 100, but they only total 83. That means they should have a 17% chance for the 1 seed, but they’s not shown and the 1 seed total for SF & Philly is 91.

The total for the 1 should be 100 when you add in Detroit and Dallas.

 

[rambo2]

Actually they are correct... Cowboys have a chance ar 1,2, or 5 they have a 99% chance at 2 (18%) and 5 (81%). Their chance at 1 is less than 2% Note, it says they are only showing possibilities no less than 10%.

If the Longshot happens and Dallas gets the 1, I think that Dallas will win the NFC.

 

[big dog cowboy]

I think the title is incorrect. This isn’t from oddsmakers; it’s from ESPN Analytics. Oddsmakers may use it, but it’s not originated by them.

RJ Ochoa wrote this article. You should let him know.

 

[big dog cowboy]

Did anyone notice the Cowboys have a better chance than the Eagles to reach the super bowl?

 

[Mac_MaloneV1]

It's almost like road losses to AFC teams have no bearing on how well Dallas can do against...NFC teams.